# AJ Hawk: AJ made his week 14 NFL picks, taking the Jaguars, Bengals, Buccaneers, Steelers, Seahawks, Jets, Browns, Commanders, Broncos, Packers, Rams and Texans. **Claimed:** Dec 5, 2025 **Pundit:** AJ Hawk — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/aj-hawk **Outlet:** The Pat McAfee Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-pat-mcafee-show-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP2252262293.mp3?updated=1764970136 12 checkable claims — 12 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 11 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 54.5 out of 100, against 36.4 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I'm going back and forth on this one, but I like what Aaron Glenn's got going on. Give me the Jets plus three here. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Green Bay Packers to beat Bears** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **New York Jets to beat Miami Dolphins** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New York Jets - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat New Orleans Saints** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Baltimore Ravens** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Indianapolis Colts** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Houston Texans to beat Kansas City** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Cincinnati Bengals to beat Buffalo Bills** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Seattle Seahawks to beat Falcons** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Cleveland Browns to beat Tennessee Titans** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Washington Commanders to beat Minnesota Vikings** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Denver Broncos to win** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Denver Broncos: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62) - Connor Rogers on Seattle Seahawks: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 0) - Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0) - Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0) - Nate Tice on Jacksonville Jaguars: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52) ## More game outcome picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Chris Long on Buffalo Bills: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 100) - Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100) - Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Sam Monson on Minnesota Vikings: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 100) - Nate Tice on New England Patriots: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=aj-hawk