# Seth Walder: Walder gave final score picks for all 14 Week 5 games, including a Jaguars blowout of the Eagles, upset calls on the Saints over the undefeated Vikings and the Jets over the Browns, plus the 49ers winning in Seattle and the Commanders beating the Giants. **Claimed:** Oct 10, 2026 **Pundit:** Seth Walder — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/seth-walder **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/50129471/week-5-picks-predictions-schedule-fantasy-odds-2026 14 checkable claims — 14 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 14 have settled, averaging 64.9 out of 100, against 46.8 for a naive guess at the same calls. > The Jaguars will win by two touchdowns. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Los Angeles Rams 34 — Bills 28** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 42.86 out of 100, against 43.52 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 12, 2026): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 34–28 calls a bigger Rams win (by 6) and more points (62). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Denver Broncos 27 — Chargers 18** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 36.48 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 27–18 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 9) and more points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Detroit Lions 30 — Cardinals 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 66.67 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger Lions win (by 10) and fewer points (50). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **San Francisco 49ers 26 — Seahawks 23** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: San Francisco 49ers - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 43.62 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 26–23 calls a 49ers win (by 3; the line gave the 49ers 40%) and more points (49). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Baltimore Ravens 23 — Falcons 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 34.1 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 23–17 calls a Ravens win (by 6; the line gave the Ravens 39%) and fewer points (40). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New Orleans Saints 23 — Vikings 13** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 28.28 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 23–13 calls a Saints win (by 10; the line gave the Saints 44%) and fewer points (36). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Chicago Bears 24 — Packers 23** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 24–23 calls a closer game (Bears by 1) and more points (47). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Las Vegas Raiders 23 — Patriots 22** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 23–22 calls a Raiders win (by 1; the line gave the Raiders 38%) and fewer points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Cincinnati Bengals 24 — Dolphins 14** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 92.86 out of 100, against 35.42 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 24–14 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 10) and fewer points (38). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Houston Texans 27 — Titans 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 61.9 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 27–20 calls a bigger Texans win (by 7) and more points (47). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Washington Commanders 24 — Giants 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 55.95 out of 100, against 72.91 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger Commanders win (by 8) and fewer points (40). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Pittsburgh Steelers 23 — Colts 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 88.1 out of 100, against 73.52 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 23–16 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 7) and fewer points (39). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New York Jets 20 — Browns 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New York Jets - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 90.19 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 20–17 calls a bigger Jets win (by 3) and fewer points (37). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars 31 — Eagles 14** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 64.29 out of 100, against 96.54 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 31–14 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 17) and more points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. ## Who this take is about - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars ## What others said about the same people - Jack Markowski on Brandon Smith: Markowski argues the Steelers should move on from Tyreek Hill given his injury and possible NFL discipline, and names promoting practice-squad receiver Brandon Smith to the 53-man roster as the most obvious way Pittsburgh addresses its receiver need. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/69805779-75a2-4bb5-be53-feb6ac642f0f (scored 0) - Brian Peacock on Jordan Addison: Peacock delivered a seven-round 49ers mock draft plus projected offseason moves: signing tight end Kyle Pitts, trading Mac Jones to Minnesota and acquiring Jordan Addison, and drafting speed at receiver, edge, safety, center, corner, running back and tackle, with 40-time projections for several prospects. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1325f8f-c996-4488-b063-fc4dfae1da59 (scored 0) - Jared Dubin on Los Angeles Rams: Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d5c92bc-d4b9-48e9-bb9f-695f82fee90b (scored 47.62) - Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilio on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8da282-f981-43ec-97e4-d147ef00b42a (scored 0) - Darius Butler on Los Angeles Rams: Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bbaeb70d-e67f-4a28-88ea-c0d95a26f4e9 (scored 0) - Pat McAfee on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b11b3677-3d44-49d4-ac2d-bb8ac3179121 (scored 0) ## More score predictions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to beat the Rams 30-27 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09826cd4-dbcf-4c85-aa4a-450c3b8c8125 (scored 100) - Gennaro Filice on Buffalo Bills: Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7cc33db3-88e5-4811-8121-94bed7928d3a (scored 95.24) - Bobby Kownack on Buffalo Bills: Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57789de7-9bc6-4cce-aacc-c088bd5aa6fe (scored 90.48) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Buffalo Bills: Fitzmaurice predicted a 34-31 Bills win over the Rams, suggested the Packers would again blow a lead to the Bears, and said Drake Maye is a high-end to mid-range QB1 going forward. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09f1aa2e-4381-4584-82b9-6b8b1112f04f (scored 100) - Derek Brown on Buffalo Bills: Brown picked the Browns to beat the Jets and the Bears to beat the Packers, forecast a 31-28 Bills win over the Rams on Monday night, and made several Week 5 availability calls — doubting Tee Higgins, Lamar Jackson, Stefon Diggs and Terry McLaurin while expecting Ja'Marr Chase to play. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6adf08dd-972d-4cce-b6b8-8212332b191e (scored 100) - Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani lays out projected final scores for every Week 5 game he covers, including Jacksonville handling Philadelphia, Pittsburgh bouncing back at home against Indianapolis, and Cleveland winning outright in New York. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/029d282f-2740-4c4d-af36-07a93d65eb65 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=seth-walder