# David Harrison: Harrison delivers his only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast. **Claimed:** Apr 23, 2026 **Pundit:** David Harrison — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-harrison **Outlet:** Locked On Commanders (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-commanders-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/7c3048/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252/episodes/c0c72c09-ecc4-4d3c-b330-d518e64144a1/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252&awEpisodeId=c0c72c09-ecc4-4d3c-b330-d518e64144a1&feed=psq7p3Ar 42 checkable claims — 38 mock draft picks, 2 position order calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 65 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 41 of 42 have settled so far, averaging 71.8 out of 100, against 47 for a naive guess at the same calls. > So Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Fernando Mendoza, number two overall, New York Jets. I think they're going edge Arvel Reese out of Ohio State here. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Eli Heidenreich to be picked “Seventh round” (picks 217–257)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Eli Heidenreich, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 17** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **David Bailey to be picked at number 3** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Blake Miller to be picked at number 21** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Logan Jones to be picked at number 147** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Logan Jones, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 2.03 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Harold Perkins to be picked at number 187** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Harold Perkins, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 29.73 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be 2nd wide receiver off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 11.45 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kamari Ramsey to be picked at number 71** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kamari Ramsey, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 4.82 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **T.J. Hall to be picked at number 209** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Hall, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **C.J. Allen to be picked at number 26** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: C.J. Allen, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 31.05 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 25** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 23.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 22** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Avieon Terrell, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 32.42 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Omar Cooper to be picked at number 23** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Omar Cooper, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 20** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 24** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Max Iheanachor, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Christen Miller to be picked at number 28** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Christen Miller, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **T.J. Parker to be picked at number 29** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 30** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Zion Young to be picked at number 31** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Zion Young, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Treydan Stukes to be picked at number 54** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Treydan Stukes, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Spencer Fano to be 1st offensive tackle off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Spencer Fano, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 17.05 for a naive guess - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 12** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 19** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Carolina Panthers - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 13** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 15** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Denzel Boston to be picked at number 18** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 40.26 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Nick Allegretti to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Nick Allegretti, Washington Commanders - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Eli Heidenreich — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/eli-heidenreich - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/blake-miller - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Logan Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/logan-jones - Harold Perkins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/harold-perkins - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Kamari Ramsey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kamari-ramsey - T.J. Hall — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-hall - C.J. Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-allen - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Avieon Terrell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/avieon-terrell - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Omar Cooper — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/omar-cooper - Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Max Iheanachor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/max-iheanachor - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Christen Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christen-miller - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling - Zion Young — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zion-young - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson - Treydan Stukes — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treydan-stukes - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq - Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers - Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Dillon Thieneman — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor - Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston - Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Nick Allegretti — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nick-allegretti ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100) - Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Chris Long on Los Angeles Rams: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0) - Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100) - Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Sam Monson on Minnesota Vikings: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 100) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92) - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Nick Shook on Jermod McCoy: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 1.94) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51) - Scott Bogman on Romello Height: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 18.46) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=david-harrison