# Rich Hribar: Hribar published full statistical projections and fantasy rankings for 500+ players for the 2024 NFL season, ordering quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and tight ends by projected fantasy points and projecting individual passing, rushing and receiving lines. **Claimed:** Sep 1, 2024 **Pundit:** Rich Hribar — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/rich-hribar **Outlet:** Sharp Football Analysis — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sharp-football-analysis **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/fantasy-football-rankings-projections-stats/ 47 checkable claims — 43 player season numbers and 4 fantasy rankings — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 34 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 47 have settled, averaging 50.2 out of 100, against 34.6 for a naive guess at the same calls. > The table below has my fantasy football projections for all quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Ja'Marr Chase to record 11.2 receiving tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 31.76 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **CeeDee Lamb to record 10.7 receiving tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 12.15 out of 100, against 50.48 for a naive guess - **Sam LaPorta to record 9.4 receiving tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Sam LaPorta, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 48.94 out of 100, against 82.37 for a naive guess - **Jonathan Taylor to record 1,223.2 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 70.96 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jalen Hurts to record 11.2 rushing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 60 out of 100, against 28.37 for a naive guess - **Josh Allen to record 28.2 passing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 98.58 out of 100, against 52.3 for a naive guess - **Tyreek Hill to record 119.8 receptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 35.23 out of 100, against 84.7 for a naive guess - **Lamar Jackson to record 851.9 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 86.21 out of 100, against 7.46 for a naive guess - “Josh Allen BUF QB 374.2 ... Jalen Hurts PHI QB 370.5 ... Patrick Mahomes KC QB 334.0 ... Aaron Rodgers NYJ QB 287.5” - Kind: Fantasy Rankings - Verdict: scored 60 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Derrick Henry to record 1,163.1 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 21.09 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Saquon Barkley to record 1,174.1 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 17.12 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jalen Hurts to record 4,069.2 passing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 42.68 out of 100, against 91.12 for a naive guess - **Tyreek Hill to record 1,701 receiving yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 12.76 out of 100, against 75.65 for a naive guess - **Anthony Richardson to record 877.8 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 13.69 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Christian McCaffrey to record 586.4 receiving yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Josh Allen to record 10.2 rushing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 70 out of 100, against 49.77 for a naive guess - “Travis Kelce KC TE 205.2 ... Sam LaPorta DET TE 203.6 ... Pat Freiermuth PIT TE 129.9” - Kind: Fantasy Rankings - Verdict: scored 65.73 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **C.J. Stroud to record 4,895.1 passing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 52.27 out of 100, against 55.57 for a naive guess - **Ja'Marr Chase to record 1,404.1 receiving yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 64.41 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Josh Allen to record 537.6 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 97.54 out of 100, against 29.24 for a naive guess - **C.J. Stroud to record 30.4 passing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 31.58 out of 100, against 83.22 for a naive guess - **Jalen Hurts to record 673.3 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 87.14 out of 100, against 21.79 for a naive guess - **Mark Andrews to record 1,036.1 receiving yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 29.91 out of 100, against 16.98 for a naive guess - **Travis Kelce to record 96.3 receptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 98.56 out of 100, against 20.84 for a naive guess - **Patrick Mahomes to record 4,752.7 passing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 65.3 out of 100, against 49.52 for a naive guess - **Christian McCaffrey to record 69 receptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - “Christian McCaffrey SF RB 306.2 ... Breece Hall NYJ RB 267.0 ... David Montgomery DET RB 171.1” - Kind: Fantasy Rankings - Verdict: scored 57.29 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Travis Kelce to record 1,079 receiving yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 52.55 out of 100, against 49.12 for a naive guess - **Breece Hall to record 1,188.5 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Breece Hall, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 47.41 out of 100, against 58.06 for a naive guess - **Justin Jefferson to record 1,665.2 receiving yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 84.12 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - “CeeDee Lamb DAL WR 303.6 ... Tyreek Hill MIA WR 291.2 ... Nico Collins HOU WR 200.6” - Kind: Fantasy Rankings - Verdict: scored 69.92 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Amon-Ra St. Brown to record 1,415.7 receiving yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 78.43 out of 100, against 50.43 for a naive guess - **Sam LaPorta to record 999.1 receiving yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Sam LaPorta, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 45.33 out of 100, against 55.96 for a naive guess - **Justin Jefferson to record 114.1 receptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 80.54 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Breece Hall to record 65.6 receptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Breece Hall, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 73.78 out of 100, against 66.42 for a naive guess - **Bijan Robinson to record 1,062.6 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Bijan Robinson, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 45.96 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Patrick Mahomes to record 31.9 passing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 63.01 out of 100, against 56.32 for a naive guess - **Amon-Ra St. Brown to record 124.2 receptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 85.19 out of 100, against 30.09 for a naive guess - **Christian McCaffrey to record 10.6 rushing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **CeeDee Lamb to record 1,643.1 receiving yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 45.34 out of 100, against 78.72 for a naive guess - **Josh Allen to record 4,472.1 passing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 66.86 out of 100, against 60.71 for a naive guess - **Christian McCaffrey to record 1,276.7 rushing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Saquon Barkley to record 6.7 rushing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 3.08 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Anthony Richardson to record 3,350.4 passing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 8.29 out of 100, against 24.99 for a naive guess - **Derrick Henry to record 11.6 rushing tds** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Derrick Henry, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 45 out of 100, against 4.61 for a naive guess - **Lamar Jackson to record 3,630.2 passing yards** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 74.03 out of 100, against 28.67 for a naive guess - **CeeDee Lamb to record 126.4 receptions** - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 59.81 out of 100, against 63.97 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Ja'Marr Chase — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ja-marr-chase - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - CeeDee Lamb — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ceedee-lamb - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Sam LaPorta — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-laporta - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Jonathan Taylor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Jalen Hurts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jalen-hurts - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Josh Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-allen - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Tyreek Hill — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyreek-hill - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Lamar Jackson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lamar-jackson - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Derrick Henry — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/derrick-henry - Saquon Barkley — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/saquon-barkley - Anthony Richardson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/anthony-richardson - Christian McCaffrey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-mccaffrey - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers - C.J. Stroud — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-stroud - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Mark Andrews — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mark-andrews - Travis Kelce — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/travis-kelce - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Patrick Mahomes — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/patrick-mahomes - Breece Hall — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/breece-hall - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Justin Jefferson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-jefferson - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Amon-Ra St. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/amon-ra-st-brown - Bijan Robinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bijan-robinson - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons ## What others said about the same people - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0) - Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100) - Charean Williams on Odell Beckham Jr.: Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4fd8cfb-3c75-4209-9e1a-d60e821f315b (scored 0) ## More player season numbers The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ross Jackson on Tyler Shough: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4dc05898-73fd-4fcb-92c4-a940d7e395ba (scored 3.63) - Chris Broussard on Myles Garrett: Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. They also take the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a026afc-40fe-4b1f-b209-3ce53ae205d7 (scored 91.67) - Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9a8b5cea-9f2f-46f0-9939-72c2a60e4c26 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among their weekly picks they expect the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029b0090-8d3f-47de-9fb9-7f0a02320f3a (scored 84) - Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f94f8499-af74-4a8d-a688-fd08cd52bb3c (scored 56.25) - Daniel Jeremiah on Jihaad Campbell: Jeremiah walked through their mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. They also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c5de01a8-6e40-436d-9e04-07e1d39e54ae (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=rich-hribar