# Tom Strachan: Strachan's favorite pick per round: Ja'Marr Chase at 1.01, Brock Bowers in round two, Jayden Daniels in round three, Davante Adams (double-digit TDs) in round four, then Xavier Worthy, Calvin Ridley, Jaylen Warren, Emeka Egbuka, Justin Fields, Zach Charbonnet and late-round fliers; his one player to leave every draft with is Tucker Kraft.

**Claimed:** Aug 23, 2025
**Pundit:** Tom Strachan — https://missedtakes.co/pundits/tom-strachan
**Outlet:** The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) — https://missedtakes.co/outlets/the-herd-with-colin-cowherd-podcast
**How it reached us:** said on air or in an interview
**Original:** https://omny.fm/shows/fantasypros-fantasy-football-podcast/must-have-fantasy-football-draft-targets-expert-picks-for-every-round-ep-1663

15 checkable claims — 14 sleeper calls and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 15 have settled, averaging 49.5 out of 100, against 46.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

> I wouldn't be surprised at all if he hit double digit touchdowns this year.

*(their words, quoted for attribution)*

## The claims

- **Zach Charbonnet to outplay his draft cost (RB thirty five)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Zach Charbonnet, Seattle Seahawks
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Tyler Allgeier to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tyler Allgeier
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Colston Loveland
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Cam Ward to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Cam Ward
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Justin Fields to outplay his draft cost (round nine)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Justin Fields, New York Jets
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (round five)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Xavier Worthy, Kansas City Chiefs
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Wan'Dale Robinson to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Wan'Dale Robinson
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Austin Ekeler to outplay his draft cost (rounds eleven through fifteen)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Austin Ekeler
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jayden Daniels to outplay his draft cost (round three)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (round two)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (outside of the top twelve tight ends)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Tucker Kraft, Green Bay Packers
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Calvin Ridley to outplay his draft cost (round six)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Calvin Ridley, Tennessee Titans
  - Verdict: scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess
- **Jaylen Warren to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty nine in real time ADP)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Davante Adams to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver eighteen overall)**
  - Kind: Sleeper Calls · About: Davante Adams, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess
- **Davante Adams to record 10 receiving tds**
  - Kind: Player Season Numbers · About: Davante Adams, Los Angeles Rams
  - Verdict: scored 42.86 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess

## Who this take is about

- Zach Charbonnet — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/zach-charbonnet
- Seattle Seahawks — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/seahawks
- Tyler Allgeier — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tyler-allgeier
- Colston Loveland — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/colston-loveland
- Cam Ward — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/cam-ward
- Justin Fields — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/justin-fields
- New York Jets — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/jets
- Xavier Worthy — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/xavier-worthy
- Kansas City Chiefs — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/chiefs
- Wan'Dale Robinson — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/wan-dale-robinson
- Austin Ekeler — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/austin-ekeler
- Jayden Daniels — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jayden-daniels
- Washington Commanders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/commanders
- Brock Bowers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/brock-bowers
- Las Vegas Raiders — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/raiders
- Tucker Kraft — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/tucker-kraft
- Green Bay Packers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/packers
- Calvin Ridley — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/calvin-ridley
- Tennessee Titans — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/titans
- Jaylen Warren — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/jaylen-warren
- Pittsburgh Steelers — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/steelers
- Davante Adams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/players/davante-adams
- Los Angeles Rams — https://missedtakes.co/nfl/teams/rams

## What others said about the same people

- Chris Simms on Kansas City Chiefs: Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/662b7ba3-1bf6-4ad0-9f93-9f2ab83143fd (scored 100)
- Connor Rogers on Seattle Seahawks: Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/83d1e88b-95a0-45ba-83d3-f86297170c6c (scored 0)
- Chris Long on Los Angeles Rams: Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/3df9ea25-e57f-4fd7-b20c-c910a1c3633a (scored 0)
- Steven Ruiz on Las Vegas Raiders: Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/a30ff469-4972-4c48-855b-ba984e4de9d0 (scored 100)
- Nate Tice on Las Vegas Raiders: Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b8378e16-ea5c-4107-a883-28aaf0e71134 (scored 100)
- Chris Simms on Green Bay Packers: Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/b12420c5-837c-4a24-8a8e-c74b10cc697c (scored 9.52)

## More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

- Derek Brown on Travis Hunter: Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave his own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/effe2fda-3dcb-489f-a1e1-f8fa5b11ada7 (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Ricky Pearsall: Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put his rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at his cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/192d6e67-2e0e-49b3-bc82-4c8a77bd5950 (scored 100)
- Chris Welsh on Tyler Warren: Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/9f0f2132-f3b8-4813-b2b1-374b827d86a8 (scored 100)
- Joe Pisapia on Tyreek Hill: Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: he passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/c3c95c1c-64a4-42b6-9389-58d5fb5b27d1 (scored 0)
- Pat Fitzmaurice on RJ Harvey: Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (his WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (his QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/e36f1287-466c-4889-a7ea-c9d86f4b5182 (scored 100)
- Ryan Wormeli on Tetairoa McMillan: Hosting the segment, Warmley backed Bryce Young to finish better than his QB22 consensus ranking, endorsed Cedric Tillman as a late-round target, and said Tetairoa McMillan will be a top-15 fantasy receiver this season. — https://missedtakes.co/opinions/2c695b79-bc5e-4d3f-8136-6705656267a2 (scored 100)

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Accuracy is 0-100 against what actually happened. The naive guess is what a strategy requiring no knowledge would have scored on the same call — the difference is the skill, and it is what the MissedTakes Score averages.

Full method: https://missedtakes.co/methodology

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span for attribution; we never republish their article. If this is wrong, tell us:
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