# Michael David Smith: Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen. **Claimed:** Nov 8, 2026 **Pundit:** Michael David Smith — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/michael-david-smith **Outlet:** NBC Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/nbc-sports **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/report-colts-have-told-teams-they-were-offered-a-fourth-round-pick-for-josh-downs 2 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls. > the Colts would seem likely to be willing to grant that request *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Keenan Allen to move — “could also try to trade”** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Keenan Allen - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Josh Downs to move — “traded”** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Josh Downs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Keenan Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keenan-allen - Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-downs ## What others said about the same people - Noah Compton on Josh Downs: Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/97a66c60-b5a2-4503-a0c2-aa0181552557 (scored 100) - Mike Fanelli on Keenan Allen: Fanelli suggested Keenan Allen may be dealt away from Indianapolis, with Week 9 potentially their final appearance for the Colts. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/22dd9803-d10f-4aa9-99d1-b0ef1a22f778 (scored 100) - Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100) - Jordan Schultz on Josh Downs: Schultz expects Jonathan Taylor to be traded for at least a second-round pick plus additional compensation, and believes Josh Downs will ultimately be dealt for a fourth-round pick rather than the third the Colts are seeking. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2d7c8d17-c4d1-4eda-b469-070134b39a6a (scored 100) - Joshua Poniatowski on Josh Downs: Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1752582-a799-48b9-984b-39bf7cb8b709 (scored 100) - Adam Schefter on Josh Downs: Schefter, as relayed on the show, said they expect Josh Downs to be traded. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ce15495b-2a1f-47a3-a73d-143421544b4e (scored 100) ## More trade and signing calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100) - Patricia Traina on J.J. McCarthy: Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b638ed13-01ca-4ea6-9384-ec7130f912c1 (scored 100) - Thomas Martinez on Daiyan Henley: Martinez argues the Chargers will be sellers at the 2026 trade deadline, predicting Khalil Mack is dealt (for an early-to-mid Day 3 pick) and that linebacker Daiyan Henley could also be moved for a mid Day 3 pick, while suggesting the club acquire edge rusher Malik Herring and blocking tight end Ko Kieft for late-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a10cf849-35e5-4ce9-9b85-49be480ce24e (scored 100) - Tom Pelissero on Kirk Cousins: Pelissero laid out the Giants' quarterback situation with Jameis Winston starting, said Jayden Daniels likely won't be back when Washington plays the Giants and that Caleb Williams is unlikely to play Monday night, and floated Joey Porter Jr. landing in Dallas and Kirk Cousins being traded in-season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f26c21be-0655-4d27-81b3-86e4c8db564f (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=michael-david-smith