# Jared Koch: Koch projects the Texans' wide receiver depth chart after Jayden Higgins' season-ending injury, naming Nico Collins, Xavier Hutchinson and Jaylin Noel as starters, listing backups and roster locks, and predicting Collins tops his 2025 receiving marks.

**Claimed:** Aug 22, 2026
**Pundit:** Jared Koch — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-koch
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/texans/onsi/predicting-texans-wr-depth-chart-after-shepard-jones-signings

17 checkable claims — 11 roster spot calls, 3 depth chart calls and 3 player season numbers — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 17 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 6 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

> There's a good chance he surpasses all three of those marks in 2026, so long as he's able to remain healthy.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Nico Collins to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Nico Collins, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jaylin Noel to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jaylin Noel, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Xavier Hutchinson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Xavier Hutchinson, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Lewis Bond to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Lewis Bond, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Sterling Shepard to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Sterling Shepard, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Nico Collins to record 71 receptions**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Nico Collins, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jha'Quan Jackson to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Jha'Quan Jackson, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Josh Kelly to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Josh Kelly, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Treyvhon Saunders to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Treyvhon Saunders, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Nico Collins to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Nico Collins, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Nico Collins to record 1,100 receiving yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Nico Collins, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Nico Collins to record 6 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Nico Collins, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tank Dell to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Tank Dell, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Juwann Winfree to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Juwann Winfree, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Daniel Sobkowicz to make the roster**
  - Kind: Roster Spot Calls · About: Daniel Sobkowicz, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jaylin Noel to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jaylin Noel, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Xavier Hutchinson to be 1st on the depth chart**
  - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Xavier Hutchinson, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Nico Collins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nico-collins
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Jaylin Noel — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaylin-noel
- Xavier Hutchinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/xavier-hutchinson
- Lewis Bond — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lewis-bond
- Sterling Shepard — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sterling-shepard
- Jha'Quan Jackson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jha-quan-jackson
- Josh Kelly — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/josh-kelly
- Treyvhon Saunders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/treyvhon-saunders
- Tank Dell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tank-dell
- Juwann Winfree — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/juwann-winfree
- Daniel Sobkowicz — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daniel-sobkowicz

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Houston Texans: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 47.62)
- Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0)
- Gregg Rosenthal on Houston Texans: Outside of his spread picks, Rosenthal referenced his season-long pick of the Texans to win the Super Bowl and said he expects Houston to beat the Colts on Sunday. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2fb84ac9-889f-4649-8c4d-f170f7b65f66 (scored 0)
- Jordan Dajani on Houston Texans: Dajani gave final-score predictions for eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Buccaneers (upset), Ravens, Broncos (upset) and Eagles to win. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c96aaa6d-2d0c-41cc-a9f7-c21ac21886ac (scored 40.48)
- Jared Dubin on Houston Texans: Dubin gave final-score predictions for the same eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Vikings, Ravens, Rams and Eagles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fe04828a-d532-414c-a58a-54f6505f2263 (scored 45.24)
- Richard Sherman on Houston Texans: Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c2102f61-711d-4041-af08-065e95ccaf03 (scored 47.62)

## More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jeff Kerr on Zach Ertz: Kerr expects Zach Ertz to be elevated from the practice squad and play in the Eagles' Week 3 Monday night game against the Bears, and to serve as Philadelphia's clear TE1 with Dallas Goedert out. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7e4fa8de-f88c-4d45-b568-49992a356539 (scored 0)
- Jeff Kerr on Chance Campbell: Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6ec1d507-c7b6-4873-a0a2-76817706e297 (scored 100)
- Carter Bahns on Jeshaun Jones: A CBS Sports piece expects suspended Vikings receiver Jeshaun Jones to lose his roster battle and be cut by the Aug. 30 deadline, given Minnesota's established receiver group. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/98c7155f-d05c-43cb-8c03-4f50d43211a8 (scored 0)
- Jeff Kerr on Chance Campbell: Kerr's third Eagles 53-man roster projection names the players he expects to make the team at each position, with Cole Payton, Elijah Moore, Johnny Wilson, Gabe Hall and Rocco Underwood left off; he also predicts Underwood is exposed to waivers and returns to the practice squad, Deontae Lawson lands on the practice squad, and Eli Stowers is the TE3. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2120c4ea-7113-4ebf-9ebc-0d4a62d83c3a (scored 100)
- Jeff Kerr on Chance Campbell: Kerr's updated 53-man roster projection for the Eagles after eight training camp practices, naming which players make the team at each position plus depth-chart placements like Wicks as WR2, Mundt as TE2, Kendall as third guard, Bell as third tackle, and Epps/Carter battling to start at safety. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/328a952b-d6b4-4065-aac9-0029421fb50f (scored 100)
- Ralph Ventre on Christian Benford: Ventre expects Christian Benford's toe injury to sideline him for at least the Week 4 game against New England, and believes the Bills will have to add a cornerback to the 53-man roster this week — likely by moving Benford to injured reserve — with practice squad rookie Kani Walker the most likely player elevated. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/94b844fe-bb22-4517-81f5-6263eb0213f1 (scored 0)

---

Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jared-koch
