# JP Acosta: JP picked the Bills, Seahawks (roughly 17-10), Patriots and Rams in the divisional round, and offered several 2026 draft projections including Ty Simpson as a first-rounder and Jonah Coleman as the class's second running back.

**Claimed:** Jan 15, 2026
**Pundit:** JP Acosta — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jp-acosta
**Outlet:** Pushing the Pile (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/pushing-the-pile-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/serve.castfire.com/audio/8174682/8174682_2026-04-12-052322.192.mp3?rssID=6037

7 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 3 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

6 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 71.8 out of 100, against 56.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So I do think the Bills win this game.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 18, 2026): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 2 in 3 (64%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills to beat Broncos**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 17, 2026): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 48%, Broncos 52%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jonah Coleman to be 2nd running back off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Jonah Coleman, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 37.45 for a naive guess
- **Colton Hood to be picked “back half of the first round” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Colton Hood
  - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **New England Patriots to beat Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Jan 18, 2026): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Monroe Freeling to be picked “round one”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Jonah Coleman — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonah-coleman
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Colton Hood — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/colton-hood
- Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling

## What others said about the same people

- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24)
- Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100)
- John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48)
- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2531f3a-2140-40ac-9831-5ff8224e090f (scored 95.24)
- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Gilberto Manzano on Washington Commanders: Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/84ac6f54-01af-44ab-b97a-f742b2aa3d39 (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)
- John Pluym on New York Giants: Pluym picked the Giants, Patriots, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Colts, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a940f59-49e6-4c02-8e75-60671656da04 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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