# John Shipley: Shipley declares linebacker Jack Kiser, taken 107th overall in the fourth round of the 2025 draft, the Jaguars' first draft bust of the new Coen/Gladstone/Boselli regime after Cincinnati claimed him on waivers.

**Claimed:** Oct 13, 2026
**Pundit:** John Shipley — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/john-shipley
**Outlet:** Sports Illustrated — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/sports-illustrated
**How it reached us:** published in writing
**Original:** https://www.si.com/nfl/jaguars/onsi/jack-kiser-has-officially-become-the-new-jacksonville-regime-first-draft-bust

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

Nothing to score yet: this grades once the result is in.

> No matter what Kiser ends up doing for the Bengals, this can now be classified as the new Jaguars regime's first miss.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Jack Kiser to disappoint at the next level**
  - Kind: Draft Bust Calls · About: Jack Kiser, Jacksonville Jaguars
  - Verdict: not settled yet

## Who this take is about

- Jack Kiser — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jack-kiser
- Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars

## What others said about the same people

- AJ Hawk on Jacksonville Jaguars: Hawk picked the Jaguars to beat the Ravens on the road, predicting roughly a 17-point margin. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/0abbd638-5ccf-408e-864d-bd5651044b3d (scored 100)
- Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell on Jacksonville Jaguars: Connor believed Baltimore would keep it close but still said Jacksonville wins the game outright. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/377a2765-5130-479c-8d47-e62f64fff35b (scored 100)
- Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: Wright expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk once he reports, predicts Jacksonville blows out Baltimore on Thursday night, sees the Jaguars finishing around 13-4 or 14-3, and thinks Seattle's defense carries them past Arizona even with Drew Lock starting. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ca08b414-c136-4da2-9805-d9bada155854 (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on Jacksonville Jaguars: Rogers agreed the Bears have the NFL's best offense, picked Minnesota as the league's best total defense, and picked Jacksonville to beat Baltimore on Thursday night. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f137eeee-71a3-4de4-bfa0-50699d23e147 (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Jacksonville Jaguars: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; he also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 83.33)
- Mark Morales-Smith on Jacksonville Jaguars: Within a Week 9 fantasy sleeper column, he states that Jacksonville is almost certain to blow out Baltimore, with the Jaguars running the ball through the second half and fourth quarter. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d03c86f1-c1e9-4280-b6be-5f6fc9de7f6e (scored 100)

## More draft bust calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- John Middlekauff on Caleb Williams: Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/deaaf3f6-e53e-4080-a0ca-d5f872b54c6a (scored 0)
- John Middlekauff on Anthony Richardson: Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; he also argues the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing him to Trey Lance. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/eaacd99d-867e-4bab-9c40-015de85caa35 (scored 100)
- Buck Reising on Anthony Richardson: Discussing the NFL trade deadline, Reising argued Anthony Richardson will not be out of the league after his rookie deal, saying the fourth overall pick's career to this point qualifies as a massive bust. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d931bf9b-2732-4f6b-ab90-d6d17aaf7eac (not settled)
- Carter Bahns on Ashton Jeanty: Bahns predicts Ashton Jeanty's role in Las Vegas will continue to shrink, with Mike Washington Jr. functioning as a co-starter/early-down back while Jeanty becomes a receiving-game specialist rather than the every-down featured back he was drafted to be. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ebc5009a-aaec-483a-8b72-b2005466bf45 (not settled)
- Jason Fitz on Cam Ward: Fitz predicted Joe Burrow will win NFL MVP, argued Cam Ward is on track to be remembered as the worst No. 1 overall bust since JaMarcus Russell, said the Titans could very likely land the No. 1 pick again, expects Jacksonville to blow out the Colts, sees Indiana's Charlie Becker as a high first-round pick, and believes Lamar Jackson stays in Baltimore long-term. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b0053c55-e7b4-4cd5-b7ff-0f4f75a6eeda (not settled)
- Hanford Dixon on Dillon Gabriel: Dixon said the Browns wasted a third-round pick on Dillon Gabriel, arguing he can be a decent NFL backup but not in Cleveland, and that Shedeur Sanders would be the quarterback to step in if Deshaun Watson were hurt. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/ea3f186f-d9c4-4edd-a3db-8bf99027eff8 (not settled)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

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