# Kyle Crabbs: In a way-too-early 2026 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with LaNorris Sellers to the Browns at No. 1 and Drew Allar to the Saints at No. 2.

**Claimed:** Apr 28, 2025
**Pundit:** Kyle Crabbs — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/kyle-crabbs
**Outlet:** The 33rd Team — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-33rd-team
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.the33rdteam.com/way-too-early-2026-nfl-mock-draft-who-is-next-years-top-qb/

32 checkable claims — 32 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 63 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 32 have settled, averaging 32 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> If the Browns finish with the top spot after spending two mid-round picks and acquiring Kenny Pickett this offseason, look for them to go for a toolsy quarterback.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Peter Woods to be picked at number 3**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Peter Woods, New York Giants
  - Verdict: scored 32.42 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **David Bailey to be picked at number 22**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, Los Angeles Chargers
  - Verdict: scored 42.04 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jake Slaughter to be picked at number 29**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jake Slaughter, Buffalo Bills
  - Verdict: scored 22.93 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Darrell Jackson to be picked at number 31**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Darrell Jackson, Baltimore Ravens
  - Verdict: scored 4.42 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Davison Igbinosun to be picked at number 32**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Davison Igbinosun, Philadelphia Eagles
  - Verdict: scored 27.26 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **C.J. Allen to be picked at number 18**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: C.J. Allen, Denver Broncos
  - Verdict: scored 21.95 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **T.J. Parker to be picked at number 4**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: T.J. Parker, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 26.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Francis Mauigoa, Carolina Panthers
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Daylen Everette to be picked at number 24**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Daylen Everette, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 7.12 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Christen Miller to be picked at number 28**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Christen Miller, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 5**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jordyn Tyson, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **L.T. Overton to be picked at number 25**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: L.T. Overton, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 0.78 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 9**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kadyn Proctor, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 87.81 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Drew Allar to be picked at number 2**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Drew Allar, New Orleans Saints
  - Verdict: scored 4.05 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Rueben Bain to be picked at number 17**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Rueben Bain, Chicago Bears
  - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Garrett Nussmeier to be picked at number 16**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Garrett Nussmeier, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 12**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, Atlanta Falcons
  - Verdict: scored 2.12 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Denzel Boston to be picked at number 15**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Denzel Boston, Arizona Cardinals
  - Verdict: scored 35.36 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Tacario Davis to be picked at number 11**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Tacario Davis, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 7.12 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Nyck Harbor to be picked at number 14**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Nyck Harbor, Miami Dolphins
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 26**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jeremiyah Love, Cincinnati Bengals
  - Verdict: scored 36.92 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Cade Klubnik to be picked at number 27**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Cade Klubnik, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 2.74 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Arch Manning to be picked at number 8**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Arch Manning, Indianapolis Colts
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Dani Dennis-Sutton to be picked at number 20**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Dani Dennis-Sutton, Houston Texans
  - Verdict: scored 1.31 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Anthony Hill to be picked at number 10**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Anthony Hill, New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 11.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 23**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: scored 54.53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 21**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Mansoor Delane, Minnesota Vikings
  - Verdict: scored 52.21 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 19**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Keldric Faulk, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 59.46 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **LaNorris Sellers to be picked at number 1**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: LaNorris Sellers, Cleveland Browns
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Nic Anderson to be picked at number 30**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Nic Anderson, Detroit Lions
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess
- **Caleb Banks to be picked at number 13**
  - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Banks, Dallas Cowboys
  - Verdict: scored 80.52 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Peter Woods — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/peter-woods
- New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants
- David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey
- Los Angeles Chargers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chargers
- Jake Slaughter — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jake-slaughter
- Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills
- Darrell Jackson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/darrell-jackson
- Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens
- Davison Igbinosun — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/davison-igbinosun
- Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles
- C.J. Allen — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/c-j-allen
- Denver Broncos — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/broncos
- T.J. Parker — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/t-j-parker
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Francis Mauigoa — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/francis-mauigoa
- Carolina Panthers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/panthers
- Daylen Everette — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/daylen-everette
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Christen Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/christen-miller
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Jordyn Tyson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jordyn-tyson
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- L.T. Overton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/l-t-overton
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Kadyn Proctor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kadyn-proctor
- Cleveland Browns — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/browns
- Drew Allar — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/drew-allar
- New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints
- Rueben Bain — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rueben-bain
- Chicago Bears — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bears
- Garrett Nussmeier — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/garrett-nussmeier
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy
- Atlanta Falcons — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/falcons
- Denzel Boston — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/denzel-boston
- Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals
- Tacario Davis — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tacario-davis
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Nyck Harbor — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nyck-harbor
- Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins
- Jeremiyah Love — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jeremiyah-love
- Cincinnati Bengals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bengals
- Cade Klubnik — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cade-klubnik
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams
- Arch Manning — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/arch-manning
- Indianapolis Colts — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/colts
- Dani Dennis-Sutton — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/dani-dennis-sutton
- Houston Texans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/texans
- Anthony Hill — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/anthony-hill
- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Mansoor Delane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/mansoor-delane
- Minnesota Vikings — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/vikings
- Keldric Faulk — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/keldric-faulk
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- LaNorris Sellers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/lanorris-sellers
- Nic Anderson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/nic-anderson
- Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions
- Caleb Banks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-banks
- Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on New York Giants: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 100)
- Chris Long on Cincinnati Bengals: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Baltimore Ravens: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52)

## More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Ryan Wilson on J.J. McCarthy: Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/44cc5859-8b2b-4fbf-b5c0-62c635f2e357 (scored 36.92)
- Gregg Rosenthal on K.C. Concepcion: Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8fae9a3a-7fd8-454c-99cc-0a8400c35d7d (scored 67.71)
- Jeff Cavanaugh on Lorenzo Styles: Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f1f48cc1-f9d5-44ca-b130-2c6447b49bc6 (scored 0.51)
- Steve Mensch on Makai Lemon: Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f65851f3-1c53-4ae9-80ef-875db5ce2a3f (scored 100)
- Tom Pelissero on Ashton Jeanty: Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick). — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b7089cf4-c63d-4d43-84a4-072b1d2ee328 (scored 100)
- Kyle Brandt on Cam Ward: Brandt insists Cam Ward will be the No. 1 overall pick as the best player in the draft, and predicts Ashton Jeanty won't fall past pick six or seven. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cf3ad678-a0a0-49c1-a265-69812a3e5048 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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