# Chris Brockman: Brockman declares the road to the Super Bowl goes through Buffalo and Philadelphia — both will be No. 1 seeds — and they state outright that the Bills and Eagles will meet in the Super Bowl. They also say Russell Wilson has been a top-five quarterback since returning, predicts the Packers reach the divisional round again, and insists both the Chiefs and Ravens will be one-and-done in the playoffs (Houston beating Baltimore, Bo Nix's Broncos winning at Arrowhead).

**Claimed:** Dec 2, 2024
**Pundit:** Chris Brockman — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-brockman
**Outlet:** Overreaction Monday (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/overreaction-monday-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/WWO3328365054.mp3?updated=1733163087

8 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 2 game outcome picks, 2 seeding, byes and home field, 1 playoff pick and 1 positional finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 43.8 out of 100, against 71.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> The road to the Super Bowl goes through Buffalo and Philadelphia.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Philadelphia Eagles to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Denver Broncos to beat Chiefs**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Buffalo Bills to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Russell Wilson to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Russell Wilson, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess
- **Houston Texans to beat Ravens**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Russell Wilson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/russell-wilson
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Chad Jensen on Jordan Turner: Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a84d2c6e-5554-46aa-95b1-620858d31e0f (scored 0)
- Pete Prisco on Buffalo Bills: Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/baf85732-a389-4d56-8efe-5ce1e77fb8ae (scored 76.19)
- John Breech on Buffalo Bills: Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d22cd22-c9e2-4e03-ac32-129a116a34d0 (scored 76.19)
- Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/28009098-d828-4465-9c7f-f92dac661f0a (scored 61.9)

## More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Damonza Byrd on Seattle Seahawks: The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c59694cc-b2ff-401f-ae64-3313b822cd5a (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on New England Patriots: The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5d16f975-ba4e-46f4-8717-8962b81c5bdf (scored 100)
- AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/70ca2972-53a1-4559-bd03-94c5fede2f4e (scored 50)
- Derek Murphy on Seattle Seahawks: Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a5f623b2-e1e6-4687-b345-df2d9f35641f (scored 100)
- Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on New England Patriots: Connor expects a tight first half in Denver before New England pulls away in the second half and advances to the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c31dff9f-7c0a-422d-9df1-e7423b9edcc8 (scored 100)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Seattle Seahawks: Rosenthal picks the Patriots to beat the Broncos in a close, low-scoring AFC Championship in Denver (while liking Denver to cover the 4.5 points), takes the Seahawks over the Rams in a defensive NFC Championship they peg around 23-19, and forecasts a Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/830a8ed3-b98f-4161-a71c-4c7beb80f350 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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