# Jared Dubin: Dubin picks the Rams, Texans, Ravens, Bengals, Packers, Cowboys and Broncos in Week 1 with exact scores, and says the Rams are their pick to win the Super Bowl this season.

**Claimed:** Sep 10, 2026
**Pundit:** Jared Dubin — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-dubin
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-1-picks-experts-face-off/

8 checkable claims — 7 score predictions and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 46.9 out of 100, against 45.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> The Rams are, unsurprisingly, my pick to win the Super Bowl this season.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Denver Broncos 21 — Chiefs 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 2.38 out of 100, against 51.93 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 14, 2026): Chiefs by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 21–20 calls a Broncos win (by 1; the line gave the Broncos 46%) and fewer points (41). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Dallas Cowboys 31 — Giants 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 42.86 out of 100, against 79.68 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Cowboys by 3, total 47.5 · this 31–20 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 11) and more points (51). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Green Bay Packers 30 — Vikings 27**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 16.67 out of 100, against 58.25 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Vikings by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 30–27 calls a Packers win (by 3; the line gave the Packers 47%) and more points (57). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans 20 — Bills 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 45.24 out of 100, against 36.83 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Bills by 1.5, total 44.5 · this 20–17 calls a Texans win (by 3; the line gave the Texans 50%) and fewer points (37). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Baltimore Ravens 30 — Colts 14**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 5.87 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Ravens by 3, total 48.5 · this 30–14 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 16) and fewer points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Buccaneers 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 84.44 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Bengals by 3.5, total 50.5 · this 27–21 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 6) and fewer points (48). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams 31 — 49ers 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 26.19 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 10, 2026): Rams by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 31–21 calls a bigger Rams win (by 10) and more points (52). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0)
- Bobby Skinner on Stefon Diggs: Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6bc51663-60f7-4897-b5dc-40e284f869a2 (scored 0)
- Colin Cowherd on Matthew Stafford: Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/005e6ad1-bc95-49da-9db2-3a9da2d5041d (scored 100)
- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c9216871-a4a2-4676-b3d8-2221daa70413 (scored 0)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24)
- Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71)
- John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07b5aad4-57ad-4195-bc69-66b1abec33a0 (scored 35.71)
- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2531f3a-2140-40ac-9831-5ff8224e090f (scored 95.24)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jared-dubin
