# Jake Ciely: Jake Seely's blueprint starts with Puka Nacua as his No. 1 wide receiver, then leans on running back value (Chase Brown, Kyren Williams), a Terry McLaurin bounce back, a Marvin Harrison gamble, Sam LaPorta as Detroit's No. 2 target, and late upside in Dart, Addison, Downs, Coker, Kamara and Keaton Mitchell.

**Claimed:** Jul 20, 2026
**Pundit:** Jake Ciely — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-ciely
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/the-perfect-fantasy-football-draft-strategy-for-2026-the-top-value-picks-in-every-round-ep-2092

21 checkable claims — 13 sleeper calls, 5 positional finishes, 2 depth chart calls and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 24 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 7 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 4 and below it on 3.

> But as seventeen games with Matthew Stafford, he's probably gonna be the number one wide receiver again.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (twelfth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jalen Coker, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaxson Dart to outplay his draft cost (eighth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jaxson Dart, New York Giants
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Alvin Kamara to outplay his draft cost (round thirteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Alvin Kamara
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Terry McLaurin to outplay his draft cost (fourth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Terry McLaurin
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaxson Dart to record 600 rushing yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Jaxson Dart, New York Giants
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Puka Nacua to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Puka Nacua
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Keaton Mitchell to outplay his draft cost (round fourteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Keaton Mitchell, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Sam LaPorta to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Sam LaPorta, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (second round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Chase Brown, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jayden Higgins to outplay his draft cost (twelfth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jayden Higgins
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Terry McLaurin to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Terry McLaurin
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Sam LaPorta to outplay his draft cost (round seven)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Sam LaPorta, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **David Montgomery to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: David Montgomery, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Marvin Harrison Jr. to outplay his draft cost (sixth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Marvin Harrison Jr.
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (eleventh round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jonathon Brooks
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **A.J. Brown to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: A.J. Brown, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kyren Williams to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Kyren Williams
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (tenth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Josh Downs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jalen Coker to be 2nd on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jalen Coker, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jordan Addison to outplay his draft cost (ninth round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jordan Addison, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kyren Williams to outplay his draft cost (third round)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kyren Williams
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Jalen Coker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jalen-coker
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Jaxson Dart — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaxson-dart
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Alvin Kamara — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/alvin-kamara
- Terry McLaurin — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/terry-mclaurin
- Puka Nacua — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/puka-nacua
- Keaton Mitchell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keaton-mitchell
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Sam LaPorta — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sam-laporta
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Chase Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chase-brown
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Jayden Higgins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jayden-higgins
- David Montgomery — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-montgomery
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marvin-harrison-jr
- Jonathon Brooks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathon-brooks
- A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Kyren Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kyren-williams
- Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-downs
- Jordan Addison — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordan-addison
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Minnesota Vikings: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 90.48)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0)
- Nate Tice on Detroit Lions: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Sam Monson on Minnesota Vikings: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 100)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100)
- Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashee Rice: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0)
- Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jake-ciely
