# Anthony Armstrong: Armstrong said receiver Jeff Caldwell's athletic traits (6-5 with 4.31 speed) but limited production mean they'll be drafted in the third or fourth round as a developmental prospect.

**Claimed:** Apr 9, 2026
**Pundit:** Anthony Armstrong — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/anthony-armstrong
**Outlet:** Locked On Commanders (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-commanders-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/7c3048/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252/episodes/b349b579-eec0-4df8-88ed-656855657058/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=dd4ec57b-d2e1-4378-a057-7e7fe1d38252&awEpisodeId=b349b579-eec0-4df8-88ed-656855657058&feed=psq7p3Ar

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> his own field production hasn't matched, so he's gonna get picked up in the third, fourth round.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jeff Caldwell to be picked “third, fourth round” (picks 65–140)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeff Caldwell
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Jeff Caldwell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeff-caldwell

## What others said about the same people

- David Harrison on Jeff Caldwell: Harrison unveils his top-10 'vertical Z receiver' big board for the Commanders in the 2026 draft class, led by Cincinnati's Jeff Caldwell, and attaches draft-range projections to the prospects (Caldwell early Day 3, Bryce Lance mid-Day 3, Chris Brasel early Day 2, Malik Benson mid-Day 3/seventh round, Stribling late Day 3, Jordan Tyson Day 1). He also lays out Washington's projected receiver depth chart and 53-man group, with Dyami Brown as the starting Z. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf0033a6-a014-48ea-ae92-e5ba8a9f8d87 (not settled)
- JP Acosta on Jeff Caldwell: JP leaned toward the Rams beating the Seahawks in the NFC Championship, treated Ty Simpson as the class's first quarterback off the board, and made several draft projections for Senior Bowl and Shrine Bowl prospects. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e09cb607-1091-49a8-8571-5a65a252d3b9 (not settled)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46)
- Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0)
- Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86)
- Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09)
- Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0)
- Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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