# Chris Brockman: Brockman declares the road to the Super Bowl goes through Buffalo and Philadelphia — both will be No. 1 seeds — and he states outright that the Bills and Eagles will meet in the Super Bowl. He also says Russell Wilson has been a top-five quarterback since returning, predicts the Packers reach the divisional round again, and insists both the Chiefs and Ravens will be one-and-done in the playoffs (Houston beating Baltimore, Bo Nix's Broncos winning at Arrowhead).

**Claimed:** Dec 2, 2024
**Pundit:** Chris Brockman — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman
**Outlet:** Overreaction Monday (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/WWO3328365054.mp3?updated=1733163087

8 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 2 game outcome picks, 2 seeding, byes and home field, 1 playoff pick and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 43.8 out of 100, against 71.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> The road to the Super Bowl goes through Buffalo and Philadelphia.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Philadelphia Eagles to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Denver Broncos to beat Chiefs**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Buffalo Bills to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Russell Wilson to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Russell Wilson, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess
- **Houston Texans to beat Ravens**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Russell Wilson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/russell-wilson
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Denver Broncos: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62)
- Chris Long on Buffalo Bills: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100)
- Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0)
- Nate Tice on Philadelphia Eagles: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 0)
- Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52)
- Matt Harmon on Philadelphia Eagles: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 100)

## More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Damonza Byrd on Seattle Seahawks: The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c59694cc-b2ff-401f-ae64-3313b822cd5a (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on New England Patriots: The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5d16f975-ba4e-46f4-8717-8962b81c5bdf (scored 100)
- AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC he stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/70ca2972-53a1-4559-bd03-94c5fede2f4e (scored 50)
- Derek Murphy on Seattle Seahawks: Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a5f623b2-e1e6-4687-b345-df2d9f35641f (scored 100)
- Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on New England Patriots: Connor expects a tight first half in Denver before New England pulls away in the second half and advances to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c31dff9f-7c0a-422d-9df1-e7423b9edcc8 (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Seattle Seahawks: Rosenthal picks the Patriots to beat the Broncos in a close, low-scoring AFC Championship in Denver (while liking Denver to cover the 4.5 points), takes the Seahawks over the Rams in a defensive NFC Championship he pegs around 23-19, and forecasts a Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/830a8ed3-b98f-4161-a71c-4c7beb80f350 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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