# Joe Marino: Marino ranks the 2026 edge rusher class for the Bills' draft board, putting Ruben Bain first with first-round grades on Bain, David Bailey and Malachi Lawrence, and assigns round-by-round grades down through LT Overton. They predict Bailey goes in the top 10 even though they don't see them as that caliber of prospect.

**Claimed:** Apr 12, 2026
**Pundit:** Joe Marino — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/joe-marino
**Outlet:** Locked On Bills (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-bills-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/8c06ff/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/d5c86183-3556-42ef-a0fc-3e82326ec162/episodes/38e6d561-ac72-4476-b302-ba83ebb5b930/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=d5c86183-3556-42ef-a0fc-3e82326ec162&awEpisodeId=38e6d561-ac72-4476-b302-ba83ebb5b930&feed=LIaoLB9Y

7 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 65.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> So my number one edge is Ruben Bayne out of Miami, and I have first round grades on Reuben Bain, David Bailey out of Texas Tech, and Malachi Lawrence out of Central Florida.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Derek Moore to be picked “day three grade, probably later in the fourth round” (picks 101–140)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Derek Moore
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Akheem Mesidor to be picked “late first, early second round” (picks 1–64)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Romello Height to be picked “fourth round type prospect” (picks 101–140)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Romello Height
  - Verdict: scored 26.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **David Bailey to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Malachi Lawrence to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Malachi Lawrence
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- “So my number one edge is Ruben Bayne out of Miami, and I have first round grades on Reuben Bain, David Bailey out of Texas Tech, and Malachi Lawrence out of Central Florida... In terms of late first, early second round, I have Keldrick Falk out of Auburn and then Akeem Mesador out of Miami. Second round grades, Gabe Yakis or Aches out of Illinois... Zion Young out of Missouri, Cassius Howell out of Texas a and m, our Mason Thomas out of Oklahoma, TJ Parker out of Clemson... a late two early three on Deshaun Barham out of Michigan... third round grade out of Kieran Crawford out of Auburn and Joshua Joseph's out of Tennessee. Fourth round grades on Romello Height and Derek Moore... a late fourth, early fifth on Danny Dennis Sutton out of Penn State, and then a fifth round grade out of l on LT Overton out of Alabama.”
  - Kind: Top Player Lists
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Zion Young to be picked “day two grade”**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Zion Young
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Derek Moore — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/derek-moore
- Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Romello Height — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/romello-height
- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- Malachi Lawrence — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malachi-lawrence
- Zion Young — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zion-young

## What others said about the same people

- Alain Poupart on Carlos Washington: Poupart expects rookie guard Kadyn Proctor to clear concussion protocol and play against Detroit, sees Ollie Gordon II continuing as the Dolphins' workhorse back, and thinks practice squad back Carlos Washington Jr. could be elevated for the Lions game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8f436e4c-b47e-41c6-9c95-ad8a2e6a32f0 (scored 0)
- Nick Brinkerhoff on Miami Dolphins: Predicts a 23-20 Dolphins win over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a38cb982-14c3-4bea-bf0f-f61b43e1535a (scored 100)
- Mike Kadlick on Miami Dolphins: Picks the Dolphins to beat the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/23a2739f-abc5-4aea-9665-cebe61f324c5 (scored 100)
- Alain Poupart on Miami Dolphins: Picks the Dolphins to upset the Jets 24-20, citing New York's run-defense problems against a Miami ground game led by Ollie Gordon II and Malik Willis. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0737798d-0dca-47e8-926d-d78d3f3f095a (scored 97.62)
- Alain Poupart on Miami Dolphins: Picks the Jets to beat the Dolphins 19-17, while predicting Miami will get its win over New York in the rematch five weeks later. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9911cc3c-511b-46b0-b379-e65b36a962bf (scored 100)
- Jourdan Rodrigue on Miami Dolphins: Roderick picked the Vikings to smash the Colts, the Dolphins to win their first game of the season against the Jets, and the Saints to upset the Steelers in Paris. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b45ad24a-5924-47e4-b85c-68b9fa738ef4 (scored 100)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46)
- Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0)
- Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86)
- Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09)
- Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0)
- Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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