# David Harrison: Harrison delivers their only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.

**Claimed:** Apr 23, 2026
**Pundit:** David Harrison — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/david-harrison
**Outlet:** Locked On Commanders (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-commanders-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/7c3048/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252/episodes/c0c72c09-ecc4-4d3c-b330-d518e64144a1/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252&awEpisodeId=c0c72c09-ecc4-4d3c-b330-d518e64144a1&feed=psq7p3Ar

42 checkable claims — 38 mock draft picks, 2 position order calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 65 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

41 of 42 have settled so far, averaging 71.8 out of 100, against 47 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Fernando Mendoza, number two overall, New York Jets. I think they're going edge Arvel Reese out of Ohio State here.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Treydan Stukes to be picked at number 54**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Treydan Stukes, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 15**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Omar Cooper to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Omar Cooper, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Denzel Boston to be picked at number 18**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 40.26 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **David Bailey to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **C.J. Allen to be picked at number 26**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: C.J. Allen, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 31.05 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 12**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 11**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 13**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **T.J. Hall to be picked at number 209**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Hall, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 8**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kamari Ramsey to be picked at number 71**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kamari Ramsey, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 4.82 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 9**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 22**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Avieon Terrell, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 32.42 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 19**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 17**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Zion Young to be picked at number 31**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Zion Young, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Christen Miller to be picked at number 28**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Christen Miller, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Harold Perkins to be picked at number 187**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Harold Perkins, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 29.73 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 6**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 67.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Logan Jones to be picked at number 147**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Logan Jones, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 2.03 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 24**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Max Iheanachor, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 43.91 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 25**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 23.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 20**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Eli Heidenreich to be picked “Seventh round” (picks 217–257)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Eli Heidenreich, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Blake Miller to be picked at number 21**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 30**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **T.J. Parker to be picked at number 29**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Jordyn Tyson to be 2nd wide receiver off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 11.45 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be 1st offensive tackle off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Spencer Fano, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 17.05 for a naive guess
- **Nick Allegretti to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Nick Allegretti, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Treydan Stukes — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treydan-stukes
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Dillon Thieneman — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Omar Cooper — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/omar-cooper
- Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- C.J. Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-allen
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- T.J. Hall — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-hall
- Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane
- Kamari Ramsey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kamari-ramsey
- Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Avieon Terrell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/avieon-terrell
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Zion Young — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zion-young
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Christen Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christen-miller
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Harold Perkins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/harold-perkins
- Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Logan Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/logan-jones
- Max Iheanachor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/max-iheanachor
- Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk
- Eli Heidenreich — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/eli-heidenreich
- Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/blake-miller
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling
- T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker
- Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- Nick Allegretti — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nick-allegretti

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0)
- Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0)
- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24)
- Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46)
- Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0)
- Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86)
- Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0)
- Walt on Garrett Nussmeier: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 0)
- Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d2c00414-086d-4a40-bb69-7584be496742 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=david-harrison
