# Matt Miller: Miller predicted the Jets take David Bailey second overall, that Jordan Tyson goes to the Giants at No. 5 as the first receiver off the board, that the Browns take an offensive lineman/trade back, and offered a wild prediction that Dallas trades up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese. **Claimed:** Apr 22, 2026 **Pundit:** Matt Miller — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/matt-miller **Outlet:** The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-rich-eisen-show-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us **Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP2019343557.mp3?updated=1776878763 8 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks, 1 position order call, 1 team draft slot call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 4 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 87.6 out of 100, against 40.4 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > I have Jordan Tyson to the Giants at five. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **David Bailey to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jordyn Tyson to be 1st wide receiver off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 11.45 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Dallas Cowboys to pick at number 3** - Kind: Team Draft Slot Calls · About: Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: not settled yet - **Jeremiyah Love to be picked “Seven is the floor”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Washington Commanders - Verdict: not settled yet - **Caleb Downs to be picked “five to 10 is his range”** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs - Verdict: not settled yet - **So Caleb Downs is my number three overall player.** - Kind: Top Player Lists - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love - Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs ## What others said about the same people - Connor Rogers on Dallas Cowboys: Rogers made his own Week 2 calls, taking the Packers, Eagles (by at least 10), Panthers (by at least a field goal), Cowboys (by at least six), Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also noted Baltimore was his Super Bowl pick and said it wouldn't shock him if Jacksonville hosted the AFC Championship Game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0c2a0048-cb74-4da9-8ef4-695cc6571cdf (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Dallas Cowboys: Simms went through every Week 2 game with predicted final scores, picking the Texans, Bears, Steelers (as an upset), Packers, Ravens, Eagles, Buccaneers, Panthers, Jaguars, Seahawks, Cowboys, 49ers, Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win. He also reiterated that Denver was his preseason Super Bowl pick while predicting the Broncos would fall to 0-2. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/32db5f5e-13da-47e3-b280-2aa9a80d172b (scored 83.33) - Phil Simms on New York Giants: Phil Simms said the Giants can hang with and beat the Rams in their Monday night matchup, citing the Rams' sluggish showing in Australia and the Giants' offensive versatility. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/149102cf-b9f9-4fd8-8a72-b501daece227 (scored 0) - Chris Simms on New York Giants: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 97.62) - Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100) - Nate Tice on Dallas Cowboys: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 100) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92) - Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81) - Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71) - Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52) - Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7) - Bucky Brooks on Carnell Tate: In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/677f566f-9e38-4dd7-b312-0baad54b440e (scored 80.52) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=matt-miller