# Daniel Jeremiah: Jeremiah's Mock Draft 3.0, discussed pick by pick: Mendoza first overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at 2, Francis Mauigoa to the Cardinals at 3, Jeremiyah Love to the Titans at 4, Sonny Styles to the Giants at 5, and on through the first round.

**Claimed:** Mar 17, 2026
**Pundit:** Daniel Jeremiah — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/daniel-jeremiah
**Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/40s-and-free-agents-nfl-draft-season/40s-and-free-agents-gregg-has-thoughts-about-djs-mock-draft-3-0

25 checkable claims — 23 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 41 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

23 of 25 have settled so far, averaging 77.7 out of 100, against 48.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> So that's why I had Fano going nine to Kansas City.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 15**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Akheem Mesidor
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **David Bailey to be picked at number 8**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Omar Cooper to be picked at number 16**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Omar Cooper, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cashius Howell to be picked at number 26**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cashius Howell, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 52.21 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Makai Lemon to be 2nd wide receiver off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Makai Lemon, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 12.84 for a naive guess
- **Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Makai Lemon, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 73.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 22**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 7**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 70.71 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 95.76 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Chase Bisontis to be picked at number 28**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Chase Bisontis, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cade McDonald to be picked at number 31**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cade McDonald, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jadarian Price to be picked at number 32**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jadarian Price, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Fernando Mendoza
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jordyn Tyson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 9**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Keldric Faulk to be picked “on the borderline... is he a first round pick, is he not a first round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 19**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: K.C. Concepcion, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 27**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kenyon Sadiq
  - Verdict: scored 62.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be 2nd tackle off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Spencer Fano, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francisco Mauigoa, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Akheem Mesidor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/akheem-mesidor
- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- Omar Cooper — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/omar-cooper
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Cashius Howell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cashius-howell
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Makai Lemon — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/makai-lemon
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Chase Bisontis — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/chase-bisontis
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Cade McDonald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cade-mcdonald
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Jadarian Price — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jadarian-price
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese
- Fernando Mendoza — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/fernando-mendoza
- Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk
- K.C. Concepcion — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/k-c-concepcion
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- Kenyon Sadiq — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kenyon-sadiq
- Francisco Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francisco-mauigoa
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on Houston Texans: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 0)
- Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Sam Monson on Seattle Seahawks: Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b810ffd-fd93-4ea2-a208-b1353dea5fb0 (scored 0)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Nick Shook on Dillon Thieneman: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 56.94)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)
- Steve Mensch on Caleb Lomu: Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f65851f3-1c53-4ae9-80ef-875db5ce2a3f (scored 62.09)
- Scott Bogman on Romello Height: He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0b0cd1a9-31f7-40d9-9b9e-f52957c10494 (scored 18.46)
- Tom Pelissero on Ashton Jeanty: Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b7089cf4-c63d-4d43-84a4-072b1d2ee328 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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