# Jared Koch: Koch argues the Texans will be forced to pay C.J. Stroud more next offseason than the counteroffer they rejected, potentially making him one of the league's highest-paid quarterbacks.

**Claimed:** Nov 4, 2026
**Pundit:** Jared Koch — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/jared-koch
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/texans/onsi/texans-cost-themselves-millions-by-delaying-c-j-stroud-extension

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

Nothing to score yet: this grades once the result is in.

> Houston's gone from offering Stroud a deal "well into the $50 million range," declining a counter that was presumably a slightly higher offer, and are now forced into paying an even higher offer than that first counter come next offseason when negotiations are back at the table.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **C.J. Stroud: “if he continues his strong play, the Texans will be forced to pay Stroud as one of the highest-paid quarterbacks in the NFL”**
  - Kind: Contract Calls · About: C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- C.J. Stroud — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-stroud
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on Houston Texans: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 54.76)
- Chris Simms on Houston Texans: Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/17eb747a-90b1-472f-bb6d-e71c0c69133a (scored 80.95)
- Connor Rogers on Houston Texans: Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/11646f69-18dd-4831-a7de-e4115ded875c (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Houston Texans: Wright made several outright game calls for Week 9 alongside his spread picks: Kansas City beating the Jets 31-20, Detroit winning at Miami, New England edging Green Bay by a field goal or so, Carolina winning outright over Denver, and Houston blowing out the Chargers 27-12. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/14c1f8dd-d8ff-498f-b705-4b468ff964f8 (scored 83.33)
- John Shipley on Houston Texans: Shipley expects Jacksonville to keep Brian Thomas Jr. at the trade deadline while adding two defenders, most likely Derrick Brown, and he thinks the winless Chargers will again come up short against Houston in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1c3cc043-b892-4670-b2d9-2fd2721fd419 (scored 100)
- Steve Palazzolo on Houston Texans: Palazzolo expects Kansas City to beat the Jets, Cardinals and Falcons in a three-week stretch and sit at 8-2 before Thanksgiving, says Houston's winning streak begins against the Chargers and that the Texans will be 8-5 by their December 20 meeting with Jacksonville, and pegs the Raiders for seven to eight wins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4905cf14-f779-466a-b936-019c858333f3 (scored 100)

## More contract calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Mike Moraitis on DeMarvion Overshown: Moraitis predicts that DeMarvion Overshown, a pending 2027 free agent, will not land the lucrative, long-term contract he is seeking after another injury-plagued season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4ccdba94-104b-4829-ab44-f73e48148212 (not settled)
- John Shipley on Parker Washington: Shipley argues Parker Washington's WR1-level target volume points toward a big payday, that Wesley Williams and Jalen Huskey are headed for redshirt rookie seasons with little or no playing time, and that Tanner Koziol's offensive role will keep growing. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a6d662e9-5bf8-4ca6-9e1e-0e1f8062b8f4 (not settled)
- Bill Huber on Moro Ojomo: Huber argues the Packers should pursue defensive tackle help at the trade deadline, and predicts that Eagles DT Moro Ojomo will cash in with a big contract when he reaches free agency after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8abb9fd1-335f-47a0-99a4-35ef6b7512d9 (not settled)
- Kevin Oestreicher on Marlon Humphrey: Reacting to the Jacoby Brissett trade details, the host said Marlon Humphrey, in the last year of his deal, will certainly not be re-signed by Baltimore, though he doubted the Ravens would cut him outright because the dead money and cap hit make it unworkable. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/24163c67-ad6f-4ccb-a91d-121c67640ab4 (not settled)
- JP Acosta on Tuli Tuipulotu: In a trade-deadline column proposing hypothetical targets for contenders, Acosta predicts the Chargers will extend edge rusher Tuli Tuipulotu and keep him in Los Angeles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/722fee24-ab8d-43c2-8d17-31637c87befa (not settled)
- Marcus Mosher on George Pickens: Mosier expects Dallas to use the franchise tag on George Pickens while signing Joey Porter Jr. to a long-term contract, saying the Cowboys are far more likely to prioritize Porter for an extension. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b459eadb-806f-4b19-9da5-fea72e039b52 (not settled)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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