# Bryan DeArdo: DeArdo picks the Steelers to beat the Colts 24-20 at home, expecting a big rushing game from Jaylen Warren against a weak Indianapolis run defense, and notes Michael Pittman will miss several weeks with Roman Wilson and Germie Bernard taking on bigger roles.

**Claimed:** Oct 10, 2026
**Pundit:** Bryan DeArdo — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/bryan-deardo
**Outlet:** CBS Sports — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/cbs-sports
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/colts-vs-steelers-how-to-watch-preview-prediction/

3 checkable claims — 1 availability call, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 90.5 out of 100, against 86.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> Score: Steelers 24, Colts 20

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Pittsburgh Steelers 24 — Colts 20**
  - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 80.95 out of 100, against 73.52 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Steelers by 3, total 41.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Steelers win (by 4) and more points (44). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Colts**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Oct 11, 2026): Steelers by 3 · favorite pick, Steelers 59%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Steelers wideout Michael Pittman ... is expected to miss several weeks after reinjuring his foot.**
  - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Michael Pittman, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Michael Pittman — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/michael-pittman

## What others said about the same people

- Jack Markowski on Brandon Smith: Markowski argues the Steelers should move on from Tyreek Hill given his injury and possible NFL discipline, and names promoting practice-squad receiver Brandon Smith to the 53-man roster as the most obvious way Pittsburgh addresses its receiver need. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/69805779-75a2-4bb5-be53-feb6ac642f0f (scored 0)
- Noah Strackbein on Brandon Smith: After the Steelers' win over the Colts, Strackbein noted that with Roman Wilson and Ben Skowronek hurt, Pittsburgh is down to three healthy receivers and that practice squad receiver Brandon Smith is expected to be elevated to the active roster. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc233acb-ca14-4442-b09f-8ce4cd7c49e0 (scored 0)
- Jack Markowski on Pittsburgh Steelers: Markowski lays out three reasons the Steelers beat the Colts at home in Week 5, moving to 3-2: Rodgers gets time against a weak Colts pass rush, Pittsburgh's edge rushers overwhelm Indianapolis' tackles, and the Steelers win the turnover battle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/204bd9d4-e849-41b3-beea-9b5d64f6034d (scored 100)
- Jeremy Pargo on Pittsburgh Steelers: Bergman picked winners and exact scores for every Week 5 game, siding with Jacksonville in London, the Saints over the unbeaten Vikings, the Jets over Cleveland and the Rams over Buffalo. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eb5cd6ae-f2ad-49c8-909d-3ad73d196e72 (scored 76.19)
- Dan Parr on Pittsburgh Steelers: Parr picked every Week 5 game with scores, leaning on Chicago's ground game at Lambeau, Seattle's defense against the unbeaten 49ers, and the Rams handling Buffalo on Monday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c10b52a-0a51-43ee-a55a-78a478f3c2b3 (scored 78.57)
- Gennaro Filice on Pittsburgh Steelers: Filice picked every Week 5 game with scores, backing Cincinnati in a closer-than-expected game at Miami, the Patriots in a low-scoring home win, Houston to finally get off the schneid in Tennessee, and upsets by the Saints, Jets, Packers and Bills. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7cc33db3-88e5-4811-8121-94bed7928d3a (scored 85.71)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- John Green on Buffalo Bills: Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b9a4d252-511b-48ff-b2cf-7cde00fb0894 (scored 100)
- Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilio on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8da282-f981-43ec-97e4-d147ef00b42a (scored 0)
- Darius Butler on Los Angeles Rams: Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/bbaeb70d-e67f-4a28-88ea-c0d95a26f4e9 (scored 0)
- Pat McAfee on Los Angeles Rams: Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b11b3677-3d44-49d4-ac2d-bb8ac3179121 (scored 0)
- AJ Hawk on Los Angeles Rams: Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/95507356-2ff5-404a-82b1-0963b8665fff (scored 0)
- Blaine Grisak on Buffalo Bills: Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ed2f394b-966a-4bd4-90d3-5dfabb82b478 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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