# Chris Simms: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. They also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.

**Claimed:** Sep 25, 2026
**Pundit:** Chris Simms — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-simms
**Outlet:** Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/chris-simms-unbuttoned-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/006cbbeb-1b7a-4729-b380-b3df0127e8db/02686249-75b3-40ce-b58f-b3df0134b685/af608ef8-d36f-4974-9e4f-b4d00119fec5/audio.mp3?in_playlist=89df2a40-d377-4495-87df-b3df0134b68b

17 checkable claims — 13 score predictions, 3 availability calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 19 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

13 of 17 have settled so far, averaging 72 out of 100, against 70.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> I'm gonna take Jacksonville to win a close one.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Kansas City Chiefs 34 — Dolphins 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 18.75 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Chiefs by 10, total 45.5 · this 34–20 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 14) and more points (54). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Baltimore Ravens 28 — Cowboys 24**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 44.94 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Ravens by 3, total 53.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 4) and fewer points (52). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New Orleans Saints 26 — Raiders 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 33.04 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Saints by 3.5, total 43.5 · this 26–17 calls a bigger Saints win (by 9) and fewer points (43). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Minnesota Vikings 28 — Bucs 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 35.42 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Vikings by 1.5, total 42.5 · this 28–17 calls a bigger Vikings win (by 11) and more points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **San Francisco 49ers 31 — Cardinals 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 88.1 out of 100, against 87.8 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): 49ers by 7.5, total 48.5 · this 31–20 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 11) and more points (51). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Denver Broncos 24 — Rams 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 92.56 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Broncos by 1.5, total 43.5 · this 24–21 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 3) and more points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Jaguars by 3, total 46.5 · this 23–21 calls a closer game (Jaguars by 2) and fewer points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Seattle Seahawks 24 — Washington 14**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 30.95 out of 100, against 97.32 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Seahawks by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 24–14 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 10) and fewer points (38). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New York Giants 17 — Titans 13**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 90.18 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Giants by 2.5, total 37.5 · this 17–13 calls a bigger Giants win (by 4) and fewer points (30). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Steelers 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 40.48 out of 100, against 94.94 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Bengals by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 7) and more points (47). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Carolina Panthers 24 — Browns 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 94.94 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Panthers by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 4) and more points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Houston Texans 20 — Colts 17**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 47.62 out of 100, against 97.32 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Texans by 1.5, total 41.5 · this 20–17 calls a bigger Texans win (by 3) and fewer points (37). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills 35 — Chargers 27**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 83.04 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 27, 2026): Bills by 7, total 50.5 · this 35–27 calls a bigger Bills win (by 8) and more points (62). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- “Because I don't expect Puka to play. (Week 3, Rams at Broncos)”
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Puka Nacua, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Marvin Harrison Jr. to be 3rd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Marvin Harrison Jr., Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- “There's a flowers. We're not expecting him to play, right?... but I don't expect to see him. (Week 3, Ravens-Cowboys in Brazil)”
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- “Expect Kyler Murray to play, and I think he's gonna show his ass this weekend.”
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Puka Nacua — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/puka-nacua
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marvin-harrison-jr
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Zay Flowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zay-flowers
- Kyler Murray — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kyler-murray

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Parker Hurley on Khalid Kareem: Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a729417-69ee-493a-9bec-d905fd1a7082 (scored 0)
- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24)
- Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100)
- John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48)
- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e2531f3a-2140-40ac-9831-5ff8224e090f (scored 95.24)
- John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech gave straight-up score predictions for every Week 10 NFL game, including the desperate Commanders beating the Giants on Thursday night, the Lions handling the Patriots in Munich, the Texans beating Deshaun Watson and the Browns, and the Bengals surviving the Steelers at home despite returning from Madrid. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6cf76e62-6135-4cd9-9ac8-0c5294b6a759 (scored 90.48)
- Pete Prisco on Green Bay Packers: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 64.29)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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