# Marcus Mosher: Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams entering Week 3 of the 2024 season, with the Chiefs on top and the Panthers last, and mixes in forecasts: the Bills winning the AFC East, the Texans potentially reaching the AFC Championship, the Steelers starting 4-0 and winning the AFC North, the Saints and Buccaneers as playoff teams, the Cardinals as an NFC sleeper, and the Jaguars falling to 0-3.

**Claimed:** Sep 17, 2024
**Pundit:** Marcus Mosher — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/marcus-mosher
**Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-33rd-team
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/2024-nfl-week-3-power-rankings-texans-enter-top-3-ravens-are-in-free-fall/

9 claims — 2 division winners, 2 playoff picks, 1 conference champion, 1 game outcome pick, 1 power ranking, 1 season win total and 1 surprise team call — the 8 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of the 8 calls we can check have settled so far, averaging 53.5 out of 100, against 95.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The other one was too vague to check, so it is not graded.

> If Buffalo's defense continues to improve, there is no reason why they shouldn't win the AFC East again this year.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Buffalo Bills to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Pittsburgh Steelers to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- “NFL Week 3 Power Rankings — 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. Carolina Panthers”
  - Kind: Power Rankings
  - Verdict: scored 74.3 out of 100, against 67.38 for a naive guess
- **Buffalo Bills to beat Jacksonville Jaguars**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 23, 2024): Bills by 4 · favorite pick, Bills about 2 in 3 (66%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- “With a pretty favorable schedule upcoming, Pittsburgh could easily start the season off with four straight wins.”
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: too vague to check
- **Arizona Cardinals to beat expectations**
  - Kind: Surprise Team Calls · About: Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)
- John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19)
- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9)
- Jared Dubin on Buffalo Bills: Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4535f610-1df1-45e9-a603-fae7ef72893f (scored 73.81)
- Tyler Sullivan on Buffalo Bills: Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd29eda0-d993-4b00-af09-edb0051a4f4b (scored 76.19)
- Bryan DeArdo on Joey Porter Jr.: The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a6edcb85-bcff-47cb-ba7d-e09dc7549fe1 (scored 0)

## More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Daniel DiBerardinis on Atlanta Falcons: Danny D predicts Sonny Styles goes in the top ten (maybe top five), doesn't think Ty Simpson goes before late first round, says Kenyon Sadiq lands with the Rams at 13, and picks the Falcons to win the NFC South while naming the Bengals an AFC bounce-back team. They also give a Final Four of Michigan, Florida, Purdue and Arizona with Michigan winning. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a8e0b7c-9f1c-4c13-8138-1332d73b9b02 (scored 0)
- Colin Cowherd on New York Giants: Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. They also expect Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and they float the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd243624-9451-4824-a8a4-7b468d681c8f (scored 0)
- Colin Cowherd on Los Angeles Chargers: Cowherd unveiled their top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/78de302a-c2f9-41b4-8897-87943ca44caa (scored 0)
- Colin Cowherd on Baltimore Ravens: Cowherd likes Jacksonville, Chicago and Pittsburgh (with DK Metcalf back) in the wild-card round, ranks the league's head coaches with McVay first and Ben Johnson seventh, and predicts Lamar Jackson has about two strong years left. They also name the Rams as a possible team to draft a receiver and floats next year's draft having seven first-round quarterbacks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/432d7268-d5b1-49f6-9435-12c9442d3023 (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on Baltimore Ravens: Parkins lays the points with the Eagles and Cowboys, takes Baltimore to beat Pittsburgh and win the AFC North, picks Carolina over Tampa Bay and Seattle over San Francisco, and says they'd probably pick the Rams to come out of the NFC. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/23bf1e09-f607-4b9a-bdb4-888da7992c89 (scored 0)
- Rich Eisen on Jacksonville Jaguars: Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. They also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/34345186-876a-4c4b-9567-9c289a6cbace (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=marcus-mosher
