# Chad Millman: Millman leaned under on several 10.5-win totals (Ravens, Lions, Chiefs, Rams, Seahawks) and over on Bills, Packers, Eagles and 49ers, plus he took the Panthers over 6.5 wins as his 'Chad's Choice.'

**Claimed:** Mar 4, 2026
**Pundit:** Chad Millman — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chad-millman
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/sharp-or-square/early-2026-nfl-season-win-totals-part-1

7 checkable claims — 6 season win totals and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 6 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 3 and below it on 3.

> Why wouldn't I take the over six and a half with Carolina Panthers?

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Green Bay Packers to finish with 11 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Carolina Panthers to finish with 7 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **San Francisco 49ers to win the division**
  - Kind: Division Winners · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins**
  - Kind: Season Win Totals · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles

## What others said about the same people

- Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)
- John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19)
- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9)
- Jared Dubin on Buffalo Bills: Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4535f610-1df1-45e9-a603-fae7ef72893f (scored 73.81)
- Tyler Sullivan on Buffalo Bills: Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd29eda0-d993-4b00-af09-edb0051a4f4b (scored 76.19)

## More season win totals

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Nick Wright on Chicago Bears: Nick Wright lays out their season win-total picks (overs on Jaguars, Bears, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Raiders, Falcons; unders on Bengals, Colts, Broncos, Cowboys, Vikings, 49ers), playoff berth and miss calls, three division winners, a Chiefs-over-Buccaneers Super Bowl exacta, and five Week 1 picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5049c576-4d69-4d73-a0ba-6296e5e50ff2 (scored 100)
- Damonza Byrd on Jacksonville Jaguars: Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as their favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5eaf9823-e809-4008-855a-c72518f10f08 (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Jacksonville Jaguars: Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; they also like the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9443503e-89b7-461f-8b67-e99f60c8b5d2 (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Dallas Cowboys: Rosenthal expects a high-scoring Eagles-Cowboys kickoff game, guesses a scoreline around 41-27, still believes Dallas can clear its win total and reach the playoffs, likes the Giants to beat expectations with Jackson Dart taking over as starter early. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a11f697d-1616-4bbe-9b7f-5bde7c6653ea (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Baltimore Ravens: Nick Wright predicts Shedeur Sanders stays behind Dylan Gabriel on the Browns depth chart, forecasts a season where Flacco is benched a third of the way in, Gabriel then fails, Shedeur then fails, and Cleveland drafts a quarterback next year. They also make a long list of win-total, playoff and division calls across the AFC North and beyond. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4e17eca2-e154-41f3-b116-389f8335f9c8 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: In part two of their gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/252a575e-6524-48d2-86c4-356e2509e8f5 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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