# Dan Pizzuta: Pizzuta offers bold 2022 predictions: Trey Lance finishes top-10 in EPA per dropback, DK Metcalf lands top-10 in receiving yards, the Giants finish with the league's worst record, Maxx Crosby leads the NFL in sacks, Desmond Ridder outplays and starts more games than Kenny Pickett, the Panthers grab a wild card, Justin Herbert wins MVP, and the Chiefs beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl. **Claimed:** Sep 8, 2022 **Pundit:** Dan Pizzuta — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/dan-pizzuta **Outlet:** Sharp Football Analysis — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sharp-football-analysis **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/bold-predictions-nfl-2022-season-mvp-super-bowl-winner/ 9 checkable claims — 3 positional finishes, 1 award pick, 1 conference champion, 1 depth chart call, 1 playoff pick, 1 season win total and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 8 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 53.1 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls. > If we add another layer to Andy Reid's involvement, let's say the win comes over the Philadelphia Eagles. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl** - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Maxx Crosby to finish top 1 at his position, by sacks** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Maxx Crosby, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Justin Herbert to win MVP** - Kind: Award Picks · About: Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Desmond Ridder to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Desmond Ridder, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **DK Metcalf to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: DK Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 58.33 out of 100, against 16.67 for a naive guess - **Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl** - Kind: Super Bowl Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Carolina Panthers to make the playoffs** - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Carolina Panthers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Trey Lance to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Trey Lance - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **New York Giants to finish with ? wins** - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: New York Giants - Verdict: too vague to check ## Who this take is about - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Maxx Crosby — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/maxx-crosby - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Justin Herbert — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-herbert - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Desmond Ridder — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/desmond-ridder - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - DK Metcalf — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dk-metcalf - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers - Trey Lance — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trey-lance - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants ## What others said about the same people - Fox Sports on Austin Ekeler: The piece reports, citing ESPN, that Carolina is expected to sign veteran running back Austin Ekeler with Jonathon Brooks sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a3aa7c15-e643-4c03-85d9-10aef8b4085a (scored 0) - Chris Simms on Carolina Panthers: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 50) - Connor Rogers on Kansas City Chiefs: Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c2a0048-cb74-4da9-8ef4-695cc6571cdf (scored 100) - Chris Long on Philadelphia Eagles: Previewing Week 2, Long called New England a spot to bounce back against Pittsburgh, projected a 27-14 Patriots win, saw Eagles-Titans as a 23-10 grinder, liked the Rams' spot Monday night against the Giants, and wrote down a Bills 31, Lions 23 final for the Thursday nighter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab903e00-9f1b-4862-91a6-96343679649c (scored 78.57) - Phil Simms on New York Giants: Phil Simms said the Giants can hang with and beat the Rams in their Monday night matchup, citing the Rams' sluggish showing in Australia and the Giants' offensive versatility. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/149102cf-b9f9-4fd8-8a72-b501daece227 (scored 0) - Steve Kubitza on Za'Darius Smith: Kubitza suggests that Kevin Stefanski's Falcons may lure veteran pass rusher Za'Darius Smith away from Cleveland, signing him in Atlanta instead of the Browns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/54fca826-8644-4e76-bc3f-5d8d44bcca23 (scored 100) ## More positional finishes The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Rich Hribar on Matthew Stafford: Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9d1e15ad-f96d-457c-ad9f-25882182e28b (scored 100) - Chris Brockman on Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c47d130c-5598-4cd0-b546-1121046b9166 (scored 100) - Pat Gustavson on Josh Allen: Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/06884586-5b21-40c8-9439-e303a3e8a806 (scored 16.67) - Rich Eisen on George Pickens: Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2b6828d6-b24c-4c65-ac95-56bf45c4ebf7 (scored 100) - Chad Ochocinco Johnson on Christian Gonzalez: Ochocinco says Christian Gonzalez belongs in the top-five DB conversation, believes Kyler Murray will be elsewhere next year, expects Chase to get a one-game suspension, backs Sam Darnold to bounce back, and floats Jaxon Smith-Njigba reaching 2,000 receiving yards. He also reminds listeners he called the Bears and Panthers as teams to watch before the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c6469c58-b508-48d9-b72f-fe6e0d7d4da5 (scored 0) - Rich Eisen on Puka Nacua: Eisen defended his preseason call of the Packers reaching the Super Bowl, said the Chiefs will win the AFC West, called the Ravens the favorites in the AFC North, said the Colts are a playoff team, expected Denver to handle Cincinnati and the Giants to beat the winless Saints, and endorsed Puka Nacua as the league's best receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e0759bb3-fd2c-400d-8ee9-f77e5c5fe3e6 (scored 91.67) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=dan-pizzuta