# Nick Wright: Wright argued the Jaguars are the AFC's most complete team, calling them the considerable favorite for the No. 1 seed and the only club essentially locked into the playoffs. He also picked Tampa Bay to upset Chicago, had Kansas City sweeping its next three games, liked New England over Green Bay by about a field goal, and updated his Super Bowl matchup to Chiefs–49ers.

**Claimed:** Nov 7, 2026
**Pundit:** Nick Wright — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/nick-wright
**Outlet:** First Things First (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/first-things-first-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air, transcribed by us
**Original:** https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/FOXM1431329007.mp3

10 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks, 2 conference champions, 2 playoff picks and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 10 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

> Because of their remaining schedule, I feel like they are the considerable favorite to be the one seed.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **New England Patriots to beat Packers**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New England Patriots
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Chicago Bears**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Bears by 6.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers 29%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **Kansas City Chiefs to beat New York Jets**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
  - Line: Closing line (Nov 8, 2026): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade.
- **San Francisco 49ers to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: San Francisco 49ers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Atlanta Falcons**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Jacksonville Jaguars to take the top seed**
  - Kind: Seeding, Byes and Home Field · About: Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs**
  - Kind: Playoff Picks · About: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kansas City Chiefs to beat Arizona Cardinals**
  - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet
- **Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl**
  - Kind: Conference Champions · About: Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- San Francisco 49ers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/49ers
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars

## What others said about the same people

- Pete Prisco on San Francisco 49ers: Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dc43909b-bc7f-47aa-b208-5cf7c95844bc (scored 83.33)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on New England Patriots: Fitzmaurice predicted a 24-21 Patriots win over the Packers, said he would not be surprised if Jonathan Taylor were inactive amid trade talk, pegged Jonah Coleman as an RB22 rest-of-season value, expected Evan Hull to be Arizona's backup back, and saw Kerby Joseph returning in Week 10 or 11. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/41cd806b-d6f3-401d-ac46-33a027d3a0fd (scored 14.29)
- Kevin Wildes on New England Patriots: Wildes took Minnesota over Buffalo, predicted a comfortable roughly 10-point New England win over Green Bay, and switched his Super Bowl matchup to Jaguars–Bears. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f31ce48f-df1b-41cf-9d17-ec463ba972d4 (scored 0)
- Eric Mangini on New England Patriots: Mangini picked New England to beat Green Bay by more than a field goal, flagged Tampa Bay as his upset alert over Chicago, expects Kansas City to handle the Jets, took Buffalo over Minnesota, backed Cincinnati over Atlanta in Madrid, and updated his Super Bowl to Rams–Bengals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/af0819c3-4662-44a2-a451-a08fa3b7e59a (scored 0)
- Donte Johnson on Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The former NFL safety picked the Buccaneers to upset the Bears in their Week 9 matchup, arguing Todd Bowles' defense would frustrate Caleb Williams. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/1731194b-2ff9-4142-b4ca-45a4097101ae (scored 0)
- AJ Hawk on San Francisco 49ers: Hawk said the Chiefs would beat the Jets, the Seahawks would beat the Cardinals, and the 49ers would beat the Raiders, even while taking the points with the underdogs in each case. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d20e3b12-b0ca-45f8-a14c-925af9b754bb (scored 100)

## More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Bill Huber on Green Bay Packers: Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite his rib injury. He also sketches the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5ab5fa3a-4526-46a4-b11b-a2bc99820cb8 (scored 100)
- Jeremy Brener on Seattle Seahawks: Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/7eb2d245-63d0-4be0-80ba-3f60197e2b16 (scored 100)
- Albert Breer on Seattle Seahawks: Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4d67a8a5-0c05-4abe-b2ca-f0cef8390b1d (scored 100)
- Tyler Sullivan on Seattle Seahawks: Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/dfca04b3-5c80-4a2e-b0de-8ac3a25f225b (scored 100)
- Dave Richard on Seattle Seahawks: Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d3db433e-52c6-42d1-a3b0-6b342aac8a9e (scored 100)
- John Pluym on Seattle Seahawks: Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e3897747-c55f-4340-9e82-03f9730f87ba (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=nick-wright
