# Tyler Sullivan: Sullivan picks the Bears to beat the Packers in their NFC North matchup, leaning on Chicago's league-leading rushing attack against a Green Bay run defense that has struggled. They also give score predictions for several other Week 5 games: Lions over Cardinals, Vikings over Saints, Texans over Titans and Bengals over Dolphins.

**Claimed:** Oct 8, 2026
**Pundit:** Tyler Sullivan — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tyler-sullivan
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/rays-sweep-yankees-dodgers-head-to-nlcs-does-cam-jurgens-trade-signal-more-changes-for-eagles/

5 checkable claims — 4 score predictions and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 58.6 out of 100, against 32.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> That's why Sullivan has the Bears winning and covering.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Detroit Lions 33 — Cardinals 30**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 33–30 calls a closer game (Lions by 3) and more points (63). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Minnesota Vikings 23 — Saints 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 28.28 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 23–20 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 3) and more points (43). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Chicago Bears to beat Packers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans 27 — Titans 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 69.05 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Texans win (by 10) and more points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Dolphins 16**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 35.42 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 27–16 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 11) and fewer points (43). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals

## What others said about the same people

- Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100)
- Charean Williams on Odell Beckham Jr.: Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4fd8cfb-3c75-4209-9e1a-d60e821f315b (scored 0)
- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- Bobby Skinner on Stefon Diggs: Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6bc51663-60f7-4897-b5dc-40e284f869a2 (scored 0)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71)
- John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6c19276-74df-4775-8a6e-f67c6d94b773 (scored 42.86)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07b5aad4-57ad-4195-bc69-66b1abec33a0 (scored 35.71)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=tyler-sullivan
