# Derek Brown: Brown is out on Kyren Williams, Aaron Jones and DeAndre Swift while targeting R.J. Harvey, Trevion Henderson, Kenneth Walker, Bucky Irving, Tony Pollard, Kaleb Johnson, Cam Skattebo, Jarquez Hunter, Rishard Smith, MarShawn Lloyd and Javonte Williams as guys who beat their current cost. **Claimed:** May 31, 2025 **Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/derek-brown **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/will-saquon-barkley-bust-the-top-50-running-backs-for-the-2025-season-ep-1580 10 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 2 depth chart calls and 1 fantasy bust call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 8 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 72.9 out of 100, against 49 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I've got RJ. Harvey is locked in top fifteen back this year. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty seven)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Javonte Williams, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (RB ninety one)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brashard Smith, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kaleb Johnson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty nine)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Kaleb Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty three)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: RJ Harvey, Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (RB twenty two)** - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Aaron Jones, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty four)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Kaleb Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kaleb Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 83.33 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tony Pollard, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: MarShawn Lloyd, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jarquez Hunter to outplay his draft cost (outside the top fifty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jarquez Hunter, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Javonte Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/javonte-williams - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Brashard Smith — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brashard-smith - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Kaleb Johnson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kaleb-johnson - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - RJ Harvey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rj-harvey - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Aaron Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-jones - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Tony Pollard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tony-pollard - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - MarShawn Lloyd — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/marshawn-lloyd - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Jarquez Hunter — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jarquez-hunter - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100) - Connor Rogers on Kansas City Chiefs: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Chris Long on Los Angeles Rams: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0) - Steven Ruiz on Denver Broncos: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100) - Nate Tice on Denver Broncos: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52) ## More sleeper calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100) - Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Chris Rodriguez Jr.: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 100) - Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0) - Ryan Wormeli on Tetairoa McMillan: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=derek-brown