# Nate Tice: Tice picked the Jaguars over the Bengals, the Chiefs over the Raiders, the 49ers over the Broncos, the Rams over the Eagles, the Lions over the Panthers, and the Packers over the Buccaneers. He also predicted 70 or more combined points in Lions-Panthers and said Caleb Johnson will be Green Bay's lead back.

**Claimed:** Oct 1, 2026
**Pundit:** Nate Tice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nate-tice
**Outlet:** Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/football-301-with-nate-tice-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://injector.simplecastaudio.com/0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b/episodes/e25f436e-0661-4ce4-a4df-52a04031d01f/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=0781c6b2-a56c-4448-9b62-fe6d25b9523b&awEpisodeId=e25f436e-0661-4ce4-a4df-52a04031d01f&feed=Nvy5cWFT

7 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

6 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 83.3 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> I think there will be 70 or more points scored in lions, panthers.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **San Francisco 49ers to beat Broncos**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): 49ers by 3 · favorite pick, 49ers 60%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Detroit Lions to beat Panthers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Lions by 4.5 · favorite pick, Lions about 2 in 3 (66%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat Eagles**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 64%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Chiefs by 4.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 2 in 3 (66%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Green Bay Packers to beat Bucs**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Packers by 3 · favorite pick, Packers 58%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bengals**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Bengals by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 43%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Kaleb Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kaleb Johnson, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Kaleb Johnson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kaleb-johnson

## What others said about the same people

- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on Green Bay Packers: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 64.29)
- Christian Booher on Anthony Lucas: Booher previews the Lions' Week 9 trip to Miami, predicting Derrick Barnes takes over as the green-dot linebacker in Jack Campbell's absence, Juice Scruggs starts at center, and boldly forecasting Detroit's first defensive touchdown of the season on an Aidan Hutchinson strip-sack recovered and returned by Barnes. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/228a7c0e-608b-4043-a8fa-eb3f8b2c4ce8 (scored 0)
- Derek Brown on Green Bay Packers: Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. He was bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b4014405-6764-427e-9708-679baf6b06de (scored 100)
- Danny Parkins on Green Bay Packers: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 100)
- AJ Hawk on San Francisco 49ers: Hawk said the Chiefs would beat the Jets, the Seahawks would beat the Cardinals, and the 49ers would beat the Raiders, even while taking the points with the underdogs in each case. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d20e3b12-b0ca-45f8-a14c-925af9b754bb (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Seattle Seahawks: Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)
- Pamela Maldonado on Seattle Seahawks: Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/38b2ad8f-9672-44e8-b3c2-b8ad3b004c09 (scored 100)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nate-tice
