# Derek Brown: Brown forecast a Jaguars shootout win in Cincinnati, took the Saints to beat the Falcons on Monday night, ranked Jeremiah Love as an RB15 rest-of-season (while saying he'd move up), and expected Jacoby Brissett to remain Arizona's quarterback for the year and Jalen Wright to be back in Miami's backfield. **Claimed:** Oct 2, 2026 **Pundit:** Derek Brown — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/derek-brown **Outlet:** FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://prfx.byspotify.com/e/dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/pscrb.fm/rss/p/clrtpod.com/m/arttrk.com/p/D5CA5/traffic.omny.fm/d/clips/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/a425ba31-4316-4647-847e-b0030136e912/f4721ec2-5d20-46cf-b964-b4d7012d1216/audio.mp3?in_playlist=0afc299b-d04e-4bd7-91a8-b0030136e938 4 checkable claims — 1 availability call, 1 depth chart call, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call. It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record. 2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 47.6 out of 100, against 19.7 for a naive guess at the same calls. Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room. > I think it's thirty one twenty eight and I am taking the Jacksonville Jaguars. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **New Orleans Saints to beat Falcons** - Kind: Game Outcome Picks · About: New Orleans Saints - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 5, 2026): Saints by 1.5 · a toss-up, Falcons 48%, Saints 52%. Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacksonville Jaguars 31 — Bengals 28** - Kind: Score Predictions · About: Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 95.24 out of 100, against 39.34 for a naive guess - Line: Closing line (Oct 4, 2026): Bengals by 2.5, total 51.5 · this 31–28 calls a Jaguars win (by 3; the line gave the Jaguars 43%) and more points (59). Source: nflverse; context only, never part of the grade. - **Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Jacoby Brissett, Arizona Cardinals - Verdict: not settled yet - **So I think that we're going to see Jalen Wright. He might be the starter for the Miami Dolphins this week, or at least at bare minimum, if he is active this splitting work with Ollie Gordon this week** - Kind: Availability Calls · About: Jaylen Wright, Miami Dolphins - Verdict: not settled yet ## Who this take is about - New Orleans Saints — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/saints - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Jacoby Brissett — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jacoby-brissett - Arizona Cardinals — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/cardinals - Jaylen Wright — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaylen-wright - Miami Dolphins — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/dolphins ## What others said about the same people - Pat Fitzmaurice on Jacksonville Jaguars: Fitzmaurice picked Jacksonville to edge Cincinnati in a one-point nail-biter, took the Saints over the Falcons on Monday night, pegged Jeremiah Love as an RB11 for the rest of the season, and expected several banged-up players to sit out Week 4. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/4e77c5e9-11e7-4be0-a350-19fa7d3b1165 (scored 90.48) - Damonza Byrd on Jacksonville Jaguars: Nick Wright's co-host picks the Jaguars over as his favorite of the six over bets and calls the Baltimore/Buffalo division-winner parlay a safe one. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/5eaf9823-e809-4008-855a-c72518f10f08 (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on Jacksonville Jaguars: Rosenthal's Week 1 picks: the Giants win at Washington, the Lions beat the Packers, and the Jaguars beat the Panthers; he also likes the Jets over the Steelers and the Dolphins over the Colts, and expects Jacksonville to clear 7.5 wins. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9443503e-89b7-461f-8b67-e99f60c8b5d2 (scored 100) - Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: In part two of his gambling show, Nick Wright ran through NFC (and recapped AFC) win-total picks, division winners and make/miss-the-playoffs bets, backing the Chiefs, Jaguars, Raiders, Bears, Buccaneers and Falcons to clear their totals while predicting Commanders, Bucs and Rams division titles. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/252a575e-6524-48d2-86c4-356e2509e8f5 (scored 100) - Gregg Rosenthal on New Orleans Saints: Rosenthal's under picks and a few freebie leans: Colts under 7.5 (possibly the worst team), Commanders under 9.5, Saints under 5.5 (possibly 2-15), Bears under 8.5, plus stated likes on Dolphins under 8.5, Giants over 5.5 and Ravens over 11.5. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3f529d87-3976-4268-b793-c31075d71d04 (scored 0) - Nick Wright on Jacksonville Jaguars: Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/cc9d1905-c3e9-4d7f-8dbb-0f840dbb7535 (scored 100) ## More depth chart calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Mike Moraitis on Tyson Bagent: Previewing the Bears-Packers Week 5 matchup, he states Tyson Bagent will again start at quarterback for Chicago, while framing Green Bay's receivers, pass defense and return game as threats. The rest of the piece is descriptive analysis of season-to-date statistics rather than forecasts of outcomes. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/93e64ea9-eeca-49fa-a8d7-9fadf5a9b982 (scored 0) - Josh Alper on Olaivavega Ioane: Alper writes that Cam Jurgens, acquired by trade and in the concussion protocol, won't debut for Baltimore until the following week, leaving Vega Ioane as the likeliest starter at center against the Falcons before sliding back to right guard once Jurgens is available. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/275cec01-644f-4b6e-b878-55a46d1a1b51 (scored 100) - John Breech on Jameis Winston: Breech picked the Eagles to beat the Bears 23-16 on Monday night, and expected Jameis Winston to start at quarterback for the Giants in Week 4 against Arizona while newly acquired J.J. McCarthy gets up to speed. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a6e98531-b302-4613-b490-06830338ade7 (scored 100) - Chris Roling on Drew Lock: Roling expects Sam Darnold's hip injury to keep him out, meaning Drew Lock will be Seattle's quarterback when the Chargers visit in Week 4. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/8a070ae3-e756-45b8-bae4-0104e432653c (scored 0) - Christian Booher on Blake Miller: Booher lays out the Lions' projected depth chart for their Week 4 game at Carolina, naming starters, backups and reserves at every position, and suggests safety Bishop Fitzgerald could make his debut. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/de49ff55-54a5-4410-ba7c-0b7e1f1a2f68 (scored 0) - Carter Bahns on Shedeur Sanders: Bahns calls it reality that Shedeur Sanders will take over as Cleveland's starting quarterback by Week 4, with Deshaun Watson set to fail. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/18802de8-941e-4551-b6e3-df7a752020b6 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=derek-brown