# Mike Renner: Renner ranks the top 10 quarterback prospects for the 2027 NFL Draft, with Arch Manning first and an early-round grade attached to each, calling Manning the class's No. 1 prospect and a top-10 pick.

**Claimed:** Sep 3, 2026
**Pundit:** Mike Renner — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/mike-renner
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/2027-nfl-draft-qb-rankings-arch-manning/

12 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks, 1 position order call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> Even if you take away the name and focus on the game, Arch Manning is still the No. 1 prospect in this class.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Arch Manning to be 1st quarterback off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Arch Manning
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Hoover to be picked “Day 3” (picks 101–257)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Josh Hoover, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jayden Maiava to be picked “Day 3” (picks 101–257)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jayden Maiava
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Arch Manning to be picked “Top 10” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arch Manning
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Trinidad Chambliss to be picked “Day 2” (picks 33–100)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Trinidad Chambliss
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Drew Mestemaker to be picked “Late Round 1/early Round 2”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Drew Mestemaker
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **LaNorris Sellers to be picked “Late Day 2” (picks 67–100)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: LaNorris Sellers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Drake Lindsey to be picked “Day 3” (picks 101–257)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Drake Lindsey
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Dante Moore to be picked “Late Round 1/Early Round 2”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dante Moore
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Positional rankings ... QB list: Arch Manning, Drew Mestemaker, Dante Moore, Trinidad Chambliss, LaNorris Sellers, CJ Carr, Julian Sayin, Josh Hoover, Drake Lindsey, Jayden Maiava**
  - Kind: Top Player Lists
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Julian Sayin to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Julian Sayin
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **C.J. Carr to be picked “Early Day 3” (picks 101–179)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: C.J. Carr
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Arch Manning — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arch-manning
- Josh Hoover — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-hoover
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Jayden Maiava — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jayden-maiava
- Trinidad Chambliss — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trinidad-chambliss
- Drew Mestemaker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drew-mestemaker
- LaNorris Sellers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lanorris-sellers
- Drake Lindsey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drake-lindsey
- Dante Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dante-moore
- Julian Sayin — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/julian-sayin
- C.J. Carr — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-carr

## What others said about the same people

- Tyler Sullivan on Indianapolis Colts: Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 3 game, including a Bills blowout of the reeling Chargers, a Chiefs rout in Miami, a Seahawks win over a Mariota-led Washington, and the Saints beating the Raiders in their home opener. He also expects Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Jaxson Dart all to be sidelined in Week 3, with Marcus Mariota starting for Washington. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e4b11b44-d359-4027-a72c-87833f5ff6e3 (scored 97.62)
- Noah Compton on Caden Curry: After the Colts' preseason finale loss to Detroit, Compton projected several roster and depth-chart outcomes: Daniel Jones as the starting quarterback, rookie A.J. Haulcy as the starting strong safety, Seth McGowan as the backup running back, and rookie defensive ends George Gumbs Jr. and Caden Curry making the initial 53-man roster, while receiver Deion Burks appears likely to be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa7eba23-4322-47d7-b21e-7adb82e6b325 (scored 100)
- Nathan Jahnke on Laquon Treadwell: PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a large number of depth-chart, role and fantasy-value calls across the league, including Chig Okonkwo as a top sleeper tight end, Tre Tucker as the Raiders' top receiver, and various backfield hierarchies. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/760054fd-7815-4b86-a9e3-bc9bdb0a730b (scored 100)
- Nathan Jahnke on Laquon Treadwell: PFF's fantasy football preseason recap projects depth-chart outcomes, roster spots and fantasy value for numerous players across several preseason games, including Chig Okonkwo's expanded role in Washington, Ja'Kobi Lane as Baltimore's WR3, Malachi Fields winning the Giants' starting X job, and Zachariah Branch being a fantasy bust relative to his late-round cost. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/22a4578b-eb92-41d2-820b-1a7eaa2e4e2f (scored 100)
- Andrew Moore on Anthony Richardson: Moore expects Anthony Richardson Sr. to make the Colts' 53-man roster and win the QB2 job over Riley Leonard, and believes Spencer Shrader should beat out Blake Grupe for the kicking job; he also sees UDFA cornerback Kenneth Harris as having an outside shot at the roster. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba74ddf3-bdd9-4479-9fc9-0413c5523700 (scored 100)
- Carter Bahns on Jerry Tillery: A CBS Sports piece names 20 notable veterans it considers at risk of being cut before the 53-man roster deadline, with several pegged for the practice squad or outright release, and also sketches a few depth-chart pecking orders (Titans QBs, Panthers tight ends, Texans receivers, Eagles backfield). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/94f49c83-2307-4f25-b10c-b1cba9df5dbc (scored 0)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=mike-renner
