# Jake Arthur: Arthur predicted the Cowboys would beat the Colts 31-24 at Lucas Oil Stadium, a closer loss than Indianapolis' recent blowouts, citing Dallas' large talent edge offset by its poor defense. He also made several lineup calls for the game and suggested it could be Jonathan Taylor's last home game as a Colt ahead of the trade deadline. **Claimed:** Nov 7, 2026 **Pundit:** Jake Arthur — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-arthur **Outlet:** Locked On Colts (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/locked-on-colts-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pdrl.fm/9766e6/lockedon.simplecastaudio.com/6d6f3aa0-08dc-478e-b916-bfc163c9fc9a/episodes/905b6422-3846-407f-b58a-b502502bdf5b/audio/128/default.mp3?aid=rss_feed&awCollectionId=6d6f3aa0-08dc-478e-b916-bfc163c9fc9a&awEpisodeId=905b6422-3846-407f-b58a-b502502bdf5b&feed=PpDN4Fbf 6 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 availability call, 1 game outcome pick, 1 score prediction and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 2 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 96.4 out of 100, against 20.4 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one. > So I do have the Cowboys winning 31 to 24. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Dallas Cowboys to beat Colts** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Cowboys by 4.5 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 2 in 3 (66%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Dallas Cowboys 31 — Colts 24** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 40.82 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Cowboys by 4.5, total 51.5 · this 31–24 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 7) and more points (55). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **But Downs, one of their more important defenders, he is gonna play in this one. Again, he cleared the concussion protocol.** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Caleb Downs, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jonathan Taylor to move — “might be his last game as a Colt in Lucas Oil Stadium”** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jonathan Taylor - Verdict: not settled yet - **C.J. Allen to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: C.J. Allen, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: not settled yet - **Kapena Gushiken to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Kapena Gushiken, Indianapolis Colts - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Jonathan Taylor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jonathan-taylor - C.J. Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-allen - Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts - Kapena Gushiken — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kapena-gushiken ## What others said about the same people - John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; he also argues the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing him to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100) - Randy Gurzi on Jordan Hudson: Gurzi predicts the Cowboys' 17-man practice squad, naming each player he expects Dallas to sign, including a surprise addition of released Giants tackle Evan Neal. He also predicts Jaydon Blue will be claimed off waivers by another team and that Sam Williams will land elsewhere. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a37588ef-f76e-4f06-a951-a85a563271d5 (scored 0) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Marist Liufau: Building his projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d20c4eda-eab4-4a8c-ba13-0e120fdd7d91 (scored 100) - Jesse Holley on Marist Liufau: Holley expects Jay Toia to stick on the defensive line, Marist Liufau to make the team as a special teamer, Devin Moore to make the roster, and Joe Milton to be the backup quarterback ahead of Sam Howell. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8ee3ec22-e4c4-4583-826a-c56e4b15f0c5 (scored 100) - Moe Moton on Marist Liufau: Moton rated Liufau a 9-out-of-10 on his trade probability meter, arguing that with Dallas' crowded edge room he is a long shot to make the 53-man roster and is either a trade or cut candidate. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/80fadb15-ba97-4fde-b3a4-25bf2d8c9b9f (scored 0) - Pete Prisco on Dallas Cowboys: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 76.19) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jeremy Brener on Jalen Milroe: Brener suggests Seattle may turn to rookie-contract quarterback Jalen Milroe for his first career start in Week 9 against the Cardinals, with Sam Darnold ruled out and Drew Lock dealing with an elbow injury. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/42d1bd81-5e19-456e-9f68-b3b135170ec0 (scored 0) - Michael Moore on Shedeur Sanders: In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. He also expects Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e26319a3-10aa-49a6-a24d-a257521363f0 (scored 100) - Zachary Pereles on Shedeur Sanders: Pereles writes that if Deshaun Watson can't clear concussion protocol in time, the Browns would likely turn to second-year quarterback Shedeur Sanders to start Week 9 against the Saints. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6dad75dd-1818-4a6a-91ea-832f491c2530 (scored 100) - Nic Bodiford on Joe Fagnano: Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. He also views Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a13b9f29-bb76-4c56-b226-aca74b21f5b7 (scored 100) - Garrett Podell on Carson Beck: Podell argues the Cardinals have maxed out with Jacoby Brissett and that rookie Carson Beck should be ramped up to replace him as starter, targeting Week 8 at Dallas for Beck's regular-season debut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2f499498-ebbe-41f8-8ea3-41fe96f79432 (scored 0) - Jacob Herlin on J.J. McCarthy: Herlin published Week 7 fantasy D/ST rankings with projections for 28 team defenses, led by Houston, Minnesota and Cleveland. He also expects Cleveland to post a fourth straight top-10 fantasy defense result, and predicts Jalon Daniels starts another week for Tampa Bay while J.J. McCarthy takes over as the Giants' starter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf4a2992-3760-464e-b540-6182ebc4457f (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=jake-arthur