# Jake Arthur: Arthur predicted a lopsided Jaguars win over the Colts in Jacksonville, 31-13, continuing the Colts' losing streak there, while offering a 'bold' counter-prediction that Daniel Jones accounts for three touchdowns (two passing, one rushing).

**Claimed:** Oct 30, 2026
**Pundit:** Jake Arthur — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-arthur
**Outlet:** Locked On Colts (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-colts-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/9766e6/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/6d6f3aa0-08dc-478e-b916-bfc163c9fc9a/episodes/5a8a0c1e-2940-4f48-9b34-521f052723f1/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=6d6f3aa0-08dc-478e-b916-bfc163c9fc9a&awEpisodeId=5a8a0c1e-2940-4f48-9b34-521f052723f1&feed=PpDN4Fbf

5 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers, 1 availability call, 1 roster spot call and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 29.8 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> I think I'm gonna go, like, 31 to 13 Jacksonville.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jacksonville Jaguars 31 — Colts 13**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 59.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 1, 2026): Jaguars by 10, total 45.5 · this 31–13 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 18) and fewer points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Johnathan Edwards to land on the practice squad**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Johnathan Edwards, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Betcher hasn't practiced in two weeks. He missed last week, so it feels unlikely that he plays.**
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Bryce Boettcher, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Daniel Jones to record 2 passing tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Daniel Jones to record 1 rushing tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Johnathan Edwards — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/johnathan-edwards
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Bryce Boettcher — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bryce-boettcher
- Daniel Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones

## What others said about the same people

- John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; he also argues the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing him to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Indianapolis Colts: Previewing the Week 9 slate, Chris Long expects the Saints to beat Cleveland, the Colts to beat Dallas, New England to edge Green Bay, and Baltimore to beat the Chargers on Monday night. He also calls the Packers a top-10 defense once Micah Parsons returns, names his top six quarterbacks of the season, and expects Brandon Ayuk to be released, with Will Lee and Trevion Henderson sidelined this week. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/623f8e00-789e-4239-9edc-5e1285346b9d (scored 0)
- Jesse Holley on Indianapolis Colts: Jesse predicted the Cowboys finish 10-7 but still win the NFC East with 10 wins, picking Dallas over the Giants, Commanders, Texans, Buccaneers, Colts (loss), and losing to Baltimore, Green Bay, Philadelphia twice, Arizona, Seattle and the Rams. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c8bf64dc-c1b3-42db-86f8-51b862676332 (scored 0)
- Danny Parkins on Indianapolis Colts: Parkins predicted the Cowboys will finish 11-6, starting 5-1 with wins over the Giants, Commanders and an upset of the Ravens, splitting with Philadelphia, and beating Green Bay and Jacksonville, while losing to the Texans, 49ers, Eagles, Colts, Seahawks and Rams. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1a6d06c4-7bb0-43e7-891d-6f8b688d4f12 (scored 0)
- AJ Hawk on Jacksonville Jaguars: Hawk picked the Jaguars to beat the Ravens on the road, predicting roughly a 17-point margin. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0abbd638-5ccf-408e-864d-bd5651044b3d (scored 100)
- Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on Jacksonville Jaguars: Connor believed Baltimore would keep it close but still said Jacksonville wins the game outright. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/377a2765-5130-479c-8d47-e62f64fff35b (scored 100)

## More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Andrew Erickson on James Cook: Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and he expects James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ad6dae7d-05a5-45d1-996c-40e336adfcac (scored 66.67)
- Ross Jackson on Tyler Shough: Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4dc05898-73fd-4fcb-92c4-a940d7e395ba (scored 3.63)
- Chris Broussard on Myles Garrett: Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5a026afc-40fe-4b1f-b209-3ce53ae205d7 (scored 91.67)
- Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Wright picks the Steelers to beat the Ravens outright in Pittsburgh, takes Seattle over San Francisco, and thinks the Browns lose to Cincinnati even as Myles Garrett gets the sack record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9a8b5cea-9f2f-46f0-9939-72c2a60e4c26 (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Myles Garrett: Nick Wright says Myles Garrett is playing at an all-time level and might reach 25 sacks this season, and among his weekly picks he expects the Bears to beat the Steelers in an ugly low-margin home win and Seattle to win comfortably at Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029b0090-8d3f-47de-9fb9-7f0a02320f3a (scored 84)
- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f94f8499-af74-4a8d-a688-fd08cd52bb3c (scored 56.25)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jake-arthur
