# Pat Gustavson: Gustafson predicted AJ Brown leaves Philadelphia (favoring the Raiders as a fit), assigned free agents to landing spots (Kenneth Walker to Jacksonville, Rashid Shaheed to the Raiders, Juwan Jennings to the Chargers, Isaiah Likely to the Titans, Christian Kirk to the Dolphins), and named their Week 1 quarterbacks including Deshaun Watson for Cleveland and Mac Jones to the Vikings. **Claimed:** Feb 24, 2026 **Pundit:** Pat Gustavson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/pat-gustavson **Outlet:** Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/bran-coverage-with-benchwarmerbran-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.buzzsprout.com/2182919/episodes/18740683-2026-nfl-free-agent-preview-starting-qb-predictions-for-next-season-podcast-for-2-24.mp3 19 checkable claims — 11 depth chart calls, 7 trade and signing calls and 1 mock draft pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 31 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 10 of 19 have settled so far, averaging 97.5 out of 100, against 92.5 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one. > I think it's gonna be Deshaun Watson. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Michael Penix Jr., Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Malik Willis, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **C.J. Stroud to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Daniel Jones, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Mac Jones to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Mac Jones, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Tua Tagovailoa, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kyler Murray, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Ty Simpson to be picked “the last 10 picks of the first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Ty Simpson - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **TreVeyon Henderson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: TreVeyon Henderson, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Aaron Rodgers to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Aaron Rodgers, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Jauan Jennings to move to Los Angeles Chargers** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jauan Jennings, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kenneth Walker III to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Kenneth Walker III - Verdict: not settled yet - **Deshaun Watson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Deshaun Watson, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: not settled yet - **Christian Kirk to move to Miami Dolphins** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Christian Kirk, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: not settled yet - **Rashid Shaheed to move to Las Vegas Raiders** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Rashid Shaheed, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Mac Jones to move to Minnesota Vikings** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Mac Jones, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: not settled yet - **Fernando Mendoza to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Isaiah Likely to move to Tennessee Titans** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Isaiah Likely, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: not settled yet - **A.J. Brown to move** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: A.J. Brown - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Michael Penix Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/michael-penix-jr - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Malik Willis — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/malik-willis - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - C.J. Stroud — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-stroud - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Daniel Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-jones - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Mac Jones — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mac-jones - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Tua Tagovailoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tua-tagovailoa - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Kyler Murray — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kyler-murray - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Ty Simpson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ty-simpson - TreVeyon Henderson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treveyon-henderson - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Aaron Rodgers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/aaron-rodgers - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Jauan Jennings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jauan-jennings - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Kenneth Walker III — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenneth-walker-iii - Deshaun Watson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/deshaun-watson - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Christian Kirk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christian-kirk - Rashid Shaheed — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashid-shaheed - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza - Isaiah Likely — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/isaiah-likely - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - A.J. Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/a-j-brown ## What others said about the same people - Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0) - Jason Harmon on Max Brosmer: Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fa393501-3f38-481e-8e75-48125587e911 (scored 0) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d0fd408a-7dcd-4e50-ac62-6b4510a8a800 (scored 100) - Logan Lazarczyk on Kirk Cousins: Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fda03952-2ea6-4919-8114-0ebb127478d1 (scored 100) - Charean Williams on Odell Beckham Jr.: Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d4fd8cfb-3c75-4209-9e1a-d60e821f315b (scored 0) - Alex Curry on Kirk Cousins: Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c6097f9-30ad-42dc-863f-e507225b7edc (scored 100) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jeremy Brener on Drew Lock: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100) - Jeremy Brener on Jalen Milroe: Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for their first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/42d1bd81-5e19-456e-9f68-b3b135170ec0 (scored 0) - Nic Bodiford on Joe Fagnano: Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a13b9f29-bb76-4c56-b226-aca74b21f5b7 (scored 100) - Jacob Herlin on J.J. McCarthy: Herlin published Week 7 fantasy D/ST rankings with projections for 28 team defenses, led by Houston, Minnesota and Cleveland. They also expect Cleveland to post a fourth straight top-10 fantasy defense result, and predicts Jalon Daniels starts another week for Tampa Bay while J.J. McCarthy takes over as the Giants' starter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf4a2992-3760-464e-b540-6182ebc4457f (scored 100) - Jordan Dajani on Drew Kendall: Dajani expects Cam Jurgens to move back to center as the Ravens' starter after the trade, and projects a rebuilt Eagles offensive line for Week 5 with Jordan Mailata, Willie Lampkin, Drew Kendall, Tyler Steen and Markel Bell starting from left tackle to right tackle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cad37b83-7924-4f90-9898-82a22fa12331 (scored 0) - Mike Moraitis on Tyson Bagent: Previewing the Bears-Packers Week 5 matchup, they state Tyson Bagent will again start at quarterback for Chicago, while framing Green Bay's receivers, pass defense and return game as threats. The rest of the piece is descriptive analysis of season-to-date statistics rather than forecasts of outcomes. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/93e64ea9-eeca-49fa-a8d7-9fadf5a9b982 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=pat-gustavson