# Sam Monson: Monson predicted the Bills would beat the Patriots, possibly handily, agreed the Bears would beat the Jets, and said the Chargers would be beaten down by Seattle. They also said Dallas Turner would lead the league in pressures and sacks, and expected Jalen Coker to miss the Panthers' game.

**Claimed:** Oct 1, 2026
**Pundit:** Sam Monson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/sam-monson
**Outlet:** Check the Mic (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/check-the-mic-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://pdst.fm/e/pscrb.fm/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/256/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.megaphone.fm/RSV8592619569.mp3

5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 availability call and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I feel like the Bills will win this and maybe win it handily.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Buffalo Bills to beat New England Patriots**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Bills by 7 · favorite pick, Bills about 3 in 4 (74%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Chicago Bears to beat New York Jets**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Bears by 3.5 · favorite pick, Bears 63%. Graded on who won, not on the spread. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat Los Angeles Chargers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Seahawks by 7 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 3 in 4 (74%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Dallas Turner to finish top 1 at his position, by sacks**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Dallas Turner, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- “Coker's officially questionable with the quad... So I think it's a pretty good chance he doesn't play. (Week 4 vs. Lions)”
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Jalen Coker, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Dallas Turner — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dallas-turner
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Jalen Coker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jalen-coker
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers

## What others said about the same people

- Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100)
- Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100)
- Charean Williams on Odell Beckham Jr.: Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4fd8cfb-3c75-4209-9e1a-d60e821f315b (scored 0)
- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Eva Geitheim on Washington Commanders: Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c011abef-0b18-41ad-acad-6a67dfbd41fd (scored 100)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Albert Breer on New York Giants: Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fdc16abc-9ae2-4bf4-a327-8e9d9ae283b6 (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)
- John Pluym on New York Giants: Pluym picked the Giants, Patriots, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Colts, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a940f59-49e6-4c02-8e75-60671656da04 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=sam-monson
