# Parker Hurley: Hurley argues a Jessie Bates trade to San Francisco is unrealistic because Atlanta remains in the weak NFC South race and likely won't sell, and he expects 49ers safety Ji'Ayir Brown to depart in free agency after this season. **Claimed:** Nov 6, 2026 **Pundit:** Parker Hurley — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/parker-hurley **Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated **How it reached us:** published in writing **Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/49ers/onsi/evaluating-chances-49ers-landing-all-pro-safety-trade 2 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess at the same calls. > This could be a dream addition, but not a realistic one. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Jessie Bates to stay with Atlanta Falcons** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Jessie Bates, Atlanta Falcons - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 55 for a naive guess - **Ji'Ayir Brown to move — “likely to leave in free agency after this year”** - Kind: Trade and Signing Calls · About: Ji'Ayir Brown - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Jessie Bates — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jessie-bates - Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons - Ji'Ayir Brown — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/ji-ayir-brown ## What others said about the same people - Carter Bahns on Atlanta Falcons: Bahns predicts a high-scoring Madrid game in which Atlanta's more reliable defense, bolstered by the return of pass rusher James Pearce Jr., gets the edge over Cincinnati, with the Falcons winning 34-30. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42354bb-2aa0-434c-b184-4315f447f9c9 (scored 19.05) - Chris Broussard on Atlanta Falcons: Absent from the show, Brew sent in his upset alert pick of Atlanta to beat Cincinnati in Madrid. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/55a112fa-4123-4d1d-892f-654023451123 (scored 0) - Danny Parkins on Atlanta Falcons: Parkins named the seven AFC teams he believes are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as his Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/272d1f8a-06f7-4b8b-8480-94d370ae5e6f (scored 0) - Jordan Dajani on Atlanta Falcons: Dajani picked all seven featured Week 9 games with final scores, including a blowout Jaguars win in Baltimore, an Atlanta upset of Cincinnati in Madrid, and a narrow Bills win in Minneapolis. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/103d86e2-5305-4b84-af26-05220db83778 (scored 19.05) - Tyler Sullivan on Atlanta Falcons: Sullivan flags five Week 9 underdogs he expects to pull upsets: the Packers at New England, the Vikings over Buffalo, the winless Chargers over Houston, the Panthers over Denver, and the Falcons over Cincinnati in Madrid. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b01bc807-6ff9-460f-8ab3-c7506b54effb (scored 0) - Leonard Fournette on Atlanta Falcons: Co-host (identified in the transcript only as "Leonard") went week-by-week on Atlanta's schedule, ranked the NFC North, predicted Odell Beckham Jr. over 1,000 yards and seven touchdowns, picked the Bears, Bengals and Texans in their divisions, and took the Bengals over the 49ers in the Super Bowl. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cd544302-f3b5-4585-bea4-8502dbea77a7 (scored 0) ## More trade and signing calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Doug Joubert on Kendre Miller: Joubert doubts Taysom Hill will return to the Saints for financial reasons and believes Hill has retired from the NFL. He also expects CJ Donaldson to get more carries while the Saints move on from Kendre Miller. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e8976cfe-44a7-4cd2-9f23-ff513d4b4833 (scored 100) - Randy Gurzi on Taylor Rapp: Gurzi argues that, given Brandon Beane's fondness for reunions, recently released safety Taylor Rapp is a realistic option to return to Buffalo for safety depth — though only if the Bills fail to land a starting-caliber safety at the trade deadline. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5fa74f1d-69bf-4aee-999a-17fe4b2b5175 (scored 0) - Sean Payton on Taylor Rapp: Payton said there is a better than good chance safety Taylor Rapp re-signs with the Broncos, and expects it to happen sooner rather than later. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ff73bd09-d830-4cab-8cfc-4ff4e616f616 (scored 100) - Joe Marino on Taylor Rapp: Marino argues the Bills should and almost certainly will release safety Taylor Rapp to save cap space, saying he'd be stunned if Buffalo kept him. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/6293af64-318f-43ba-b5be-7b2d42fabe29 (scored 100) - Albert Breer on Jacoby Brissett: Breer argues the Jaguars should be taken very seriously, seeing a path to 13 wins and the AFC's No. 1 seed with a first-round bye, and he expects the Jacoby Brissett trade to Baltimore to be completed within a day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c51d9762-3ca3-4143-9372-bf508348053f (scored 100) - Nathan Jahnke on Jacoby Brissett: In a Week 9 recap, Jahnke expects Mark Andrews to remain Baltimore's lead tight end but says rookie Matt Hibner is more likely than Josh Cuevas to eventually overtake him, and he anticipates the Ravens acquiring Jacoby Brissett to start at quarterback. He also suggests Brian Thomas Jr. may have played his final game for Jacksonville ahead of the trade deadline. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15c4c161-616c-4ed8-be6d-ad326cc50853 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=parker-hurley