# Jake Ciely: Seely sees Egbuka as a fringe WR1/2, agrees on fading Rashee Rice, pegs Ashton Jeanty as only a back-end RB1, is bullish on Harold Fannin Jr. (81 catches, ranked behind LaPorta but ahead of Pitts), views Tyler Shough as a QB2 with roughly 3,700-3,800 passing yards, loves Quentin Johnston (approaching 900 yards and nine TDs), has Javonte Williams as RB13, and projects Carnell Tate for over 1,000 yards and six scores.

**Claimed:** Aug 8, 2026
**Pundit:** Jake Ciely — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jake-ciely
**Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/8-players-fantasy-football-projections-love-draft-values-for-2026-ep-2116

14 claims — 7 player season numbers, 3 positional finishes, 2 sleeper calls, 1 fantasy bust call and 1 fantasy ranking — the 12 we can check each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of the 12 calls we can check have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

The other 2 were too vague to check, so they are not graded.

Of the 5 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 3.

> I am in on Quinton Johnston. I have him higher. I have him over eight hundred yards ... approaching nine hundred yards, and I have him approaching nine touchdowns.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Carnell Tate to record 6 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Carnell Tate, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- “I see him more as a back end RB one than I do as top six seven ... that fills you in as most seasons as RB ten, eleven, twelve ... That's still not enough to get me to RB six.”
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: too vague to check
- **Carnell Tate to record 1,000 receiving yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Carnell Tate, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- “which would put him as a mid QB two ... but I just think he's going to be a QB two.”
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: too vague to check
- **Harold Fannin Jr. to record 81 receptions**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Harold Fannin Jr., Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- “I go laporta fan and pits”
  - Kind: Fantasy Rankings
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Quentin Johnston to record 900 receiving yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Javonte Williams to finish top 13 at his position, by fantasy points**
  - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Javonte Williams, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP Wide Receiver eleven ... overall ADP twenty nine)**
  - Kind: Fantasy Bust Calls · About: Rashee Rice, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tyler Shough to record 3,800 passing yards**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- “Yeah, he will run. I think that you're looking at somebody will get three four hundred on the ground.”
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Tyler Shough, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Quentin Johnston to record 9 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty two ADP overall one oh six)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (tight end, five in ADP overall sixty four)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Harold Fannin Jr., Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Ashton Jeanty — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ashton-jeanty
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Tyler Shough — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-shough
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Harold Fannin Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/harold-fannin-jr
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Quentin Johnston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/quentin-johnston
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Javonte Williams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/javonte-williams
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Rashee Rice — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rashee-rice
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Clark on Nikko Remigio: Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/99521265-d5c0-4db1-b2a0-fe77908ea0b3 (scored 0)
- Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0)
- Gilberto Manzano on Josh Downs: Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/67d5af78-94ea-4ee2-a277-5e68347022de (scored 100)
- Joshua Poniatowski on Josh Downs: Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d1752582-a799-48b9-984b-39bf7cb8b709 (scored 100)
- Andrew Erickson on Josh Downs: Erickson floated Kansas City as the landing spot for Josh Downs and said a trade there would make them at least a WR3 rest of season; they also expect Rashee Rice to leave the Chiefs after this season as a free agent. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e97e28f2-31fc-4702-915c-63c38477e97d (scored 100)
- Jordan Dajani on Josh Downs: After reporting that Colts receiver Josh Downs requested a trade, they identify five clubs as plausible landing spots for them: the Rams, Patriots, Falcons, Chiefs and Raiders, and suggests Las Vegas could also give them a long-term extension. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f5af1657-8608-4071-a63e-0e7d6124e627 (scored 100)

## More player season numbers

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Andrew Erickson on James Cook: Erickson is targeting Chase Brown, Javonte Williams, Trey Benson, Ray Davis, MarShawn Lloyd, Will Shipley, Braelon Allen and Rishard Smith while fading Tyrone Tracy, Tank Bigsby and Kyren Williams, and they expect James Cook's touchdown total to settle in the eight-to-ten range. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ad6dae7d-05a5-45d1-996c-40e336adfcac (scored 66.67)
- Rich Eisen on Micah Parsons: Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. They also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f94f8499-af74-4a8d-a688-fd08cd52bb3c (scored 56.25)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Nick Emmanwori: Jeremiah walked through their mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. They also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c5de01a8-6e40-436d-9e04-07e1d39e54ae (scored 0)
- Joe Marino on Kyle Pitts: Marino argued Kyle Pitts deserves more respect after a good season and expects their touchdown total to keep rising, landing on six touchdowns next season (following the pattern of their yearly totals). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/73dfb52d-5f75-423d-ac98-c593c1f09e76 (scored 66.67)
- Tim Hasselbeck on Isaiah Likely: Hasselbeck expects Kyler Murray to be released by Arizona, believes Malik Willis will sign somewhere as the anointed opening-day starter, and thinks Isaiah Likely can be a true No. 1 tight end who would catch over 75 passes with close to seven touchdowns as a full-season starter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f427a6b0-2fb5-4887-90e3-a02973258757 (scored 0)
- Nick Wright on Matthew Stafford: Nick trusts Josh Allen over the Broncos defense, picks the Bills to win outright in Denver (Bills +1.5 as their lock), picks the Patriots to beat the Texans by more than three, likes the 49ers to keep it close but not win, and predicts the Rams blow out the Bears roughly 42-28 with Stafford throwing about five TDs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/86bcecae-59c2-4e55-9b5f-8d47778f1f67 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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