# Chris Raybon: Raybon's biggest offseason move is Liam Coen to Jacksonville, and he expects nearly every Jaguars fantasy piece to beat their draft cost — Trevor Lawrence as a QB12-type, rookie Bhayshul Tuten as the team's eventual lead back, Brian Thomas Jr. with WR1-overall upside and Brenton Strange as value. He also expects mild regression for Baker Mayfield without Coen (still a top-six fantasy QB), likes Omarion Hampton, Treveon Henderson, Stefon Diggs, Rhamondre Stevenson, Matthew Golden, Jayden Reed and Jordan Love, and thinks Najee Harris slips to RB3 territory. **Claimed:** Jul 23, 2025 **Pundit:** Chris Raybon — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/chris-raybon **Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast **How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview **Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/the-favorites-sports-betting-podcast/top-10-nfl-fantasy-moves-1 12 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls, 3 depth chart calls and 2 positional finishes — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet. It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record. All 12 have settled, averaging 53.5 out of 100, against 59 for a naive guess at the same calls. > Brian Thomas Junior has upside to be the number one wide receiver in the entire NFL this year. *(their words, quoted for attribution)* ## The claims - **Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (going as the running back forty four)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (going around the quarterback twenty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Brenton Strange to outplay his draft cost (Their tight end is going twentieth)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brenton Strange, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Matthew Golden to outplay his draft cost (going outside the top forty, right outside the top forty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Matthew Golden, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Jayden Reed to outplay his draft cost (he's also going outside the top forty)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Stefon Diggs to outplay his draft cost (he's going outside the top forty in most fantasy drafts)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Stefon Diggs, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Brian Thomas Jr. to outplay his draft cost (is going wide receiver eight)** - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brian Thomas Jr., Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Bhayshul Tuten to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess - **Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots - Verdict: scored 91.67 out of 100, against 91.67 for a naive guess - **Matthew Golden to be 1st on the depth chart** - Kind: Depth Chart Calls · About: Matthew Golden, Green Bay Packers - Verdict: scored 75 out of 100, against 83.33 for a naive guess - **Trevor Lawrence to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars - Verdict: scored 33.33 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess - **Baker Mayfield to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points** - Kind: Positional Finishes · About: Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Verdict: scored 50 out of 100, against 33.33 for a naive guess ## Who this take is about - Bhayshul Tuten — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/bhayshul-tuten - Jacksonville Jaguars — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jaguars - Trevor Lawrence — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/trevor-lawrence - Brenton Strange — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brenton-strange - Matthew Golden — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/matthew-golden - Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers - Jayden Reed — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jayden-reed - Stefon Diggs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/stefon-diggs - New England Patriots — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/patriots - Brian Thomas Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brian-thomas-jr - Rhamondre Stevenson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/rhamondre-stevenson - Baker Mayfield — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/baker-mayfield - Tampa Bay Buccaneers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/buccaneers ## What others said about the same people - Chris Simms on Jacksonville Jaguars: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 50) - Nate Tice on Jacksonville Jaguars: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100) - Steven Ruiz on Jacksonville Jaguars: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100) - Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52) - Nate Tice on New England Patriots: Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b6211c80-3d1c-46b8-8a0c-151fc0ba92de (scored 100) - Matt Harmon on Jacksonville Jaguars: Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/21a71025-ab65-4716-ac2c-e77ad5ce3348 (scored 0) ## More sleeper calls The same kind of call, about other players and teams. - Tom Strachan on Ricky Pearsall: Tom Strachan backed Xavier Worthy, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Darnell Mooney, Zay Flowers, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter as values at their draft costs, while avoiding Jerry Jeudy and the Cleveland receivers. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c42eacc5-eb10-4103-a94d-50545a487cbb (scored 100) - Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100) - Derek Brown on Jalen Coker: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100) - Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100) - Pat Fitzmaurice on Rashee Rice: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 0) - Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0) --- Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages. Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us: https://missedtakes.co/corrections?pundit=chris-raybon