# Pat Gustavson: Gustafson predicted AJ Brown leaves Philadelphia (favoring the Raiders as a fit), assigned free agents to landing spots (Kenneth Walker to Jacksonville, Rashid Shaheed to the Raiders, Juwan Jennings to the Chargers, Isaiah Likely to the Titans, Christian Kirk to the Dolphins), and named his Week 1 quarterbacks including Deshaun Watson for Cleveland and Mac Jones to the Vikings. **Claimed:** Feb 24, 2026 **Pundit:** Pat Gustavson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-gustavson **Outlet:** Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/bran-coverage-with-benchwarmerbran-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.buzzsprout.com/2182919/episodes/18740683-2026-nfl-free-agent-preview-starting-qb-predictions-for-next-season-podcast-for-2-24.mp3 19 checkable claims — 11 depth chart calls, 7 trade and signing calls and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 31 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 10 of 19 have settled so far, averaging 97.5 out of 100, against 92.5 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one. > I think it's gonna be Deshaun Watson. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Michael Penix Jr., Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Malik Willis, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **C.J. Stroud to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Mac Jones, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tua Tagovailoa, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kyler Murray, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be picked “the last 10 picks of the first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **TreVeyon Henderson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Aaron Rodgers, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Deshaun Watson, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: not settled yet - **Mac Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Mac Jones, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kenneth Walker III to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Kenneth Walker III - Verdict: not settled yet - **Christian Kirk to move to Miami Dolphins** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Christian Kirk, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: not settled yet - **A.J. Brown to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: A.J. Brown - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jauan Jennings to move to Los Angeles Chargers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jauan Jennings, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Isaiah Likely to move to Tennessee Titans** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Isaiah Likely, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: not settled yet - **Rashid Shaheed to move to Las Vegas Raiders** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Rashid Shaheed, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Michael Penix Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/michael-penix-jr - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Malik Willis — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malik-willis - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - C.J. Stroud — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-stroud - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Daniel Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Mac Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mac-jones - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Tua Tagovailoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tua-tagovailoa - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Kyler Murray — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kyler-murray - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson - TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Aaron Rodgers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-rodgers - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Deshaun Watson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/deshaun-watson - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Kenneth Walker III — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii - Christian Kirk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-kirk - A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown - Jauan Jennings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jauan-jennings - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Isaiah Likely — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/isaiah-likely - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - Rashid Shaheed — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashid-shaheed ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Minnesota Vikings: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 90.48) - Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100) - Nate Tice on Las Vegas Raiders: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Sam Monson on Minnesota Vikings: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 100) - Nate Tice on New England Patriots: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 100) - Carter Bahns on Jeshaun Jones: A CBS Sports piece expects suspended Vikings receiver Jeshaun Jones to lose his roster battle and be cut by the Aug. 30 deadline, given Minnesota's established receiver group. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/98c7155f-d05c-43cb-8c03-4f50d43211a8 (scored 0) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Pat Fitzmaurice on Jonah Coleman: In his Week 3 waiver column, Fitzmaurice makes several depth-chart calls around injuries: Jonah Coleman leading Denver's backfield, Marcus Mariota taking over in Washington, Michael Penix Jr. starting once healthy, and Malik Washington serving as Miami's top receiver, plus availability expectations for Detroit's injured safeties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2cbd48f6-15ea-4aa5-84bc-bcc50d94d09a (scored 0) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashod Bateman: In his Week 2 waiver wire column, Fitzmaurice recommends a slate of pickups he expects to outperform their current rostership (Kaelon Black, Deebo Samuel, Tyler Shough, Geno Smith and others), lays out several depth-chart expectations (Black as the 49ers' No. 2 back, Shedeur Sanders eventually taking over in Cleveland, Penix returning for Atlanta), and flags Fool's Gold/drop candidates such as Mike Gesicki, Kendrick Bourne and Rashid Shaheed. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6218d3c2-61e7-4ace-9976-b51eeefdf22c (scored 0) - Bill Huber on Chris McClellan: Huber's first Packers rookie progress report projects second-round cornerback Brandon Cisse to hold onto his spot with the No. 1 defense, third-round defensive tackle Chris McClellan to start in Week 1, and fifth-round lineman Jager Burton to be the team's top interior backup rather than a starter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dcf9daae-b511-490c-b438-173cf91e8597 (scored 0) - Randy Gurzi on Jadarian Price: Gurzi suggests the Seahawks could sign three free agents — safety Donovan Wilson, guard Kevin Zeitler, and running back Kareem Hunt — if weaknesses show up after Week 1. He also notes Trevon Diggs starting on the practice squad and describes Seattle's projected backfield roles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/350eed1b-4675-4a2d-aaf5-812e20678283 (scored 100) - Jeff Kerr on Jalyx Hunt: From an Eagles training camp practice, Kerr projects Willie Lampkin as a possible 53-man roster player, Jalyx Hunt as the likely Week 1 starting edge rusher over Nolan Smith, Byron Young as the No. 4 defensive tackle, Jake Elliott as the uncontested kicker, and Darius Cooper pressuring Hollywood Brown for the WR4 role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f314062a-7912-4727-8ff1-9edc813f10e1 (scored 0) - Tyler Sullivan on Drew Lock: The piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a14b5e6-066b-457f-b409-a3ddbd512aca (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=pat-gustavson