# Gregg Rosenthal: Rosenthal thinks Arvel Reese makes sense for the Jets at No. 2 overall and may well be their pick, and he expects both Manuel McNeil Warren and Dylan Thieneman — the safeties in the mix behind Caleb Downs — to be first-round selections. **Claimed:** Apr 2, 2026 **Pundit:** Gregg Rosenthal — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gregg-rosenthal **Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/ranking-the-2026-defensive-nfl-draft-prospects 3 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 3 have settled, averaging 73.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I was thinking he's a good pick for the Jets at two... he might have the higher ceiling so they might take him. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Dillon Thieneman to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren - Verdict: scored 32.42 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Dillon Thieneman — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman - Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren ## What others said about the same people - Kevin Wildes on New York Jets: For upset alert Wildes took the Broncos to beat the Rams straight up in Denver and added the Jets to beat the Lions straight up. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/35bc2cfa-9927-43ce-be97-5c73bb6517fd (scored 0) - Patricia Traina on Arvell Reese: Traina projects the Giants' initial 53-man roster position by position, naming who makes the team and who lands on the practice squad, including keeping Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Evan Neal (with a possible trade), Dalen Cambre over Braxton Berrios, Lucas Patrick as backup center, and Dominic Zvada as the kicker. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8bb1a183-b45b-44db-8a61-23bdd2238a6b (scored 100) - Devon Platana on Arian Smith: Platana projects the Jets' post-move wide receiver depth chart for 2026 — Garrett Wilson first, Adonai Mitchell second, rookie Omar Cooper Jr. third, Isaiah Williams fourth, Tim Patrick fifth and Jamaal Pritchett sixth — with Cam Camper, Quincy Skinner Jr. and Arian Smith landing on the practice squad. He also expects a bounce-back 1,000-yard season from Wilson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/88d429eb-8655-49ad-9f90-54eef4c5e655 (scored 0) - Nick Faria on Jelani Woods: Faria projects the Jets' depth chart entering the third week of training camp, naming starters, backups and bubble players across every position group, plus roster-spot calls on Jelani Woods, Xavier Newman, VJ Payne, Tre Brown and Samuel Womack III. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7e070750-0467-41ae-ba74-571f3e4fa56d (scored 100) - Mike Moraitis on Dillon Thieneman: Moraitis says Coby Bryant, Dillon Thieneman, Elijah Hicks and Cam Lewis are locks to make the Bears' 53-man roster, and that newly signed safety Xavier Woods has a chance to stick given Chicago's secondary injuries. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fbbcfe3d-e2af-4454-967d-c02498c19537 (scored 100) - Bradley Locker on Mazi Smith: Locker lists 10 players on the roster bubble entering 2026, suggesting Tyrone Tracy may not make the Giants' 53, Broderick Jones could be traded or cut by Pittsburgh, Dillon Gabriel may lose the Browns' QB3 job, Evan Neal's Giants tenure may end, and Will Levis will likely be traded or cut by Tennessee. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/538fc657-f762-4d98-84e1-b03c4bc14469 (scored 100) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92) - Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100) - Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7) - Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=gregg-rosenthal