# Gennaro Filice: Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills. **Claimed:** Oct 10, 2026 **Pundit:** Gennaro Filice — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/gennaro-filice **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-picks-week-5-2026-nfl-season 15 checkable claims — 15 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 14 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 71 out of 100, against 46.8 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Cincinnati should still be able to handle winless Miami, but the contest could be closer than you expect. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Buffalo Bills 27 — Los Angeles Rams 26** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 43.52 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 12, 2026): Rams by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 27–26 calls a Bills win (by 1; the line gave the Bills 38%) and fewer points (53). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Detroit Lions 42 — Arizona Cardinals 24** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 85.71 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Lions by 5.5, total 55.5 · this 42–24 calls a bigger Lions win (by 18) and more points (66). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Atlanta Falcons 28 — Baltimore Ravens 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 40.48 out of 100, against 34.1 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Falcons by 3.5, total 44.5 · this 28–17 calls a bigger Falcons win (by 11) and more points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Seattle Seahawks 27 — San Francisco 49ers 19** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 38.1 out of 100, against 43.62 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 27–19 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 8) and fewer points (46). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Denver Broncos 23 — Los Angeles Chargers 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Denver Broncos - Verdict: scored 97.62 out of 100, against 36.48 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Broncos by 3.5, total 42.5 · this 23–16 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 7) and fewer points (39). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New York Jets 24 — Cleveland Browns 21** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New York Jets - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 90.19 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jets by 2.5, total 38.5 · this 24–21 calls a bigger Jets win (by 3) and more points (45). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New England Patriots 20 — Las Vegas Raiders 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 20–17 calls a closer game (Patriots by 3) and fewer points (37). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Cincinnati Bengals 19 — Miami Dolphins 14** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 35.42 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bengals by 7, total 44.5 · this 19–14 calls a closer game (Bengals by 5) and fewer points (33). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Washington Commanders 26 — New York Giants 23** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 67.86 out of 100, against 72.91 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Commanders by 3.5, total 41.5 · this 26–23 calls a closer game (Commanders by 3) and more points (49). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Pittsburgh Steelers 22 — Indianapolis Colts 16** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 85.71 out of 100, against 73.52 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 22–16 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 6) and fewer points (38). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Houston Texans 26 — Tennessee Titans 7** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 90.48 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Texans by 6.5, total 37.5 · this 26–7 calls a bigger Texans win (by 19) and fewer points (33). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Green Bay Packers 25 — Chicago Bears 22** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Bears by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 25–22 calls a Packers win (by 3; the line gave the Packers 47%) and more points (47). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **New Orleans Saints 21 — Minnesota Vikings 20** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 28.57 out of 100, against 28.28 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Vikings by 2.5, total 41.5 · this 21–20 calls a Saints win (by 1; the line gave the Saints 44%) and fewer points (41). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars 26 — Philadelphia Eagles 13** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 73.81 out of 100, against 96.54 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Jaguars by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 26–13 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 13) and fewer points (39). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Dallas Cowboys 35 — Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys ## What others said about the same people - Jack Markowski on Brandon Smith: Markowski argues the Steelers should move on from Tyreek Hill given his injury and possible NFL discipline, and names promoting practice-squad receiver Brandon Smith to the 53-man roster as the most obvious way Pittsburgh addresses its receiver need. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/69805779-75a2-4bb5-be53-feb6ac642f0f (scored 0) - John Green on Buffalo Bills: Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b9a4d252-511b-48ff-b2cf-7cde00fb0894 (scored 100) - Jordan Dajani on Buffalo Bills: Dajani picked the Bills to beat the Rams 30-27 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09826cd4-dbcf-4c85-aa4a-450c3b8c8125 (scored 100) - Bobby Kownack on Buffalo Bills: Kownack picked all Week 5 games with scores, including the Browns winning at the Jets to reach 4-1, the Broncos handling the Chargers, and the Giants upsetting Washington. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/57789de7-9bc6-4cce-aacc-c088bd5aa6fe (scored 90.48) - Blaine Grisak on Buffalo Bills: Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ed2f394b-966a-4bd4-90d3-5dfabb82b478 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Buffalo Bills: Fitzmaurice predicted a 34-31 Bills win over the Rams, suggested the Packers would again blow a lead to the Bears, and said Drake Maye is a high-end to mid-range QB1 going forward. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/09f1aa2e-4381-4584-82b9-6b8b1112f04f (scored 100) ## More score predictions The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Jared Dubin on Los Angeles Rams: Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d5c92bc-d4b9-48e9-bb9f-695f82fee90b (scored 47.62) - Ty Schmit on Los Angeles Rams: Predicted a 38-34 Rams win over the Bills on Monday night, and said Micah Parsons will be back on the field for the Packers within the next week or two. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95627559-9ab1-4c1a-bb21-bb46709b6b6f (scored 47.62) - Tyler Sullivan on Los Angeles Rams: Sullivan picked the Rams to beat the Bills 28-24 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/71e3f67c-e086-4efb-ac04-e77eeafc855b (scored 47.62) - Pete Prisco on Los Angeles Rams: Prisco picked the Rams to edge the Bills 34-33 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/260feea4-f6df-4ec7-bafc-1d4803807bc6 (scored 45.24) - John Breech on Los Angeles Rams: Breech picked the Rams to beat the Bills 38-31 on Monday night, and after San Francisco's road win in Seattle suggested the NFC West would run through the 49ers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dbfca0ed-5831-4722-a2f4-263fd14485ba (scored 40.48) - Jared Dubin on Los Angeles Rams: Dubin picked the Rams to beat the Bills 28-24 on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ee897e80-0be9-4502-a092-bbe242df8eb4 (scored 47.62) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=gennaro-filice