# Derek Brown: Derek Brown fades the quarterback position early, calls Parker Washington and Quentin Johnston their teams' true No. 1 receivers, expects the Lions to run away with the NFC North, and lists a series of auction values while fading Ladd McConkey, Jakobi Meyers and Brenton Strange.

**Claimed:** Jul 18, 2026
**Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/derek-brown
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/live-2026-fantasy-football-q-a-ranking-risers-and-fallers-rookie-analysis-ep-2093

20 checkable claims — 8 sleeper calls, 4 depth chart calls, 4 fantasy rankings, 3 player season numbers and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 4.

> I think the Lions are going to run away with this year.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (fifteen dollars)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jaylen Waddle
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **A.J. Brown to record 14 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Quentin Johnston to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Parker Washington, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Brian Thomas Jr. to record 7 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Brian Thomas Jr. to record 1,000 receiving yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Detroit Lions to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kevin Coleman to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kevin Coleman, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (fifteen dollars)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: David Montgomery, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty three)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (seven dollars)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **I say a likely is tight ended eight for me ... tight end eight, bro**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (seven dollars)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Parker Washington, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (fifteen dollars)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (four dollars)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Ricky Pearsall
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Yeah, I've got him. I've got him a wide receiver forty four.**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kevin Coleman to outplay his draft cost (the last round flyer, or pick him up off of waivers)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kevin Coleman, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **I have him at twenty eighth overall. ECR has him at twenty sixth overall**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Isaiah Likely to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Isaiah Likely, New York Giants
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **I am QB two ... I've got Drake May at twenty ninth, like I've got him hugged up right next to Josh Allen.**
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Jaylen Waddle — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaylen-waddle
- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Quentin Johnston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quentin-johnston
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Parker Washington — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/parker-washington
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Brian Thomas Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brian-thomas-jr
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Kevin Coleman — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kevin-coleman
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- David Montgomery — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-montgomery
- Bhayshul Tuten — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bhayshul-tuten
- Christian Watson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-watson
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Ricky Pearsall — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ricky-pearsall
- Isaiah Likely — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/isaiah-likely
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Jacksonville Jaguars: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 50)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Detroit Lions: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Detroit Lions: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Detroit Lions: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Tom Strachan on Jalen Coker: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100)
- Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashee Rice: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0)
- Joe Pisapia on RJ Harvey: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Tetairoa McMillan: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 100)
- Jake Ciely on Braelon Allen: Counting down his top-five middle/late-round breakout candidates, Seely picked Bryce Young, Cedric Tillman, Braelon Allen, Marvin Mims and Rome Odunze, arguing Young can be a fringe QB1 with added rushing, Tillman and Mims are their teams' No. 2 receivers, and Caleb Williams will post a huge statistical season that lifts Odunze. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6b5a40bc-e349-48a1-ad37-18ee448ebe75 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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