# Chris Simms: Simms picked the Patriots to win outright on the road in Chicago by a 24-21 score, and said they expect Lamar Jackson to play for the Ravens if they feel good later in the week.

**Claimed:** Oct 22, 2026
**Pundit:** Chris Simms — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms
**Outlet:** Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/006cbbeb-1b7a-4729-b380-b3df0127e8db/02686249-75b3-40ce-b58f-b3df0134b685/9079c00a-7be2-4896-b21a-b4eb011ee0b3/audio.mp3?in_playlist=89df2a40-d377-4495-87df-b3df0134b68b

2 checkable claims — 1 availability call and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 42.9 out of 100, against 86.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I'm scared, but I'm gonna take the Patriots on the road twenty four twenty one.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **New England Patriots 24 — Bears 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 42.86 out of 100, against 86.37 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 22, 2026): Bears by 3, total 50.5 · this 24–21 calls a Patriots win (by 3; the line gave the Patriots 42%) and fewer points (45). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- “So the Bengals three and two, they are at Deckland Doyle's Ravens... So if if he's ready to go and feels good on Friday and okay Saturday, then I expect him to be out there.”
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Lamar Jackson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lamar-jackson
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens

## What others said about the same people

- Pat Fitzmaurice on New England Patriots: Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said they would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41cd806b-d6f3-401d-ac46-33a027d3a0fd (scored 14.29)
- Kevin Wildes on New England Patriots: Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched their Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f31ce48f-df1b-41cf-9d17-ec463ba972d4 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on New England Patriots: Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. They also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated their Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/878403ae-b780-41f0-b38a-200b1a3e36ff (scored 0)
- Eric Mangini on New England Patriots: Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as their upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated their Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af0819c3-4662-44a2-a451-a08fa3b7e59a (scored 0)
- Connor Rogers on New England Patriots: Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/11646f69-18dd-4831-a7de-e4115ded875c (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on New England Patriots: Wright made several outright game calls for Week 9 alongside their spread picks: Kansas City beating the Jets 31-20, Detroit winning at Miami, New England edging Green Bay by a field goal or so, Carolina winning outright over Denver, and Houston blowing out the Chargers 27-12. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14c1f8dd-d8ff-498f-b705-4b468ff964f8 (scored 0)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24)
- Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71)
- John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6c19276-74df-4775-8a6e-f67c6d94b773 (scored 42.86)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=chris-simms
