# Derek Brown: Brown is out on Kyren Williams, Aaron Jones and DeAndre Swift while targeting R.J. Harvey, Trevion Henderson, Kenneth Walker, Bucky Irving, Tony Pollard, Kaleb Johnson, Cam Skattebo, Jarquez Hunter, Rishard Smith, MarShawn Lloyd and Javonte Williams as guys who beat their current cost. **Claimed:** May 31, 2025 **Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/derek-brown **Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/will-saquon-barkley-bust-the-top-50-running-backs-for-the-2025-season-ep-1580 10 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 2 depth chart calls and 1 fantasy bust call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 8 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 72.9 out of 100, against 49 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I've got RJ. Harvey is locked in top fifteen back this year. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Javonte Williams, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (RB ninety one)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brashard Smith, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kaleb Johnson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty nine)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kaleb Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty three)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: RJ Harvey, Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (RB twenty two)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Aaron Jones, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty four)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kaleb Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kaleb Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tony Pollard, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: MarShawn Lloyd, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jarquez Hunter to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jarquez Hunter, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Javonte Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/javonte-williams - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Brashard Smith — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brashard-smith - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Kaleb Johnson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kaleb-johnson - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - RJ Harvey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rj-harvey - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Tony Pollard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tony-pollard - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - MarShawn Lloyd — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marshawn-lloyd - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Jarquez Hunter — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jarquez-hunter - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams ## What others said about the same people - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0) - Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0) - Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0) - Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100) ## More sleeper calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put their rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at their cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100) - Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 100) - Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0) - Ryan Wormeli on Tetairoa McMillan: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than their QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=derek-brown