# Lane Mills: Lane Mills picked the Titans to beat the Texans 24-21 at home in Week 5, citing Houston's inefficient pass defense, DeMeco Ryans' takeover of play-calling, and Cam Ward coming off their best game.

**Claimed:** Oct 10, 2026
**Pundit:** Lane Mills — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/lane-mills
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/titans/onsi/staff-predictions-for-titans-vs-ravens-tennessee-comes-out-on-top-for-1-main-reason-01m4hqagy5m1

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 2.4 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Call me crazy, but I have the Titans in a narrow, offense-leading victory.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Tennessee Titans 24 — Texans 21**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 2.38 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 24–21 calls a Titans win (by 3; the line gave the Titans about 1 in 4 (27%)) and more points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans

## What others said about the same people

- Shaun Calderon on Jeffery Simmons: Calderon argues the 0-5 Titans won't turn their season around, that Cam Ward won't be benched soon, and that Jeffery Simmons stays in Tennessee while Tony Pollard and Calvin Ridley are likely trade candidates with modest returns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/fcfebcd7-04de-406f-aa74-4c404a9f8b0e (scored 0)
- Nathan Jahnke on K.J. Osborn: An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/47566b48-8024-4960-b25c-11c03fe43543 (scored 100)
- Gennaro Filice on Tennessee Titans: The lone NFL.com pick for Tennessee, projecting a low-scoring 14-13 Titans upset built on their defensive front containing Jonathan Taylor. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/82b9c77a-e26d-4ea7-ac0f-51e169b90170 (scored 88.1)
- Dan Graziano on Tennessee Titans: The lone ESPN pick for Tennessee, taking the Titans to beat the Colts. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3e2b2f7e-ad60-423a-9f5e-6114c8c1c48d (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Tennessee Titans: Sullivan says it would not surprise them if the Titans beat the Colts for their first win of the season, arguing the line is too big in the divisional matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/df50c99c-c644-4281-a89f-8e4fa9499a42 (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Tennessee Titans: Sullivan floats Week 6 outcomes they wouldn't be shocked by: MarShawn Lloyd running for 100 yards against Dallas, the Giants beating the Saints while the Cowboys and Eagles both lose to grow New York's NFC East lead to 2.5 games, Tennessee finally winning against the Colts, and Pittsburgh losing in Tampa Bay. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4e767138-06b9-4905-b47f-e5b6a36e294e (scored 100)

## More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24)
- Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100)
- Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71)
- John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86)
- Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6c19276-74df-4775-8a6e-f67c6d94b773 (scored 42.86)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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