# Albert Breer: Breer's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games.

**Claimed:** Sep 9, 2026
**Pundit:** Albert Breer — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/albert-breer
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/2026-nfl-week-1-staff-expert-picks

16 checkable claims — 16 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 16 have settled, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 62.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

## The claims

- **Denver Broncos to beat Chiefs**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 14, 2026): Chiefs by 2.5 · underdog pick, Broncos 46%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Cowboys by 3 · favorite pick, Cowboys 60%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Green Bay Packers to beat Vikings**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Vikings by 1.5 · a toss-up, Packers 47%, Vikings 53%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Las Vegas Raiders to beat Dolphins**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Raiders by 3 · favorite pick, Raiders 60%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Browns**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Jaguars by 8.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (79%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Falcons**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Steelers by 6.5 · favorite pick, Steelers 72%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Baltimore Ravens to beat Colts**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Ravens by 3 · favorite pick, Ravens 59%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **New York Jets to beat Titans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Titans by 1.5 · a toss-up, Jets 48%, Titans 52%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Cincinnati Bengals to beat Buccaneers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Bengals by 3.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 2 in 3 (64%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Chicago Bears to beat Panthers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Bears by 3 · favorite pick, Bears 60%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Washington Commanders to beat Eagles**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Eagles by 6 · underdog pick, Commanders about 1 in 3 (32%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Buffalo Bills to beat Texans**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Bills by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 50%, Texans 50%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Detroit Lions to beat Saints**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Lions by 7 · favorite pick, Lions about 3 in 4 (73%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Chargers to beat Cardinals**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 13, 2026): Chargers by 8.5 · favorite pick, Chargers about 4 in 5 (79%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Los Angeles Rams to beat 49ers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 10, 2026): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 2 in 3 (66%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Seattle Seahawks to beat Patriots**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Sep 9, 2026): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.

## Who this take is about

- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks

## What others said about the same people

- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/978f775c-5611-4514-ad2f-b35a6eac0402 (scored 0)
- Zack Kelberman on Sean Fresch Jr.: Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3c8c47b8-6041-4282-8d21-d21741d8f11b (scored 0)
- Nate Gosney on Daiyan Henley: After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/60272861-4ad0-4749-b36a-dcdf09b9213f (scored 0)
- Jordan Dajani on Washington Commanders: Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/46f7646f-2c64-4827-a522-67975af79fb6 (scored 95.24)
- Tyler Sullivan on Washington Commanders: Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1bb32676-c3b3-4b8e-8a03-b58396cf98bf (scored 100)
- John Breech on Washington Commanders: Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9fddc8e1-3823-4252-bdd7-f81ef11b1da3 (scored 90.48)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0)
- Conor Orr on New York Giants: Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ba669379-043c-448a-a167-2f2e3695a52e (scored 0)
- Mitch Goldich on New York Giants: Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/706c628f-bb25-4892-b33e-84c81bfb6e4a (scored 0)
- Matt Verderame on New York Giants: Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfeb0994-1abf-414f-b153-d01b6e4e5365 (scored 0)
- John Pluym on New York Giants: Pluym picked the Giants, Patriots, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Colts, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a940f59-49e6-4c02-8e75-60671656da04 (scored 0)
- Mike Kadlick on New York Giants: Kadlick picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Colts, Saints, Bills, Raiders, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/977f64b3-9ba2-42ef-a3cf-276f3a1d7944 (scored 0)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

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