# Chris Simms: Simms picked every Week 6 game with a projected final score, including upset calls on the Falcons over the Bears and the Eagles over the Panthers, and predicted comfortable wins for New England, Buffalo, Green Bay and San Francisco.

**Claimed:** Oct 16, 2026
**Pundit:** Chris Simms — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms
**Outlet:** Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/006cbbeb-1b7a-4729-b380-b3df0127e8db/02686249-75b3-40ce-b58f-b3df0134b685/bedb3376-4c89-492c-98f9-b4e5011a8bcd/audio.mp3?in_playlist=89df2a40-d377-4495-87df-b3df0134b68b

13 checkable claims — 13 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 13 have settled, averaging 58.8 out of 100, against 53.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I think it's a defensive struggle, ugly type of football game. I'm gonna say 20 to 16 Jacksonville.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **San Francisco 49ers 31 — commanders 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 80.95 out of 100, against 86.23 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 19, 2026): 49ers by 7.5, total 51.5 · this 31–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 14) and fewer points (48). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Green Bay Packers 34 — Cowboys 24**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 76.55 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Cowboys by 1.5, total 53.5 · this 34–24 calls a Packers win (by 10; the line gave the Packers 49%) and more points (58). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Kansas City Chiefs 23 — Chargers 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 69.05 out of 100, against 62.27 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Chiefs by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Chiefs by 3) and more points (43). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Pittsburgh Steelers 24 — Bucks 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 33.7 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Steelers by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 4) and more points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills 38 — Raiders 28**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 43.22 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Bills by 5.5, total 53.5 · this 38–28 calls a bigger Bills win (by 10) and more points (66). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams 37 — Cardinals 24**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 23.81 out of 100, against 45.6 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Rams by 12.5, total 51.5 · this 37–24 calls a bigger Rams win (by 13) and more points (61). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New York Giants 30 — Saints 27**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 40.48 out of 100, against 33.33 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Saints by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 30–27 calls a Giants win (by 3) and more points (57). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Baltimore Ravens 27 — Cleveland 19**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 38.1 out of 100, against 92.86 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Ravens by 3, total 39.5 · this 27–19 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 8) and more points (46). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Indianapolis Colts 24 — Titans 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 42.86 out of 100, against 35.71 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Colts by 6.5, total 43.5 · this 24–21 calls a closer game (Colts by 3) and more points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New England Patriots 34 — New York Jets 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 76.19 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Patriots by 7.5, total 43.5 · this 34–17 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 17) and more points (51). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Philadelphia Eagles 17 — Carolina 14**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 30.95 out of 100, against 23.81 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Panthers by 3, total 39.5 · this 17–14 calls a Eagles win (by 3; the line gave the Eagles 41%) and fewer points (31). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars 20 — Texans 16**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 42.86 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Jaguars by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 20–16 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 4) and fewer points (36). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Atlanta Falcons 23 — Chicago bears 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 38.1 out of 100, against 30.95 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 18, 2026): Bears by 1.5, total 51.5 · this 23–20 calls a Falcons win (by 3; the line gave the Falcons 48%) and fewer points (43). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons

## What others said about the same people

- Trevor Ripley on Buffalo Bills: Ripley picks the Bills to beat the Vikings in their Week 9 Monday night matchup, predicting a 27-20 Buffalo win, and expects Carson Wentz to start for Minnesota with Kyler Murray sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d007779f-687d-4623-87c1-8a62c6d62b06 (scored 76.19)
- Brooke Cersosimo on Buffalo Bills: Picks the Bills over the Vikings. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e232a51e-7f06-4868-8d19-152de27a5e7a (scored 100)
- Moe Moton on Buffalo Bills: Picks the Bills to win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/faee3995-24ba-47fc-8279-a426896c8cc6 (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Buffalo Bills: Picks the Bills to win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f0662e6-e638-4fb5-a807-939dcf32b5ec (scored 100)
- Kristopher Knox on Buffalo Bills: Picks the Bills over the Vikings. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/729eb396-ef3b-4839-8500-c43ee808fd35 (scored 100)
- Brent Sobleski on Buffalo Bills: Picks the Bills over the Vikings. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0046e5f0-8ce9-49e2-b7fd-e20e6691ba8f (scored 100)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Randy Gurzi on Seattle Seahawks: Gurzi expects Seattle to win comfortably again with Drew Lock starting, predicting a 27-10 Seahawks victory. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2aa76291-5bd8-4cc0-a321-36bded67c408 (scored 92.86)
- Pete Prisco on Houston Texans: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 54.76)
- Bryan DeArdo on Chicago Bears: DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7b882443-b481-48fb-b19b-e7f989d85e46 (scored 97.62)
- Randy Gurzi on Seattle Seahawks: Predicts Seattle runs away with the game, 27-10 over Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c5d07f67-8755-451d-a76f-ac40ec60aeec (scored 92.86)
- Russell Baxter on Seattle Seahawks: Predicts the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 26-21 in Week 9, with Seattle's pass rush making Gardner Minshew uncomfortable. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4c6d407f-7cff-470d-8ce9-616b3d353715 (scored 78.57)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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