# Joel Klatt: Klatt says Ohio State's Arvell Reese will be the first non-quarterback position player taken in the draft and a top-three selection, and that Ohio State will produce four first-round picks up the middle of its defense: Caleb Downs, Reese, Sonny Styles and Caden McDonald. He also calls Buckeyes receiver Carnell Tate a first-round pick. **Claimed:** Nov 28, 2025 **Pundit:** Joel Klatt — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/joel-klatt **Outlet:** Move the Sticks (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/move-the-sticks-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/nfl-move-the-sticks-with-daniel-jeremiah-bucky-bro/ohio-state-michigan-preview-top-2026-draft-prospects-with-joel-klatt 6 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 5 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 78.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > I think he's going to be the first I just call it a position player non quarterback taken in the draft. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Caleb Downs to be picked “first rounder” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Cade McDonald to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cade McDonald - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked “first round draft pick” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be picked “top three” (picks 1–3)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arvell Reese - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Arvell Reese to be 1st non-quarterback position player off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Arvell Reese - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - Cade McDonald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cade-mcdonald - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - Arvell Reese — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arvell-reese - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles ## What others said about the same people - Ross Jackson on Caleb Downs: Jackson predicts the Saints will stay put and pick at No. 8 overall rather than trading up, and after Mickey Loomis' press conference they now lean toward New Orleans taking a defensive back there — either LSU cornerback Mansoor Delaine or Ohio State safety Caleb Downs — while still viewing Miami edge rusher Ruben Bain Jr. as a likely selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5e323d7a-8d67-43cc-a9f9-a18904a22a18 (scored 87.81) - Lance Zierlein on Sonny Styles: Zuerlein describes their mock draft 3.0: Carnell Tate to the Giants at No. 5, Sonny Styles falling to the Cowboys at No. 12, and Colton Hood to Dallas at No. 20. They also expect runs on linebackers from the late twenties to about pick 45, defensive tackles from the early-mid twenties into the 40s, and says Ahvion Terrell's 4.65 forty knocks them out of first-round contention. They call Kenyon Saddiq and Mansoor Delaine the safest picks for Dallas, and thinks Delaine's tape is top-four caliber, while Jeremiah Smith could be a generational, Megatron-type receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f8e6478-8ee7-441e-b2d1-d0a10233c34a (scored 80.52) - Jaime Eisner on Arvell Reese: A seven-round Jets mock draft projecting New York to take Ohio State's Arvell Reese at No. 2 and Arizona State receiver Jordyn Tyson at No. 16, followed by Ty Simpson, Brandon Cisse, Jalon Kilgore, Tyreak Sapp, Kaelon Black, Fernando Carmona and Trebor Pena. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ab0fb4f4-96ef-49b5-95af-ce16ddebe50c (scored 87.81) - Aaron Ladd on Arvell Reese: Before the Chiefs' pick at No. 6, Ladd predicted Kansas City had traded up to take edge rusher Arvel Reese. After the pick, they framed Mansour Delaine as the immediate replacement for Trent McDuffie as the Chiefs' No. 1 cornerback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f2d2b760-c7eb-48c2-b5f5-2235ff6868cf (scored 95.76) - JC Pearson on Arvell Reese: Pearson also expected the Chiefs' trade up to No. 6 to be for Arvel Reese, and after the pick said Delaine would step in as Kansas City's day-one No. 1 cornerback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cb64f2a7-5bc0-4a4e-8651-4458a3cc4eb5 (scored 95.76) - Danny Parkins on Caleb Downs: Danny Parkins presented their one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d98bca2f-5fc3-4f68-8389-30f9a2cb906f (scored 91.7) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46) - Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0) - Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86) - Blaine Grisak on Brian Thomas Jr.: Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/627bcf5d-9f1d-4a34-a1b7-53b8f0aebc40 (scored 84.09) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0) - Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=joel-klatt