# Nick Shook: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. **Claimed:** Apr 9, 2026 **Pundit:** Nick Shook — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-shook **Outlet:** Around the NFL (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/around-the-nfl-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-daily/mock-draft-jeremiyah-love-at-no-3-caleb-downs-goes-early-and-wrs-fall 36 checkable claims — 32 mock draft picks and 4 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 57 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 33 of 36 have settled so far, averaging 67 out of 100, against 46.4 for a naive guess at the same calls. > We went with Texas Tech edge rusher David Bailey and I think about the history of the Jets when I made this selection. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Olaivavega Ioane to be 1st offensive lineman off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 35.36 out of 100, against 9.95 for a naive guess - **Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 24** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Max Iheanachor, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 12** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dillon Thieneman, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 56.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 18** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Minnesota Vikings - Verdict: scored 17.68 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 13** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 20** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Avieon Terrell, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 29.73 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 10** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, Cincinnati Bengals - Verdict: scored 1.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Makai Lemon to be 2nd receiver off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Makai Lemon, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 12.84 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be 1st receiver off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 9.48 for a naive guess - **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 15** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **David Bailey to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Blake Miller to be picked at number 23** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 32** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Brandon Cisse, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **T.J. Parker to be picked at number 31** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Colton Hood to be picked at number 30** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Colton Hood, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 26** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 45.85 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 28** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Lomu, Houston Texans - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 25** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Chicago Bears - Verdict: scored 56.94 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, Tennessee Titans - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 3** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Washington Commanders - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Omar Cooper to be picked at number 22** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Omar Cooper, Los Angeles Chargers - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 9** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 21** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Pittsburgh Steelers - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 27** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 16** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Lee Hunter to be picked at number 19** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Lee Hunter, Carolina Panthers - Verdict: scored 27.26 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Cashius Howell to be picked at number 17** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cashius Howell, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 35.36 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at a slot they never named** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq, Kansas City Chiefs - Verdict: not settled yet - **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at a slot they never named** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: not settled yet - **Francis Mauigoa to be 1st tackle off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Francis Mauigoa, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Max Iheanachor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/max-iheanachor - Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns - Dillon Thieneman — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dillon-thieneman - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren - Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings - Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Avieon Terrell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/avieon-terrell - Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy - Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals - Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza - Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders - Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/blake-miller - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Brandon Cisse — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brandon-cisse - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Colton Hood — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/colton-hood - Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Caleb Lomu — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-lomu - Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans - Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor - Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Omar Cooper — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/omar-cooper - Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers - Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane - Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling - Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers - Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk - Lee Hunter — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lee-hunter - Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers - Cashius Howell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cashius-howell - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq ## What others said about the same people - Ross Jackson on New Orleans Saints: Ross Jackson picked the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, projecting a 27-24 final score with the Raiders scoring 24 points. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/434df603-78e1-41ae-a04c-8ef859abd50e (scored 38.1) - Garrett Podell on Case Keenum: Podell ranks all 32 current NFL starting quarterbacks entering Week 3 of the 2026 season, with Josh Allen first, Patrick Mahomes second and Case Keenum last. He also expects Kyler Murray and Michael Penix Jr. to return to action in Week 3 and Case Keenum to possibly start for the Bears. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0e92b59e-0dd1-43c3-80c1-6551a8b641ac (scored 100) - Fox Sports on Austin Ekeler: The piece reports, citing ESPN, that Carolina is expected to sign veteran running back Austin Ekeler with Jonathon Brooks sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a3aa7c15-e643-4c03-85d9-10aef8b4085a (scored 0) - Fox Sports on Case Keenum: A roundup of NFC injury news expects Jameis Winston to start for the Giants in any games Jaxson Dart misses, and suggests third-stringer Case Keenum could end up starting for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3 with both Caleb Williams and Tyson Bagent sidelined. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3aff6d9f-b997-480e-b323-740b6a4677ed (scored 100) - Fox Sports on Case Keenum: With Caleb Williams injured and Tyson Bagent in concussion protocol, third-string quarterback Case Keenum is expected to start for the Bears against the Eagles in Week 3. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7726bb2f-b9aa-4c35-aa7b-e0b49990e867 (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Carolina Panthers: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 50) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92) - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51) - Scott Bogman on Romello Height: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 18.46) - Tom Pelissero on Ashton Jeanty: Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b7089cf4-c63d-4d43-84a4-072b1d2ee328 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nick-shook