# Joel Klatt: Klatt says Ohio State's Arvell Reese will be the first non-quarterback position player taken in the draft and a top-three selection, and that Ohio State will produce four first-round picks up the middle of its defense: Caleb Downs, Reese, Sonny Styles and Caden McDonald. He also calls Buckeyes receiver Carnell Tate a first-round pick.

**Claimed:** Nov 28, 2025
**Pundit:** Joel Klatt — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/joel-klatt
**Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-move-the-sticks-with-daniel-jeremiah-bucky-bro/ohio-state-michigan-preview-top-2026-draft-prospects-with-joel-klatt

6 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 78.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> I think he's going to be the first I just call it a position player non quarterback taken in the draft.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Sonny Styles to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Carnell Tate to be picked “first round draft pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Downs to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arvell Reese to be picked “top three” (picks 1–3)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cade McDonald to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cade McDonald
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arvell Reese to be 1st non-quarterback position player off the board**
  - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Arvell Reese
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles
- Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate
- Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs
- Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese
- Cade McDonald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cade-mcdonald

## What others said about the same people

- Patricia Traina on Arvell Reese: Traina projects the Giants' initial 53-man roster position by position, naming who makes the team and who lands on the practice squad, including keeping Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Evan Neal (with a possible trade), Dalen Cambre over Braxton Berrios, Lucas Patrick as backup center, and Dominic Zvada as the kicker. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8bb1a183-b45b-44db-8a61-23bdd2238a6b (scored 100)
- David Harrison on Sonny Styles: Harrison gives his initial 53-man roster projection for the Washington Commanders: three quarterbacks including Ethan Kalyak Manus, three running backs, four tight ends, six receivers (leaving off De'Ami Brown and Jaden Bradley), nine offensive linemen with Matt Goldman at center, and a defense of six linebackers but only four cornerbacks. He also projects Tunstall and Newton going to IR on Monday with De'Ami Brown and Dietrich Wise re-signed, plus a corner-heavy practice squad. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1d5b2565-5531-47ac-bff8-ccb9b23a980a (scored 100)
- David Harrison on Sonny Styles: Harrison projects the Washington Commanders' initial 53-man roster if it had to be set today, naming 26 offensive players, three specialists and 24 defenders, and also assigns depth-chart slots at quarterback, running back, the offensive line, the interior defensive line, and the return/specialist jobs. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2e2254ee-daf7-4f82-81d4-2bc73e1b7291 (scored 100)
- Philip Hughes on Sonny Styles: Hughes projects Washington's initial 53-man roster ahead of the final preseason game, naming every player he expects to make the team by position group, and slots Athan Kaliakmanis as the No. 3 quarterback behind Jayden Daniels and Marcus Mariota. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4ec7adba-dd12-4caf-9bb1-f1a343cee65a (scored 100)
- Dharya Sharma on Carnell Tate: Previewing the Titans' preseason opener, Sharma identifies five receivers as roster locks, expects Bryce Oliver to make the 53 on special teams value, and predicts Will Levis will not be on Tennessee's roster by September, likely being moved for a late-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60a6ef5-4d69-4548-ad17-906bf8bfb384 (scored 100)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Carnell Tate: Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/48a1d189-dc0f-4250-aa3b-0e27119c733a (scored 91.7)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Lance Zierlein on Jeremiyah Love: Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf600df8-87eb-492b-9d91-f7a2b39104ac (scored 100)
- Nick Shook on Max Iheanachor: Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7d4209aa-2e2d-47a2-b6e5-791d16d209cb (scored 87.81)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Daniel Jeremiah on Keyron Crawford: In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f60c916c-1b5f-4252-8733-1770c7809577 (scored 80.52)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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