# Andrew Erickson: Erickson made the even-numbered selections in the 2026 mock draft, taking David Bailey second to the Jets, Caleb Downs fifth to the Giants and Carnell Tate eighth to the Saints, and also called Sonny Styles a top-five pick and Tate the first receiver drafted. **Claimed:** Mar 8, 2026 **Pundit:** Andrew Erickson — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/andrew-erickson **Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/2026-nfl-first-round-mock-draft-3-0-every-first-round-pick-after-the-combine-ep-1973 14 checkable claims — 12 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 14 have settled, averaging 75.1 out of 100, against 45.2 for a naive guess at the same calls. > I'm gonna go with David Bailey edge rusher from Texas Tech. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Olaivavega Ioane to be 1st guard off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Olaivavega Ioane - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 22.64 for a naive guess - **Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 32** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Avieon Terrell, Seattle Seahawks - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Spencer Fano, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 20** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Dallas Cowboys - Verdict: scored 19.28 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 29** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Jermod McCoy, Los Angeles Rams - Verdict: scored 4.42 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Monroe Freeling, Detroit Lions - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **David Bailey to be picked at number 2** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: David Bailey, New York Jets - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Sonny Styles to be picked “top five pick, if not the second overall pick” (picks 1–5)** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Sonny Styles - Verdict: scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Blake Miller to be picked at number 23** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Blake Miller, Philadelphia Eagles - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Caleb Downs, New York Giants - Verdict: scored 77.11 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Kayden McDonald to be picked at number 26** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Kayden McDonald, Buffalo Bills - Verdict: scored 64.84 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Olaivavega Ioane, Baltimore Ravens - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8** - Kind: Mock Draft Picks · About: Carnell Tate, New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 84.09 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess - **Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board** - Kind: Position Order Calls · About: Carnell Tate - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 9.48 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Olaivavega Ioane — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/olaivavega-ioane - Avieon Terrell — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/avieon-terrell - Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks - Spencer Fano — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/spencer-fano - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins - Emmanuel McNeil-Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/emmanuel-mcneil-warren - Dallas Cowboys — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cowboys - Jermod McCoy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jermod-mccoy - Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams - Monroe Freeling — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/monroe-freeling - Detroit Lions — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/lions - David Bailey — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/david-bailey - New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets - Sonny Styles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/sonny-styles - Blake Miller — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/blake-miller - Philadelphia Eagles — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/eagles - Caleb Downs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/caleb-downs - New York Giants — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/giants - Kayden McDonald — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/kayden-mcdonald - Buffalo Bills — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/bills - Baltimore Ravens — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/ravens - Carnell Tate — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/carnell-tate - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints ## What others said about the same people - Sam Monson on New York Giants: Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/f4cb7a1e-1380-4f08-b39b-1432b97db846 (scored 0) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e142b910-0967-4de9-9429-c342bc079205 (scored 35.71) - Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/04562aeb-eccf-4266-be8e-32a3aacfd6fc (scored 42.86) - Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6c19276-74df-4775-8a6e-f67c6d94b773 (scored 42.86) - Pete Prisco on New York Giants: Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/07b5aad4-57ad-4195-bc69-66b1abec33a0 (scored 35.71) - Jared Dubin on New York Giants: Dubin predicted final scores for seven Week 10 games, taking the Giants over the Commanders, the Lions, Chiefs, Packers, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens to win their respective matchups. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/08184feb-e542-42cf-8898-8074d73513d7 (scored 42.86) ## More mock draft picks The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Chris Simms on Malachi Corley: Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c0fd4647-2de8-4a5f-bac2-950fed303ee9 (scored 11.46) - Todd McShay on Keelon Russell: While breaking down LSU's offense, McShay called receiver Jackson Harris a top-50 NFL draft prospect, and later said LSU's Sam Levitt and Alabama's Keelan Russell are potential top-10 picks in a future draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/15d40546-2ab9-4ab8-b5bd-ed0ef7f26ae5 (scored 0) - Philip Hughes on Kyle Kennard: Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/605a686a-b5f1-4611-82b4-961abf8de93e (scored 33.86) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2dd4bf46-e5eb-4dff-8500-95d9fdbd2986 (scored 0) - Walt on Fernando Mendoza: In a running series of coach/GM hiring and firing grades, Walt projects Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick of the Raiders in the 2026 draft and has LSU's Garrett Nussmeier going No. 2 overall in their 2026 mock draft. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/29bb2d31-fbe3-40db-b378-be5ba5d990b0 (scored 100) - Charlie Campbell on Xavier Williams: Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/d2c00414-086d-4a40-bb69-7584be496742 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=andrew-erickson