# Andrew Erickson: Erickson's must-have targets round by round: Nico Collins in round one (1,500 receiving yards if healthy), Drake London as a top-five WR in round two, Omarion Hampton as the Chargers' bell cow in round three, Kenneth Walker as a top-five fantasy back in round four, plus Tetairoa McMillan, Jaylen Waddle, Ricky Pearsall, Jordan Mason, Tucker Kraft, Drake Maye and a set of late-round fliers.

**Claimed:** Aug 23, 2025
**Pundit:** Andrew Erickson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/andrew-erickson
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/must-have-fantasy-football-draft-targets-expert-picks-for-every-round-ep-1663

25 checkable claims — 15 sleeper calls, 4 depth chart calls, 2 game outcome picks, 2 positional finishes, 1 player season number and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 32 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

24 of 25 have settled so far, averaging 51 out of 100, against 52.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Nico Collins is the guy for me.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (round eight)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jordan Mason, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Drake Maye to outplay his draft cost (round ten)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Drake Maye, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jacory Croskey-Merritt to outplay his draft cost (RB forty one in real time ADP)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (round six)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jaylen Waddle, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (round four)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Josh Palmer to outplay his draft cost (round fifteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Josh Palmer, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (round seven)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (round twelve)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Nico Collins to outplay his draft cost (pick want six through twelve)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Nico Collins, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Drake London to outplay his draft cost (round two)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Marvin Mims Jr. to outplay his draft cost (round fourteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Marvin Mims Jr., Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (round five)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tetairoa McMillan, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (round thirteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Braelon Allen, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (round nine)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tucker Kraft, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Omarion Hampton to outplay his draft cost (round three)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Omarion Hampton, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **New England Patriots to beat Dolphins**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Drake London to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 8.33 for a naive guess
- **Nico Collins to record 1,500 receiving yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Nico Collins, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 48.93 out of 100, against 21.37 for a naive guess
- **Kenneth Walker III to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 33.33 for a naive guess
- **Kenneth Walker III to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kenneth Walker III, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Zach Charbonnet to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Zach Charbonnet, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Ricky Pearsall to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **New England Patriots to beat Raiders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Omarion Hampton to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Omarion Hampton, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Brian Robinson to move to Washington Commanders**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Brian Robinson, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Jordan Mason — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordan-mason
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Drake Maye — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-maye
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jacory-croskey-merritt
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Jaylen Waddle — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaylen-waddle
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Kenneth Walker III — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Josh Palmer — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-palmer
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Ricky Pearsall — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ricky-pearsall
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Bhayshul Tuten — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bhayshul-tuten
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Nico Collins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nico-collins
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Drake London — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-london
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Marvin Mims Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marvin-mims-jr
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Tetairoa McMillan — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tetairoa-mcmillan
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Braelon Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/braelon-allen
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Tucker Kraft — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tucker-kraft
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Omarion Hampton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/omarion-hampton
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Zach Charbonnet — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zach-charbonnet
- Brian Robinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brian-robinson

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Minnesota Vikings: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 90.48)
- Connor Rogers on Seattle Seahawks: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 0)
- Chris Long on Buffalo Bills: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0)
- Nate Tice on Jacksonville Jaguars: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on DeVonta Smith: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashee Rice: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0)
- Joe Pisapia on Tyler Warren: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 100)
- Derek Brown on George Pickens: Brown's five-to-one breakout list was Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Tucker Kraft, Ricky Pearsall, George Pickens and Tetairoa McMillan; he forecasts Brian Robinson Jr. being cut or traded, Kraft finishing as a top-five/six tight end, Pickens as a top-15 receiver and McMillan spiking for double-digit touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9d95277c-e110-411f-8934-9a1282c3286e (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Cedric Tillman: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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