# Dan Pizzuta: Pizzuta offers bold 2022 predictions: Trey Lance finishes top-10 in EPA per dropback, DK Metcalf lands top-10 in receiving yards, the Giants finish with the league's worst record, Maxx Crosby leads the NFL in sacks, Desmond Ridder outplays and starts more games than Kenny Pickett, the Panthers grab a wild card, Justin Herbert wins MVP, and the Chiefs beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl. **Claimed:** Sep 8, 2022 **Pundit:** Dan Pizzuta — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dan-pizzuta **Outlet:** Sharp Football Analysis — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sharp-football-analysis **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/bold-predictions-nfl-2022-season-mvp-super-bowl-winner/ 9 claims — 3 positional finishes, 1 award pick, 1 conference champion, 1 depth chart call, 1 playoff pick, 1 season win total and 1 super bowl pick — the 8 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 8 calls we can check have settled, averaging 53.1 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls. The other one was too vague to check, so it is not graded. > If we add another layer to Andy Reid's involvement, let's say the win comes over the Philadelphia Eagles. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Maxx Crosby to finish top 1 at his position, by sacks** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Maxx Crosby, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Justin Herbert to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Desmond Ridder to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Desmond Ridder, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **DK Metcalf to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: DK Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 58.33 out of 100, against 16.67 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Carolina Panthers to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Carolina Panthers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Trey Lance to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Trey Lance - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - “The New York Giants will finish with the worst record” - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New York Giants - Verdict: too vague to check ## Who this take is about - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Maxx Crosby — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/maxx-crosby - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Justin Herbert — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-herbert - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Desmond Ridder — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/desmond-ridder - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - DK Metcalf — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dk-metcalf - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers - Trey Lance — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trey-lance - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants ## What others said about the same people - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0) - Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) - Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86) - Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6c19276-74df-4775-8a6e-f67c6d94b773 (scored 42.86) ## More positional finishes The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Nick Wright on Puka Nacua: Nick Wright picked the Ravens to beat Houston this weekend even with Lamar Jackson possibly out (leaning on Derrick Henry and Cooper Rush), the Chiefs to win in Jacksonville, and the Rams to beat the 49ers on Thursday night. They also laid out an AFC playoff field of Bills, Steelers, Chiefs, Chargers and Colts, projected the Chiefs' receiver pecking order once Rashee Rice returns, and called Justin Jefferson the best receiver in football with Puka Nacua a top-five receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d48b8521-6883-4f25-99f1-6f552bfe5a94 (scored 75) - Rich Hribar on Matthew Stafford: Hribar published their 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how they prioritize drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9d1e15ad-f96d-457c-ad9f-25882182e28b (scored 100) - Chris Brockman on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called their shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c47d130c-5598-4cd0-b546-1121046b9166 (scored 100) - Pat Gustavson on Josh Allen: Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out their own coaching landing spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/06884586-5b21-40c8-9439-e303a3e8a806 (scored 16.67) - Rich Eisen on George Pickens: Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said they don't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2b6828d6-b24c-4c65-ac95-56bf45c4ebf7 (scored 100) - Chad Ochocinco Johnson on Christian Gonzalez: Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. They also remind listeners they called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c6469c58-b508-48d9-b72f-fe6e0d7d4da5 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=dan-pizzuta