# Chris Long: Previewing the Week 9 slate, Chris Long expects the Saints to beat Cleveland, the Colts to beat Dallas, New England to edge Green Bay, and Baltimore to beat the Chargers on Monday night. He also calls the Packers a top-10 defense once Micah Parsons returns, names his top six quarterbacks of the season, and expects Brandon Ayuk to be released, with Will Lee and Trevion Henderson sidelined this week.

**Claimed:** Nov 6, 2026
**Pundit:** Chris Long — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-long
**Outlet:** Green Light with Chris Long (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/green-light-with-chris-long-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/YH5153431535.mp3

8 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks, 2 availability calls, 1 position group finish and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> I think the advantage is too too good, too big for, for New England. That's why why I would give them a slight edge in this game.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **New England Patriots to beat Packers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New Orleans Saints to beat Browns**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Saints by 4.5 · favorite pick, Saints about 2 in 3 (66%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Indianapolis Colts to beat Cowboys**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Cowboys by 4.5 · underdog pick, Colts about 1 in 3 (34%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Brandon Aiyuk to move — “probably cut him”**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Brandon Aiyuk
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Green Bay Packers defense to be top 10 in the league**
  - Kind: Position Group Finish · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **But they will not have Trevion Henderson, it sounds like, either, who seemingly wants out.**
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Baltimore Ravens to beat Chargers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **outside, I'm told Will Lee is day to day... That guy's hamstring exploded on TV. I saw it. I was like, there's no way he's playing this week... Canales, we're not stupid... he's not playing this week.**
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Will Lee, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Brandon Aiyuk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brandon-aiyuk
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Will Lee — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/will-lee
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; he also argues the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing him to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100)
- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on Green Bay Packers: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 64.29)
- Derek Brown on Green Bay Packers: Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4014405-6764-427e-9708-679baf6b06de (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on New England Patriots: Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said he would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41cd806b-d6f3-401d-ac46-33a027d3a0fd (scored 14.29)
- Danny Parkins on Green Bay Packers: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Seattle Seahawks: Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Seattle Seahawks: Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/38b2ad8f-9672-44e8-b3c2-b8ad3b004c09 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=chris-long
