# Bobby Skinner: Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates he had listed.

**Claimed:** Mar 6, 2025
**Pundit:** Bobby Skinner — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bobby-skinner
**Outlet:** The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-dan-patrick-show-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/football-today-jomboy-media/nfl-free-agency-predictions

14 checkable claims — 12 trade and signing calls, 1 depth chart call and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

10 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 34.5 out of 100, against 37.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Daniel Jones is going to the Indianapolis Colts with the first pick

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Khalil Mack to move to Chicago Bears**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Khalil Mack, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Haason Reddick to move to Washington Commanders**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Haason Reddick, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Darius Slayton to move to Los Angeles Chargers**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Darius Slayton, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Davante Adams to move to New York Giants**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Davante Adams, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Aaron Rodgers to move to New York Giants**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Aaron Rodgers, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **D.J. Reed to move to Arizona Cardinals**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: D.J. Reed, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Milton Williams to move to New England Patriots**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Milton Williams, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Daniel Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Josh Downs to record 80 receptions**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 45 out of 100, against 71.82 for a naive guess
- **Justin Fields to move to Pittsburgh Steelers**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Justin Fields, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Stefon Diggs to move to Houston Texans**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Stefon Diggs, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Lavonte David to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Lavonte David, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jevon Holland to move**
  - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jevon Holland
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Khalil Mack — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/khalil-mack
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Haason Reddick — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/haason-reddick
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Darius Slayton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/darius-slayton
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Davante Adams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/davante-adams
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Aaron Rodgers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-rodgers
- D.J. Reed — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/d-j-reed
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Milton Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/milton-williams
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Daniel Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Josh Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-downs
- Justin Fields — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-fields
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Stefon Diggs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/stefon-diggs
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Lavonte David — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lavonte-david
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Jevon Holland — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jevon-holland

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on New York Giants: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0)
- Sam Monson on Los Angeles Chargers: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 0)
- Nate Tice on New England Patriots: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 100)
- Matt Harmon on Chicago Bears: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 0)

## More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Adam Carlson on J.J. McCarthy: Carlson names three Vikings he expects could be traded before the end of September: quarterback J.J. McCarthy, wide receiver Jordan Addison and linebacker Ivan Pace. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/65e3f9cf-c441-42a2-baaf-7cd3dbebafad (scored 100)
- Greg Auman on J.J. McCarthy: Auman argues no quarterback is likely to replicate Sam Darnold's turnaround this season, but names five candidates. He expects Miami to hold a very high pick in the 2027 draft, and thinks J.J. McCarthy will eventually be traded for a late-round pick or cut by the Vikings. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9b8eb78e-ddfa-4274-ac8f-17b069e6b87f (scored 100)
- Bucky Brooks on J.J. McCarthy: Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/10c3797b-f9e0-41ca-a2a3-5d765a242a79 (scored 100)
- Bryan DeArdo on J.J. McCarthy: Named several players as candidates to be traded before Sunday's cut deadline, including Vikings QB J.J. McCarthy, Cardinals edge Josh Sweat and Steelers cornerback Joey Porter Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1efd361e-309f-48ba-ab0a-28d77ff76942 (scored 100)
- Bryan DeArdo on J.J. McCarthy: A CBS Sports piece lists veterans it expects could be traded before the 53-man roster deadline, including quarterbacks Anthony Richardson (with Buffalo floated as a landing spot), J.J. McCarthy and Will Howard, plus Jerry Jeudy, Joey Porter Jr., Tyrone Tracy Jr., Kayvon Thibodeaux, Josh Sweat, Kristian Fulton and Marist Liufau. It also says Mason Rudolph's and Drew Allar's roster spots in Pittsburgh are secure. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bd269550-714b-4a52-b6e1-2ba079b58fef (scored 100)
- Matthew Coller on J.J. McCarthy: Coller argues J.J. McCarthy's development is far behind schedule and that he will likely end up needing a fresh start with another team rather than developing into the Vikings' answer at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9ffe221e-9c07-4fd5-9e59-a767ffbc691c (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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