# Noah Compton: Compton argues the Colts' season is finished and a full rebuild/fire sale is coming, and he expects veteran guard Quenton Nelson — whose contract is expiring — to leave Indianapolis for a fresh start rather than re-sign.

**Claimed:** Oct 25, 2026
**Pundit:** Noah Compton — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/noah-compton
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/colts/onsi/it-s-time-for-colts-to-accept-their-fate-loss-to-vikings-confirms-rebuild-is-imminent

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Nelson has stuck around for multiple rebuilds, and given that he's reached his thirties, a fresh start elsewhere feels most likely.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Quenton Nelson to move — “a fresh start elsewhere feels most likely”**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Quenton Nelson
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Quenton Nelson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quenton-nelson

## What others said about the same people

- Jason Buechler on Quenton Nelson: Buechler expects the selling Colts to move left guard Quenton Nelson before the trade deadline, and argues the Jets should be the team to acquire him as a low-risk rental who would immediately start at left guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/05ebc44f-c694-465d-8c4e-ff2bd8b81163 (scored 100)
- Drake Wally on Quenton Nelson: Despite the midseason firing of GM Chris Ballard, Wally expects the Colts to avoid a fire sale, predicting that core stars such as DeForest Buckner, Sauce Gardner, Jonathan Taylor, Grover Stewart and Quenton Nelson will not be shopped before the trade deadline. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/285732b4-0f82-4f6e-83fb-552f54f51d37 (scored 0)
- Jared Dubin on Quenton Nelson: Dubin picks Seattle to beat Chicago at home on Monday night, forecasting a 24-20 final score, and expects the Seahawks' defense to shut down D'Andre Swift as it did Kenneth Walker. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2d94861a-ed0e-46d3-80ea-cd795992962e (not settled)
- Brendon Nelson on Quenton Nelson: Reviewing the Friday injury reports, Nelson expects Bears running back Kyle Monangai to miss the upcoming game, thinks cornerback Malik Muhammad has a good chance to play though less than himself, and believes Seattle's Quenton Nelson and Brady Russell are set to suit up. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8e76ec62-2bb0-4cc4-a651-da417cccb35c (not settled)
- Rich Hribar on Quenton Nelson: In his Week 8 Bears-Seahawks worksheet, Hribar expects Kyle Monangai to miss another game, plans on Zach Charbonnet making his season debut Monday night, and anticipates Seattle's new offensive line alignment with Quenton Nelson at left guard and Grey Zabel sliding to right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/68ade299-c9e1-414b-8a3a-d558ece8929a (not settled)
- Albert Breer on Quenton Nelson: Breer expects Seattle's offensive line, with Quentin Nelson added at left guard, to become one of the best in football, and he predicts the Eagles will listen on Saquon Barkley but ultimately keep him. He also breaks down Dante Moore's 2027 draft stock, projecting him as a first-rounder no longer seen as the top quarterback in the class, behind CJ Carr and Oklahoma State's quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/91aab235-ccef-4807-b544-88184ec8bffc (not settled)

## More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Parker Hurley on Jessie Bates: Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and he expects 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7e8279a5-fad4-4c61-9646-0809bdcdaf40 (scored 0)
- Doug Joubert on Kendre Miller: Joubert doubts Taysom Hill will return to the Saints for financial reasons and believes Hill has retired from the NFL. He also expects CJ Donaldson to get more carries while the Saints move on from Kendre Miller. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e8976cfe-44a7-4cd2-9f23-ff513d4b4833 (scored 100)
- Randy Gurzi on Taylor Rapp: Gurzi argues that, given Brandon Beane's fondness for reunions, recently released safety Taylor Rapp is a realistic option to return to Buffalo for safety depth — though only if the Bills fail to land a starting-caliber safety at the trade deadline. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5fa74f1d-69bf-4aee-999a-17fe4b2b5175 (scored 0)
- Sean Payton on Taylor Rapp: Payton said there is a better than good chance safety Taylor Rapp re-signs with the Broncos, and expects it to happen sooner rather than later. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ff73bd09-d830-4cab-8cfc-4ff4e616f616 (scored 100)
- Joe Marino on Taylor Rapp: Marino argues the Bills should and almost certainly will release safety Taylor Rapp to save cap space, saying he'd be stunned if Buffalo kept him. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6293af64-318f-43ba-b5be-7b2d42fabe29 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Jacoby Brissett: Breer argues the Jaguars should be taken very seriously, seeing a path to 13 wins and the AFC's No. 1 seed with a first-round bye, and he expects the Jacoby Brissett trade to Baltimore to be completed within a day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c51d9762-3ca3-4143-9372-bf508348053f (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=noah-compton