# Jake Ciely: Jake Seely's blueprint starts with Puka Nacua as their No. 1 wide receiver, then leans on running back value (Chase Brown, Kyren Williams), a Terry McLaurin bounce back, a Marvin Harrison gamble, Sam LaPorta as Detroit's No. 2 target, and late upside in Dart, Addison, Downs, Coker, Kamara and Keaton Mitchell.

**Claimed:** Jul 20, 2026
**Pundit:** Jake Ciely — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-ciely
**Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/the-perfect-fantasy-football-draft-strategy-for-2026-the-top-value-picks-in-every-round-ep-2092

21 checkable claims — 13 sleeper calls, 5 positional finishes, 2 depth chart calls and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 24 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 4 and below it on 1.

> But as seventeen games with Matthew Stafford, he's probably gonna be the number one wide receiver again.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Sam LaPorta to outplay his draft cost (round seven)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Sam LaPorta, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kyren Williams to outplay his draft cost (third round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kyren Williams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Puka Nacua
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Keaton Mitchell to outplay his draft cost (round fourteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Keaton Mitchell, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jayden Higgins to outplay his draft cost (twelfth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jayden Higgins
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jalen Coker to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jalen Coker, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (tenth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Josh Downs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaxson Dart to outplay his draft cost (eighth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jaxson Dart, New York Giants
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Marvin Harrison Jr. to outplay his draft cost (sixth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Marvin Harrison Jr.
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Sam LaPorta to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Sam LaPorta, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (second round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Alvin Kamara to outplay his draft cost (round thirteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Alvin Kamara
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **David Montgomery to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: David Montgomery, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **A.J. Brown to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kyren Williams to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Kyren Williams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaxson Dart to record 6–8 rushing yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Jaxson Dart, New York Giants
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (twelfth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jalen Coker, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (eleventh round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jonathon Brooks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Terry McLaurin to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Terry McLaurin
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jordan Addison to outplay his draft cost (ninth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jordan Addison, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Terry McLaurin to outplay his draft cost (fourth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Terry McLaurin
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Sam LaPorta — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-laporta
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Kyren Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kyren-williams
- Puka Nacua — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/puka-nacua
- Keaton Mitchell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keaton-mitchell
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Jayden Higgins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jayden-higgins
- Jalen Coker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jalen-coker
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-downs
- Jaxson Dart — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaxson-dart
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marvin-harrison-jr
- Chase Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chase-brown
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Alvin Kamara — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/alvin-kamara
- David Montgomery — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-montgomery
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Jonathon Brooks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathon-brooks
- Terry McLaurin — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/terry-mclaurin
- Jordan Addison — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordan-addison
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings

## What others said about the same people

- Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0)
- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6c19276-74df-4775-8a6e-f67c6d94b773 (scored 42.86)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07b5aad4-57ad-4195-bc69-66b1abec33a0 (scored 35.71)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put their rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at their cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100)
- Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashee Rice: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0)
- Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jake-ciely
